Sebastian Korda and Brandon Nakashima will fight against each other in the semifinal of the the Next Gen ATP Finals for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 7:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sebastian Korda who should win in 5 sets.
As per the initial odds, Sebastian Korda is the pick to win this match.
Sebastian Korda -> 1.63
Brandon Nakashima -> 2.33
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Prediction and head to head Sebastian Korda vs. Brandon Nakashima
There is no head to head record between Sebastian Korda and Brandon Nakashima since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Sebastian Korda
Ranked no. 39, Korda reached the semifinal after defeating Hugo Gaston 3-42 3-46 4-0 4-33 4-0, Sebastian Baez 4-33 4-2 4-2 and Lorenzo Musetti 4-2 4-34 4-2.
In the previous match, Sebastian had a good straight sets win against Musetti (4-2 4-34 4-2). During the match, Korda scored 60 points vs Musetti’s 40. The American was very aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Regarding the service games, Korda fired 3 aces and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults. Sebastian Korda was pretty efficient on serve to win 90% (27/30) of his 1st serve and 81% (13/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Musetti twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has lost 2 set in this competition to win 57% of the points he played.
Korda has a solid match record in the last 6 years having won 60% of his matches (150-98). 12-4 on indoor hard courts in 2021. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Korda has a compiled22-14 record in the last 6 years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the year was conquering the title in the Quimper Challenger where he overcame Filip Horansky in the final 6-1 6-1 and in in Parma where he defeated Marco Cecchinato in the final 6-2 6-4.
Sebastian has an overall 35-19 win-loss record in 2021, 12-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Next Gen ATP Finals
Korda has never competed in this tournament before.
Brandon Nakashima
Ranked no. 63 (career-high), Brandon reached the semifinal after beating Juan Manuel Cerundolo 4-1 3-43 4-1 4-0 and Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune 3-43 4-1 4-1 4-31.
In the previous match against Vitus Nodskov Rune, Nakashima recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-43 4-1 4-1 4-31). During the match Nakashima scored 80 points vs Vitus Nodskov Rune’s 62. Brandon was extremely aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about serving, Nakashima scored 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Brandon Nakashima lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Nakashima put 65% of his first serves in, winning 80% (36/45) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (10/24) on the 2nd serve. Nakashima broke Vitus Nodskov Rune 6 times after converting 75% of his break points (6/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in the Quimper 2 Challenger where he defeated Bernabe Zapata Miralles in the final 6-3 6-4 and in the Brest Challenger where he overcame Joao Sousa in the final 6-3 6-3.
Nakashima has a compiled 45-24 win-loss record in 2021, 20-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Korda | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 11 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 67 | 45 |
| Pts | 231-175 | 157-110 |
| Total Points | 406 | 267 |
| Winners | 95 | 66 |
| %Winners | 41% | 42% |
Korda played 3 matches while Nakashima competed in 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Sebastian Korda dropped 2 sets, while Brandon Nakashima conceded 2 sets. Korda has played 3 sets more than Nakashima (11 vs 8). Therefore, Korda played 22 games more than Nakashima. The American scored 95 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The American recorded 66 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Korda | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 20 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 6.7 | 5 |
| 1st in | 120/189 | 85/129 |
| %1st in | 63% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 95/120 | 66/85 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 43/69 | 27/44 |
| %2nd pts | 62% | 61% |
Korda made 20 aces (6.7 per match). Nakashima scored 10 aces (5 per match). Korda won 79% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Nakashima won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Korda | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 10 |
| Converted | 10/31 | 10/19 |
| % Converted | 32% | 53% |
| Conceded | 13 | 6 |
| Saved | 11 | 3 |
| % Saved | 85% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 |
Korda broke his opponents 10 times with a 32% conversion rate. The American dropped his serve twice and he saved 85% of the break points that he conceded. Brandon broke his opponents 10 times with a 53% conversion rate. Brandon conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Korda | |||||
| Round Robin Musetti |
Round Robin Baez |
Round Robin Gaston |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-2 4-34 4-2 | 4-33 4-2 4-2 | 3-42 3-46 4-0 4-33 4-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | 29 | 67 | |
| pts | 60-40 | 67-47 | 104-88 | 231-175 | |
| Total points | 100 | 114 | 192 | 406 | |
| Winners | 27 | 28 | 40 | 95 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 42% | 38% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 7 | 10 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 30/46 | 31/51 | 59/92 | 120/189 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 61% | 64% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 27/30 | 28/31 | 40/59 | 95/120 | |
| % 1st pts | 90% | 90% | 68% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/16 | 10/20 | 20/33 | 43/69 | |
| % 2nd pts | 81% | 50% | 61% | 62% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 3/8 | 5/18 | 10/31 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 38% | 28% | 32% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 3 | 10 | 13 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 2/3 | 9/10 | 11 | |
| Saved % | – | 67% | 90% | 52% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Nakashima | |||||
| Round Robin Vitus Nodskov Rune |
Round Robin Alcaraz |
Round Robin Manuel |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-43 4-1 4-1 4-31 | 4-34 4-1 4-34 | 4-1 3-43 4-1 4-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 19 | 21 | 64 | |
| pts | 80-62 | – | 77-48 | 157-110 | |
| Total points | 142 | 0 | 125 | 267 | |
| Winners | 36 | 30 | 66 | ||
| %Winners | 45% | NAN% | 39% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 0 | 5 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 4 | ||
| 1st in | 45/69 | / | 40/60 | 85/129 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | – | 67% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 36/45 | / | 30/40 | 66/85 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | – | 75% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/24 | / | 17/20 | 27/44 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | – | 85% | 61% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 10 | ||
| Converted | 6/8 | / | 4/11 | 10/19 | |
| Converted % | 75% | – | 36% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 0 | 6 | ||
| Saved | 3/6 | 0/ | 0/0 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 50% | – | – | 17% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 3 | ||
Head 2 Head
LWLLWWWWWW
LLLWLLLWLW Upcoming matches in the draw
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Sebastian BaezBaez (0-0) – H2H and prediction
