Pavel Kotov and Alexey Vatutin will face off in the qualifications of the Bergamo Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 12:30 pm on ITALCEMENTI. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Pavel Kotov who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Pavel Kotov is the pick to win this match.
Pavel Kotov -> 1.55
Alexey Vatutin -> 2.39
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Prediction and head to head Pavel Kotov vs. Alexey Vatutin
There is no head to head record between Pavel Kotov and Alexey Vatutin since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Pavel Kotov
Ranked no. 270, the Russian reached the qualifications after beating Denis Yevseyev 6-2 6-2.
In the qualifications, Kotov had a good straight sets win against Yevseyev (6-2 6-2). During the match, Kotov scored 59 points vs Yevseyev’s 31. Kotov was very aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Regarding the service games, Kotov blasted 4 aces and he was exceptionally solid in conceding no double faults. Pavel Kotov was exceptionally effective on serve to win 93% (26/28) of his 1st serve and 60% (9/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Pavel broke Yevseyev 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Kotov has a solid win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 61% of his matches (160-103). 7-5 on indoor hard courts in 2021. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Kotov has an overall56-31 record in the last 6 years on indoor hard courts.
Pavel’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in the Sultan 4 Challenger.
The Russian has an overall 19-20 win-loss record in 2021, 7-5 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Bergamo Challenger
Kotov has never competed in this tournament before.
Alexey Vatutin
Ranked no. 346, the Russian reached the qualifications after beating Filiberto Fumagalli 6-2 6-0.
In the qualifications, Alexey had a good straight sets win against Fumagalli (6-2 6-0). During the match Vatutin scored 50 points vs Fumagalli’s 24. Vatutin was extremely aggressive to blast 17 winners.
About the serving games, Vatutin struck 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Alexey Vatutin lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Vatutin put 66% of his first serves in, winning 68% (17/25) of the points behind his 1st serve and 69% (9/13) on the 2nd serve. Alexey broke Fumagalli 6 times after converting 75% of his break points (6/8).
The Russian’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in M25 Nevers.
Vatutin has an aggregate 24-35 win-loss record in 2021, 9-8 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kotov | Vatutin |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 16 | 14 |
| Pts | 59-31 | 50-24 |
| Total Points | 90 | 74 |
| Winners | 26 | 17 |
| %Winners | 44% | 34% |
Both Kotov and Vatutin played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Kotov and Vatutin have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Kotov played 2 games more than Vatutin. Pavel scored 26 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Vatutin made 17 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kotov | Vatutin |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 3 |
| 1st in | 28/43 | 25/38 |
| %1st in | 65% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 26/28 | 17/25 |
| %1st pts | 93% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 9/15 | 9/13 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 69% |
Kotov bagged 4 aces . Vatutin made 3 aces . Kotov won 93% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Vatutin won 68% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 69% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kotov | Vatutin |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 6 |
| Converted | 4/7 | 6/8 |
| % Converted | 57% | 75% |
| Conceded | 1 | 2 |
| Saved | 1 | 1 |
| % Saved | 100% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
Kotov broke his opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. The Russian extremely effective on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 1 break points. The Russian broke his opponent 6 times with a 75% conversion rate. Alexey conceded his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Kotov | |||
| Q1 Yevseyev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 59-31 | 59-31 | |
| Total points | 90 | 90 | |
| Winners | 26 | 26 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 28/43 | 28/43 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 26/28 | 26/28 | |
| % 1st pts | 93% | 93% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/15 | 9/15 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Vatutin | |||
| Q1 Fumagalli |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 14 | |
| pts | 50-24 | 50-24 | |
| Total points | 74 | 74 | |
| Winners | 17 | 17 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 25/38 | 25/38 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 17/25 | 17/25 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/13 | 9/13 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 69% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/8 | 6/8 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 75% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWWLLLL
LWWLWLLWLW
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