Aslan Karatsev and Marin Cilic will fight against each other in the final of the Kremlin Cup for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 4:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aslan Karatsev who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aslan Karatsev is the pick to win this match.
Aslan Karatsev -> 1.77
Marin Cilic -> 2.15
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Prediction and head to head Aslan Karatsev vs. Marin Cilic
This will be the 2nd time that Aslan Karatsev and Marin Cilic square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Cilic (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they competed against each other, Cilic won 7-5 6-3 in the 1st round in Cincinnati back in August 2021.
Aslan Karatsev
Ranked no. 22 (career-high), the Russian got to the final after beating Egor Gerasimov 6-4 6-3, Gilles Simon 6-4 6-3 and Karen Khachanov 7-67 6-1.
In the semifinal, Aslan had a good straight sets win against Khachanov (7-67 6-1). During the match, Karatsev scored 71 points vs Khachanov’s 59. The Russian was pretty aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about the service games, Karatsev fired 6 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Aslan Karatsev lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Karatsev put 62% of his first serves in, winning 64% (29/45) of the points behind his 1st serve and 68% (19/28) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Khachanov 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Aslan started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Karatsev has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (352-221). 3-1 on indoor hard courts in 2021. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Karatsev has an overall 81-61 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the year was winning the title in in Dubai where he overcame Lloyd Harris in the final 6-3 6-2.
The Russian has an overall 36-18 win-loss record in 2021, 3-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Moscow
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2015. See his history.
Marin Cilic
Ranked no. 41, the Croatian got to the final after beating Damir Dzumhur 6-74 6-1 6-1, Tommy Paul 7-5 6-3, Pedro Martinez Portero 6-1 6-2 and Richard Berankis 6-3 6-4.
In the semifinal, Marin had a good straight sets win against Berankis (6-3 6-4). During the match Cilic scored 71 points vs Berankis’s 59. Marin was exceptionally aggressive to blast 31 winners.
About the serving games, Cilic bagged 10 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Marin Cilic lost the serve once and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Cilic put 58% of his first serves in, winning 84% (31/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (12/27) on the 2nd serve. The Croatian broke Berankis 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Marin started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was conquering the title in in Stuttgart where he defeated Felix Auger Aliassime in the final 7-6(2) 6-3.
Cilic has an aggregate 26-17 win-loss record in 2021, 6-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Karatsev | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 58 | 82 |
| Pts | 198-158 | 297-223 |
| Total Points | 356 | 520 |
| Winners | 77 | 131 |
| %Winners | 39% | 44% |
Karatsev played 3 matches while Cilic competed in 4 matches. At the moment, Marin Cilic lost 1 set while Aslan Karatsev hasn’t dropped a set so far. Karatsev has played 3 set(s) less than Cilic (6 vs 9). Therefore, Karatsev played 24 games less than Cilic. The Russian scored 77 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Cilic struck 131 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Karatsev | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 54 |
| Avg per match | 2.3 | 13.5 |
| 1st in | 108/169 | 158/264 |
| %1st in | 64% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 77/108 | 131/158 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 83% |
| 2nd pts | 40/61 | 53/106 |
| %2nd pts | 66% | 50% |
Karatsev struck 7 aces (2.3 per match). Cilic bagged 54 aces (13.5 per match). Karatsev won 71% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 66% of the points. On the other side, Cilic won 83% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Karatsev | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 16 |
| Converted | 11/20 | 16/31 |
| % Converted | 55% | 52% |
| Conceded | 6 | 17 |
| Saved | 3 | 14 |
| % Saved | 50% | 82% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 |
The Russian broke his opponents 11 times with a 55% conversion rate. The Russian dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Marin broke his opponents 16 times with a 52% conversion rate. The Croatian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded.
| Karatsev | |||||
| R2 Gerasimov |
1/4 Simon |
1/2 Khachanov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 6-4 6-3 | 7-67 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | 20 | 58 | |
| pts | 63-53 | 64-46 | 71-59 | 198-158 | |
| Total points | 116 | 110 | 130 | 356 | |
| Winners | 26 | 22 | 29 | 77 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 34% | 41% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 34/53 | 29/43 | 45/73 | 108/169 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 67% | 62% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 26/34 | 22/29 | 29/45 | 77/108 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | 64% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/19 | 9/14 | 19/28 | 40/61 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 64% | 68% | 66% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 5/8 | 3/5 | 11/20 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 63% | 60% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 0/2 | 2/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 0% | 67% | 56% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Cilic | ||||||
| R1 Dzumhur |
R2 Paul |
1/4 Martinez Portero |
1/2 Berankis |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-74 6-1 6-1 | 7-5 6-3 | 6-1 6-2 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 21 | 15 | 19 | 82 | |
| pts | 98-70 | 76-63 | 52-31 | 71-59 | 297-223 | |
| Total points | 168 | 139 | 83 | 130 | 520 | |
| Winners | 43 | 31 | 26 | 31 | 131 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 41% | 50% | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 22 | 7 | 15 | 10 | 54 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 50/80 | 40/75 | 31/45 | 37/64 | 158/264 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 53% | 69% | 58% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 43/50 | 31/40 | 26/31 | 31/37 | 131/158 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 78% | 84% | 84% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/30 | 15/35 | 8/14 | 12/27 | 53/106 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 43% | 57% | 44% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 4/9 | 4/5 | 3/8 | 16/31 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 44% | 80% | 38% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 17 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 5/7 | 1/1 | 5/6 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 71% | 100% | 83% | 118% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Marin CilicCilic – Aslan KaratsevKaratsev (1-0) – H2H and prediction
