Brandon Nakashima and Joao Sousa will face off in the final of the Brest Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 3:00 pm on CENTRAL. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Brandon Nakashima who should win in 2 sets.
Brandon Nakashima -> 1.26
Joao Sousa -> 3.85
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Prediction and head to head Brandon Nakashima vs. Joao Sousa
This will be the 2nd time that Brandon Nakashima and Joao Sousa clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Sousa (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they played each other, Sousa won 6-4 6-2 in the qualifications in Belgrade back in April 2021.
Brandon Nakashima
Ranked no. 70 (career-high), Nakashima got to the final after defeating Zsombor Piros 6-3 7-64, Bernabe Zapata Miralles 6-4 6-1, Henri Laaksonen 6-1 7-5 and Alexandre Muller 6-2 7-5.
In the semifinal, Brandon had a good straight sets win against Muller (6-2 7-5). During the match, Nakashima scored 75 points vs Muller’s 53. Brandon was pretty aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about the service games, Nakashima bagged 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Brandon Nakashima was extremely effective on serve to win 87% (34/39) of his 1st serve and 60% (6/10) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Muller 3 times after converting 25% of his break points (3/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Nakashima started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to conquer 59% of the points he played.
Nakashima has a solid record in the last 6 years having won 65% of his matches (100-54). 17-3 on indoor hard courts in 2021. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Nakashima has a composed30-10 record in the last 6 years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the year was conquering the title in the Quimper 2 Challenger where he defeated Bernabe Zapata Miralles in the final 6-3 6-4.
Brandon has an aggregate 42-23 win-loss record in 2021, 17-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Brest Challenger
The American has never competed in this tournament before.
Joao Sousa
Ranked no. 173, the Portuguese got to the final after beating Hugo Grenier 6-4 6-1, Kenny de Schepper 6-4 7-66, Federico Gaio 6-3 6-75 7-65 and Maxime Janvier 7-5 6-1.
In the semifinal, Sousa had a good straight sets win against Janvier (7-5 6-1). During the match Sousa scored 70 points vs Janvier’s 46. Joao was pretty aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Talking about serving, Sousa made 3 aces and he was pretty steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Joao Sousa was very effective on serve to win 79% (31/39) of his 1st serve and 56% (10/18) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Joao broke Janvier 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sousa started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Joao’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in the Alicante Challenger and the Brest Challenger.
Joao has a compiled 22-27 win-loss record in 2021, 7-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nakashima | Sousa |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 78 | 94 |
| Pts | 293-206 | 337-283 |
| Total Points | 499 | 620 |
| Winners | 132 | 151 |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% |
Both Nakashima and Sousa played 4 matches. At the moment, Joao Sousa conceded 1 set while Brandon Nakashima hasn’t lost a set so far. Nakashima has played 1 set(s) less than Sousa (8 vs 9). Therefore, Nakashima played 16 games less than Sousa. The American scored 132 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Joao struck 151 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nakashima | Sousa |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 36 | 20 |
| Avg per match | 9 | 5 |
| 1st in | 154/214 | 201/313 |
| %1st in | 72% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 132/154 | 151/201 |
| %1st pts | 86% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 34/60 | 59/112 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 53% |
Nakashima bagged 36 aces (9 per match). Sousa struck 20 aces (5 per match). Nakashima won 86% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Sousa won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nakashima | Sousa |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 13 |
| Converted | 12/41 | 13/32 |
| % Converted | 29% | 41% |
| Conceded | 3 | 23 |
| Saved | 1 | 18 |
| % Saved | 33% | 78% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 5 |
The American broke his opponents 12 times with a 29% conversion rate. The American dropped his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded. The Portuguese broke his opponents 13 times with a 41% conversion rate. Joao conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded.
| Nakashima | ||||||
| R1 Piros | R2 Zapata Miralles | 1/4 Laaksonen | 1/2 Muller | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-64 | 6-4 6-1 | 6-1 7-5 | 6-2 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 17 | 19 | 20 | 78 | |
| pts | 82-62 | 64-41 | 72-50 | 75-53 | 293-206 | |
| Total points | 144 | 105 | 122 | 128 | 499 | |
| Winners | 36 | 28 | 34 | 34 | 132 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | 47% | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 7 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 36 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 41/64 | 34/42 | 40/59 | 39/49 | 154/214 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 81% | 68% | 80% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 36/41 | 28/34 | 34/40 | 34/39 | 132/154 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 82% | 85% | 87% | 86% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/23 | 4/8 | 10/19 | 6/10 | 34/60 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 50% | 53% | 60% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | |
| Converted | 2/7 | 4/13 | 3/9 | 3/12 | 12/41 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 31% | 33% | 25% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | 100% | – | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Sousa | ||||||
| R1 Grenier | R2 de Schepper | 1/4 Gaio | 1/2 Janvier | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-1 | 6-4 7-66 | 6-3 6-75 7-65 | 7-5 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 23 | 35 | 19 | 94 | |
| pts | 65-40 | 84-77 | 118-120 | 70-46 | 337-283 | |
| Total points | 105 | 161 | 238 | 116 | 620 | |
| Winners | 28 | 39 | 53 | 31 | 151 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 46% | 45% | 44% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 9 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 33/46 | 55/84 | 74/126 | 39/57 | 201/313 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 65% | 59% | 68% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 28/33 | 39/55 | 53/74 | 31/39 | 151/201 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 71% | 72% | 79% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/13 | 15/29 | 24/52 | 10/18 | 59/112 | |
| % 2nd pts | 77% | 52% | 46% | 56% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 2/6 | 4/11 | 4/10 | 13/32 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 33% | 36% | 40% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 6 | 12 | 4 | 23 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 5/6 | 9/12 | 3/4 | 18 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 83% | 75% | 75% | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | |
Tennis Scores in Brest Challenger
- Sadio Doumbia/Fabien ReboulDoumbia/Fabien Reboul – Salvatore Caruso/Federico GaioCaruso/Federico Gaio (4-6 6-3 10-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Joao SousaSousa (0-1) – H2H and prediction