Carlos Alcaraz Garfia and Sebastian Baez will square off in the semifinal of the the Next Gen ATP Finals for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 9:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz Garfia who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz Garfia is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia -> 1.13
Sebastian Baez -> 6.35
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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs. Sebastian Baez
There is no head to head record between Carlos Alcaraz Garfia and Sebastian Baez since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
Ranked no. 32 (career-high), Carlos got to the semifinal after beating Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune 4-36 4-2 4-0, Brandon Nakashima 4-34 4-1 4-34 and Juan Manuel Cerundolo 4-0 4-1 2-4 4-33.
In the previous match, Alcaraz Garfia had a good straight sets win against Manuel Cerundolo (4-0 4-1 2-4 4-33). During the match, Alcaraz Garfia scored 70 points vs Manuel Cerundolo’s 59. Alcaraz Garfia was quite aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Regarding the service games, Alcaraz Garfia made 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Carlos Alcaraz Garfia was pretty effective on serve to win 74% (39/53) of his 1st serve and 53% (9/17) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Carlos broke Manuel Cerundolo 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alcaraz Garfia started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has surrendered 1 set in this tournament to conquer 56% of the points he played.
Alcaraz Garfia has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 4 years having won 74% of his matches (109-38). 8-3 on indoor hard courts in 2021. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Alcaraz Garfia has a composed8-3 record in the last 4 years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title in the Oeiras 3 Challenger where he beat Facundo Bagnis in the final 6-4 6-4 and in in Umag where he beat Richard Gasquet in the final 6-2 6-2.
The Spaniard has a compiled 46-19 win-loss record in 2021, 8-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Next Gen ATP Finals
The Spaniard has never competed in this tournament before.
Sebastian Baez
Ranked no. 111 (career-high), Baez got to the semifinal after defeating Lorenzo Musetti 4-1 4-1 3-45 4-35 and Hugo Gaston 4-32 4-2 4-2.
In the previous match, Baez had a good straight sets win against Gaston (4-32 4-2 4-2). During the match Baez scored 66 points vs Gaston’s 46. Sebastian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 35 winners.
About the serving games, Baez scored 2 aces and he was pretty solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Sebastian Baez lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Baez put 82% of his first serves in, winning 78% (35/45) of the points behind his 1st serve and 30% (3/10) on the 2nd serve. Sebastian broke Gaston 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Baez started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in the Concepcion Challenger where he defeated Francisco Cerundolo in the final 6-3 6-7(5) 7-6(5) and in the Santiago Challenger where he defeated Tomas Barrios Vera in the final 6-3 7-6(4) and in the Zagreb Challenger where he defeated Juan Pablo Varillas in the final 3-6 6-3 6-1 and in the Santiago 3 Challenger where he overcame Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves in the final 3-6 7-6(6) 6-1 and in the Buenos Aires Challenger where he overcame Thiago Moura Monteiro in the final 6-4 6-0.
Sebastian has a composed 51-15 win-loss record in 2021, 2-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alcaraz Garfia | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 58 | 43 |
| Pts | 195-151 | 151-103 |
| Total Points | 346 | 254 |
| Winners | 96 | 75 |
| %Winners | 49% | 50% |
Alcaraz Garfia played 3 matches while Baez competed in 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Carlos Alcaraz Garfia dropped 1 set, while Sebastian Baez lost 1 set. Alcaraz Garfia has played 3 sets more than Baez (10 vs 7). Therefore, Alcaraz Garfia played 15 games more than Baez. Alcaraz Garfia scored 96 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, Baez blasted 75 winners (50%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alcaraz Garfia | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 21 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 1 |
| 1st in | 118/182 | 93/118 |
| %1st in | 65% | 79% |
| 1st pts | 96/118 | 75/93 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 36/64 | 15/25 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 60% |
Alcaraz Garfia struck 21 aces (7 per match). Baez recorded 2 aces (1 per match). Alcaraz Garfia won 81% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Baez won 81% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alcaraz Garfia | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 7 |
| Converted | 8/14 | 7/28 |
| % Converted | 57% | 25% |
| Conceded | 15 | 3 |
| Saved | 13 | 1 |
| % Saved | 87% | 33% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
The Spaniard broke his opponents 8 times with a 57% conversion rate. Carlos dropped his serve twice and he saved 87% of the break points that he conceded. Baez broke his opponents 7 times with a 25% conversion rate. The Argentine conceded his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded.
| Alcaraz Garfia | |||||
| Round Robin Manuel Cerundolo |
Round Robin Nakashima |
Round Robin Vitus Nodskov Rune |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-0 4-1 2-4 4-33 | 4-34 4-1 4-34 | 4-36 4-2 4-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 19 | 17 | 58 | |
| pts | 70-59 | 64-51 | 61-41 | 195-151 | |
| Total points | 129 | 115 | 102 | 346 | |
| Winners | 39 | 29 | 28 | 96 | |
| %Winners | 56% | 45% | 46% | 49% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 10 | 9 | 21 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 53/70 | 33/63 | 32/49 | 118/182 | |
| % 1st in | 76% | 52% | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 39/53 | 29/33 | 28/32 | 96/118 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 88% | 88% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/17 | 18/30 | 9/17 | 36/64 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 60% | 53% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 2/2 | 3/7 | 8/14 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 100% | 43% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 5 | 0 | 15 | |
| Saved | 9/10 | 4/5 | 0/0 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 90% | 80% | – | 57% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Baez | |||||
| Round Robin Gaston |
Round Robin Korda |
Round Robin Musetti |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-32 4-2 4-2 | 4-33 4-2 4-2 | 4-1 4-1 3-45 4-35 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | 24 | 62 | |
| pts | 66-46 | – | 85-57 | 151-103 | |
| Total points | 112 | 0 | 142 | 254 | |
| Winners | 35 | 40 | 75 | ||
| %Winners | 53% | NAN% | 47% | 50% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 1st in | 45/55 | / | 48/63 | 93/118 | |
| % 1st in | 82% | – | 76% | 79% | |
| 1st pts | 35/45 | / | 40/48 | 75/93 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | – | 83% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 3/10 | / | 12/15 | 15/25 | |
| % 2nd pts | 30% | – | 80% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 7 | ||
| Converted | 4/12 | / | 3/16 | 7/28 | |
| Converted % | 33% | – | 19% | 25% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 0 | 3 | ||
| Saved | 1/3 | 0/ | 0/0 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 33% | – | – | 11% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | ||
Head 2 Head
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Sebastian BaezBaez (0-0) – H2H and prediction
