Aidan Mchugh and Dayne Kelly will square off in the qualifications of the Las Vegas Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 11:00 am on COURT 3. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Dayne Kelly who should win in 3 sets.
Dayne Kelly -> 1.88
Aidan Mchugh -> 1.88
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Prediction and head to head Aidan Mchugh vs. Dayne Kelly
This will be the 2nd time that Aidan Mchugh and Dayne Kelly face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Kelly (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Kelly won 6-3 6-0
in the final in M15 Singapore back in 2019.Aidan Mchugh
Ranked no. 374 (career-high), Mchugh reached the qualifications after defeating Evan Song 6-4 6-3.
In the qualifications, The Brit had a good straight sets win against Song (6-4 6-3). During the match, Mchugh scored 59 points vs Song’s 50. The Brit was pretty aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Regarding the service games, Mchugh made 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Aidan Mchugh was extremely effective on serve to win 79% (30/38) of his 1st serve and 52% (11/21) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Aidan broke Song 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
Mchugh has a winning win-loss record in the last 5 years having won 57% of his matches (100-74). 33-13 on hard in 2021. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Mchugh has a compiled72-46 win-loss record in the last 5 years on hard.
The Brit’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M15 Indore,M25 Santo Domingo,M25 Decatur and M25+H Rodez.
Mchugh has an aggregate 46-23 win-loss record in 2021, 33-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Las Vegas Challenger
Mchugh has never competed in this tournament before.
Dayne Kelly
Ranked no. 463, Kelly got to the qualifications after defeating Malek Jaziri 6-1 6-2.
In the qualifications, Kelly had a good straight sets win against Jaziri (6-1 6-2). During the match Kelly scored 64 points vs Jaziri’s 44. The Australian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about serving, Kelly bagged 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Dayne Kelly conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 5 break points. Furthermore, Kelly put 73% of his first serves in, winning 64% (29/45) of the points behind his 1st serve and 65% (11/17) on the 2nd serve. Kelly broke Jaziri 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
The Australian has a compiled 15-10 win-loss record in 2021, 7-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mchugh | Kelly |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 19 | 15 |
| Pts | 59-50 | 64-44 |
| Total Points | 109 | 108 |
| Winners | 30 | 29 |
| %Winners | 51% | 45% |
Both Mchugh and Kelly played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Mchugh and Kelly have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Mchugh played 4 games more than Kelly. The Brit scored 30 winners (51% of the total points). On the other side, The Australian recorded 29 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mchugh | Kelly |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 5 |
| 1st in | 38/59 | 45/62 |
| %1st in | 64% | 73% |
| 1st pts | 30/38 | 29/45 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 64% |
| 2nd pts | 11/21 | 11/17 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 65% |
Mchugh made 3 aces . Kelly struck 5 aces . Mchugh won 79% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Kelly won 64% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 65% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mchugh | Kelly |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 4 |
| Converted | 3/4 | 4/8 |
| % Converted | 75% | 50% |
| Conceded | 2 | 5 |
| Saved | 2 | 5 |
| % Saved | 100% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
The Brit broke his opponent 3 times with a 75% conversion rate. Mchugh quite strong on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 2 break points. The Australian broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. Dayne was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 5 break points.
| Mchugh | |||
| Q1 Song | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 59-50 | 59-50 | |
| Total points | 109 | 109 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 51% | 51% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 38/59 | 38/59 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 30/38 | 30/38 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/21 | 11/21 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 3/4 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 75% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Kelly | |||
| Q1 Jaziri | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 64-44 | 64-44 | |
| Total points | 108 | 108 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 45/62 | 45/62 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 29/45 | 29/45 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/17 | 11/17 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 65% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/8 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 5/5 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
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