Denis Shapovalov and Tommy Paul will clash against each other in the final of the Stockholm Open for the 1st time in their career. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Denis Shapovalov who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Denis Shapovalov is the pick to win this match.
Denis Shapovalov -> 1.53
Tommy Paul -> 2.50
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Prediction and head to head Denis Shapovalov vs. Tommy Paul
There is no head to head record between Denis Shapovalov and Tommy Paul since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Denis Shapovalov
Ranked no. 18, Denis got to the final after beating Andrea Vavassori 7-61 6-1, Arthur Rinderknech 4-6 6-3 7-5 and Felix Auger Aliassime 6-4 7-5.
In the semifinal, The Canadian had a good straight sets win against Auger-Aliassime (6-4 7-5). During the match, Shapovalov scored 71 points vs Auger-Aliassime’s 63. Shapovalov was very aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Regarding the service games, Shapovalov managed to score 7 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Denis Shapovalov lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Shapovalov put 72% of his first serves in, winning 70% (37/53) of the points behind his 1st serve and 38% (8/21) on the 2nd serve. Denis broke Auger-Aliassime 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Denis started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has dropped 1 set in this competition to conquer 54% of the points he played.
Shapovalov has a solid win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 62% of his matches (229-142). 4-2 on indoor hard courts in 2021. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Shapovalov has a compiled54-35 record in the last 7 years on indoor hard courts.
Denis’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Geneva.
Denis has a compiled 30-22 win-loss record in 2021, 4-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Stockholm
Previously, he won this tournament once in 2019. See his history.
Tommy Paul
Ranked no. 52, the American got to the final after defeating Leo Borg 6-4 6-2, Taylor Harry Fritz 6-4 6-4, Andy Murray 6-2 3-6 6-3 and Frances Tiafoe 5-7 7-65 6-4.
In the semifinal against Tiafoe, The American recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 7-65 6-4). During the match Paul scored 112 points vs Tiafoe’s 100. Tommy was pretty aggressive to blast 47 winners.
About the serving games, Paul recorded 10 aces and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Tommy Paul was quite effective on serve to win 71% (47/66) of his 1st serve and 65% (24/37) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Paul broke Tiafoe 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Tommy’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Parma and Stockholm.
Paul has a compiled 32-23 win-loss record in 2021, 11-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Shapovalov | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 73 | 99 |
| Pts | 235-199 | 336-279 |
| Total Points | 434 | 615 |
| Winners | 118 | 133 |
| %Winners | 50% | 40% |
Shapovalov played 3 matches while Paul competed in 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Denis Shapovalov conceded 1 set, while Tommy Paul surrendered 2 sets. Shapovalov has played 3 set(s) less than Paul (7 vs 10). Therefore, Shapovalov played 26 games less than Paul. The Canadian scored 118 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, Tommy bagged 133 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Shapovalov | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 25 | 20 |
| Avg per match | 8.3 | 5 |
| 1st in | 151/217 | 168/291 |
| %1st in | 70% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 118/151 | 133/168 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 31/66 | 71/123 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 58% |
Shapovalov blasted 25 aces (8.3 per match). Paul fired 20 aces (5 per match). Shapovalov won 78% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Paul won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Shapovalov | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 13 |
| Converted | 10/25 | 13/28 |
| % Converted | 40% | 46% |
| Conceded | 10 | 16 |
| Saved | 5 | 10 |
| % Saved | 50% | 63% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 6 |
Shapovalov broke his opponents 10 times with a 40% conversion rate. Shapovalov lost his serve 5 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Paul broke his opponents 13 times with a 46% conversion rate. Tommy conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded.
| Shapovalov | |||||
| R2 Vavassori |
1/4 Rinderknech |
1/2 Auger-Aliassime |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-61 6-1 | 4-6 6-3 7-5 | 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 31 | 22 | 73 | |
| pts | 73-49 | 91-87 | 71-63 | 235-199 | |
| Total points | 122 | 178 | 134 | 434 | |
| Winners | 33 | 48 | 37 | 118 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 53% | 52% | 50% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 14 | 7 | 25 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 6 | 3 | 16 | |
| 1st in | 36/56 | 62/87 | 53/74 | 151/217 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 71% | 72% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 33/36 | 48/62 | 37/53 | 118/151 | |
| % 1st pts | 92% | 77% | 70% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/20 | 14/25 | 8/21 | 31/66 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 56% | 38% | 47% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | |
| Converted | 3/11 | 3/8 | 4/6 | 10/25 | |
| Converted % | 27% | 38% | 67% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 2/4 | 3/5 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 50% | 60% | 37% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | |
| Paul | ||||||
| R1 Borg |
R2 Fritz |
1/4 Murray |
1/2 Tiafoe |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 6-4 6-4 | 6-2 3-6 6-3 | 5-7 7-65 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 20 | 26 | 35 | 99 | |
| pts | 61-43 | 74-66 | 89-70 | 112-100 | 336-279 | |
| Total points | 104 | 140 | 159 | 212 | 615 | |
| Winners | 28 | 29 | 29 | 47 | 133 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 39% | 33% | 42% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 6 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 32/52 | 35/68 | 35/68 | 66/103 | 168/291 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 51% | 51% | 64% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 28/32 | 29/35 | 29/35 | 47/66 | 133/168 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 83% | 83% | 71% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/20 | 15/33 | 21/33 | 24/37 | 71/123 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 45% | 64% | 65% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 3/7 | 4/8 | 3/9 | 13/28 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 43% | 50% | 33% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 16 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 3/4 | 0/2 | 6/9 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 75% | 0% | 67% | 81% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Tommy PaulPaul – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
