Aslan Karatsev and Karen Khachanov will face off in the semifinal of the Kremlin Cup for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 7:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Karen Khachanov who should win in 3 sets.
Karen Khachanov -> 1.77
Aslan Karatsev -> 2.15
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Prediction and head to head Aslan Karatsev vs. Karen Khachanov
This will be the 6th time that Aslan Karatsev and Karen Khachanov square off. The head to head is 4-1 for Khachanov (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they locked horns, Khachanov won 7-6(7) 6-4 in the 2nd round in Toronto back in August 2021.
Aslan Karatsev
Ranked no. 22 (career-high), the Russian reached the semifinal after beating Egor Gerasimov 6-4 6-3 and Gilles Simon 6-4 6-3.
In the quarter, Karatsev had a good straight sets win against Simon (6-4 6-3). During the match, Karatsev scored 64 points vs Simon’s 46. Aslan was pretty aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Regarding the service games, Karatsev wasn’t able to score even 1 ace and he was exceptionally steady in conceding no double faults. Overall, Aslan Karatsev was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 76% (22/29) of his 1st serve and 64% (9/14) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Aslan broke Simon 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t lost yet a set in this competition to conquer 56% of the points he played.
Karatsev has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (351-221). 2-1 on indoor hard courts in 2021. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Karatsev has an aggregate 80-61 match record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the year was winning the title in in Dubai where he defeated Lloyd Harris in the final 6-3 6-2.
Aslan has an aggregate 35-18 win-loss record in 2021, 2-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Moscow
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2015. See his history.
Karen Khachanov
Ranked no. 31, the Russian got to the semifinal after beating James Duckworth 3-6 6-3 6-1 and John Millman 7-5 7-64.
In the quarter, Khachanov had a good straight sets win against Millman (7-5 7-64). During the match Khachanov scored 102 points vs Millman’s 93. The Russian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 44 winners.
About the serving games, Khachanov made 19 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Karen Khachanov lost the serve twice and he saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Khachanov put 62% of his first serves in, winning 76% (44/58) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (15/36) on the 2nd serve. Karen broke Millman 3 times after converting 20% of his break points (3/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Karen started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Karen’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Tokyo.
The Russian has an aggregate 33-21 win-loss record in 2021, 6-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS)
.H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Karatsev | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 38 | 50 |
| Pts | 127-99 | 189-162 |
| Total Points | 226 | 351 |
| Winners | 48 | 74 |
| %Winners | 38% | 39% |
Both Karatsev and Khachanov played 2 matches. At the moment, Karen Khachanov surrendered 1 set while Aslan Karatsev hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Karatsev has played 1 set(s) less than Khachanov (4 vs 5). Therefore, Karatsev played 12 games less than Khachanov. The Russian scored 48 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Khachanov recorded 74 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Karatsev | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 36 |
| Avg per match | 0.5 | 18 |
| 1st in | 63/96 | 95/160 |
| %1st in | 66% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 48/63 | 74/95 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 21/33 | 33/65 |
| %2nd pts | 64% | 51% |
Karatsev made 1 ace (0.5 per match). Khachanov also scored 36 aces (18 per match). Karatsev won 76% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Khachanov won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Karatsev | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 7 |
| Converted | 8/15 | 7/27 |
| % Converted | 53% | 26% |
| Conceded | 3 | 13 |
| Saved | 1 | 10 |
| % Saved | 33% | 77% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 |
The Russian broke his opponents 8 times with a 53% conversion rate. Aslan surrendered his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded. The Russian broke his opponents 7 times with a 26% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded.
| Karatsev | ||||
| R2 Gerasimov | 1/4 Simon | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | 38 | |
| pts | 63-53 | 64-46 | 127-99 | |
| Total points | 116 | 110 | 226 | |
| Winners | 26 | 22 | 48 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 34% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 34/53 | 29/43 | 63/96 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 67% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 26/34 | 22/29 | 48/63 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/19 | 9/14 | 21/33 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 64% | 64% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 5/8 | 8/15 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 63% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 0/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 0% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Khachanov | ||||
| R2 Duckworth | 1/4 Millman | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-3 6-1 | 7-5 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 25 | 50 | |
| pts | 87-69 | 102-93 | 189-162 | |
| Total points | 156 | 195 | 351 | |
| Winners | 30 | 44 | 74 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 43% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 17 | 19 | 36 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 37/66 | 58/94 | 95/160 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 62% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 30/37 | 44/58 | 74/95 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 76% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/29 | 15/36 | 33/65 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 42% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 3/15 | 7/27 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 20% | 26% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 12 | 13 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 10/12 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 83% | 42% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
Tennis Scores in Moscow
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Gilles SimonSimon (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – John MillmanMillman (7-5 7-64) – See score progression
- Richard BerankisBerankis – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (6-2 7-61) – See score progression
- Ariel Behar/Gonzalo EscobarBehar/Gonzalo Escobar – Santiago Gonzalez/Andres MolteniGonzalez/Andres Molteni (7-5 3-6 10-7) – See score progression
- Marin CilicCilic – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – John MillmanMillman (7-5 7-6(4)) – See score progression
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Gilles SimonSimon (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Richard BerankisBerankis – Marin CilicCilic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Aslan KaratsevKaratsev (4-1) – H2H and prediction