Thiago Moura Monteiro and Sebastian Baez will fight against each other in the final of the Buenos Aires Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 1:00 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sebastian Baez who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Sebastian Baez is the pick to win this match.
Sebastian Baez -> 1.55
Thiago Moura Monteiro -> 2.45

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Prediction and head to head Thiago Moura Monteiro vs. Sebastian Baez

There is no head to head record between Thiago Moura Monteiro and Sebastian Baez since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Thiago Moura Monteiro

Ranked no. 92, the Brazilian got to the final after defeating Hernan Casanova 7-67 3-6 6-2, Nicolas Kicker 6-2 6-3, Tomas Martin Etcheverry 6-4 3-6 7-5 and Francisco Cerundolo 6-1 2-6 6-3.

In the semifinal, Moura Monteiro defeated Cerundolo (6-1 2-6 6-3). During the match, Moura Monteiro scored 104 points vs Cerundolo’s 94. Thiago was pretty aggressive to blast 44 winners.

Talking about the service games, Moura Monteiro fired 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Thiago Moura Monteiro lost the serve 4 times and he saved 14 break points. Furthermore, Moura Monteiro put 68% of his first serves in, winning 57% (44/77) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (18/37) on the 2nd serve. Moura Monteiro broke Cerundolo 6 times after converting 43% of his break points (6/14).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Brazilian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has dropped 3 set in this tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Moura Monteiro has a winning record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (370-259). 19-15 on clay in 2021. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Moura Monteiro has an overall 306-192 record in the last years on clay.

His best result of the season was winning the title in the Braga Challenger where he beat Nikola Milojevic in the final 7-5 7-5.

Thiago has an aggregate 27-24 win-loss record in 2021, 19-15 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Buenos Aires Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2019. See his history.

Buenos Aires Challenger
Moura Monteiro's Record

Sebastian Baez

Ranked no. 124 (career-high), Sebastian got to the final after beating Pedro Cachin 3-6 6-2 6-3, Juan Ignacio Londero 6-3 6-4, Juan Pablo Varillas 7-5 6-2 and Juan Manuel Cerundolo 6-1 6-2.

In the semifinal, Sebastian had a good straight sets win against Manuel Cerundolo (6-1 6-2). During the match Baez scored 56 points vs Manuel Cerundolo’s 28. Sebastian was quite aggressive to blast 26 winners.

About the serving games, Baez was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was very steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Sebastian Baez was very efficient on serve to win 74% (26/35) of his 1st serve and 67% (6/9) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Sebastian broke Manuel Cerundolo 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Baez started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in the Concepcion Challenger where he defeated Francisco Cerundolo in the final 6-3 6-7(5) 7-6(5) and in the Santiago Challenger where he defeated Tomas Barrios Vera in the final 6-3 7-6(4) and in the Zagreb Challenger where he beat Juan Pablo Varillas in the final 3-6 6-3 6-1 and in the Santiago 3 Challenger where he overcame Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves in the final 3-6 7-6(6) 6-1.

Sebastian has a compiled 48-13 win-loss record in 2021, 46-11 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Buenos Aires Challenger
Baez's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

T.Moura Monteiro
S.Baez
!
9h:19
9h:19
Time on court​
5h:02
5h:02
!
2h:31
2h:31
Last match​
!
0h:46
0h:46
4
4
Match played
4
4
102
102
Games Played​
80
80
11
11
Set played​​
9
9
359
359
Total points​
272
272
89.8
89.8
Avg point​
68
68
155
155
Winners
131
131
38.8
38.8
Avg Winners​
32.8
32.8
43%
43%
Ratio winners
48%
48%
-- Serve --
12
12
Aces
10
10
3
3
Avg Aces
2.5
2.5
10
10
Double Faults
4
4
2.5
2.5
Avg Double Faults
1
1
155/231
155/231
1st won total​
131/188
131/188
67%
67%
1st won %
70%
70%
63/118
63/118
2nd won total​
30/62
30/62
53%
53%
2nd won %
48%
48%
-- Break Points --
18/40
18/40
BP won
18/30
18/30
4.5/10
4.5/10
Avg BP won
4.5/7.5
4.5/7.5
45%
45%
Won
!
60%
60%
42
42
Conceded
15
15
10.5
10.5
Avg Conceded
3.8
3.8
12
12
Broken
7
7
3
3
Avg Broken
1.8
1.8
30
30
Saved
8
8
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Moura Monteiro Baez
Match played 4 4
Tot Set 11 9
Tot Games 102 80
Pts 359-313 272-207
Total Points 672 479
Winners 155 131
%Winners 43% 48%

Both Moura Monteiro and Baez played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Thiago Moura Monteiro dropped 3 sets, while Sebastian Baez dropped 1 set. Moura Monteiro has played 2 sets more than Baez (11 vs 9). Therefore, Moura Monteiro played 22 games more than Baez. The Brazilian scored 155 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Sebastian fired 131 winners (48%).

Serve Performance

Serve Moura Monteiro Baez
Aces 12 10
Avg per match 3 2.5
1st in 231/349 188/250
%1st in 66% 75%
1st pts 155/231 131/188
%1st pts 67% 70%
2nd pts 63/118 30/62
%2nd pts 53% 48%

Moura Monteiro fired 12 aces (3 per match). Baez struck 10 aces (2.5 per match). Moura Monteiro won 67% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Baez won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Moura Monteiro Baez
Won 18 18
Converted 18/40 18/30
% Converted 45% 60%
Conceded 42 15
Saved 30 8
% Saved 71% 53%
Times Broken 12 7

Thiago broke his opponents 18 times with a 45% conversion rate. The Brazilian surrendered his serve 12 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. The Argentine broke his opponents 18 times with a 60% conversion rate. Baez conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 53% of the break points that he conceded.

Moura Monteiro
R1
Casanova		 R2
Kicker		 1/4
Martin Etcheverry		 1/2
Cerundolo 		Total
Score 7-67 3-6 6-2 6-2 6-3 6-4 3-6 7-5 6-1 2-6 6-3
Tot Set 3 2 3 3 11
Tot Games 30 17 31 24 102
pts 100-88 61-43 94-88 104-94 359-313
Total points 188 104 182 198 672
Winners 36 34 41 44 155
%Winners 36% 56% 44% 42% 43%
SERVE
Aces 5 2 1 4 12
Double Faults 2 3 3 2 10
1st in 54/88 44/60 56/87 77/114 231/349
% 1st in 61% 73% 64% 68% 66%
1st pts 36/54 34/44 41/56 44/77 155/231
% 1st pts 67% 77% 73% 57% 67%
2nd pts 21/34 7/16 17/31 18/37 63/118
% 2nd pts 62% 44% 55% 49% 53%
Breaks
Won 5 3 4 6 18
Converted 5/11 3/5 4/10 6/14 18/40
Converted % 45% 60% 40% 43% 45%
Conceded 11 7 6 18 42
Saved 6/11 7/7 3/6 14/18 30
Saved % 55% 100% 50% 78% 71%
Times Broken 5 0 3 4 12
Baez
R1
Cachin		 R2
Londero		 1/4
Pablo Patino-Samudio		 1/2
Manuel		 Total
Score 3-6 6-2 6-3 6-3 6-4 7-5 6-2 6-1 6-2
Tot Set 3 2 2 2 9
Tot Games 26 19 20 15 80
pts 87-80 66-51 63-48 56-28 272-207
Total points 167 117 111 84 479
Winners 47 25 33 26 131
%Winners 54% 38% 52% 46% 48%
SERVE
Aces 4 3 3 0 10
Double Faults 2 2 0 0 4
1st in 69/98 39/50 45/58 35/44 188/250
% 1st in 70% 78% 78% 80% 75%
1st pts 47/69 25/39 33/45 26/35 131/188
% 1st pts 68% 64% 73% 74% 70%
2nd pts 15/29 2/11 7/13 6/9 30/62
% 2nd pts 52% 18% 54% 67% 48%
Breaks
Won 3 6 4 5 18
Converted 3/4 6/13 4/5 5/8 18/30
Converted % 75% 46% 80% 63% 60%
Conceded 6 4 4 1 15
Saved 5/6 0/4 3/4 0/1 8
Saved % 83% 0% 75% 0% 40%
Times Broken 1 4 1 1 7

Upcoming matches in the draw

Moura Monteiro
More Stats
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Baez

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