Aryna Sabalenka and Ekaterina Alexandrova will fight against each other in the quarter of the Kremlin Cup for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 12:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.32
Ekaterina Alexandrova -> 3.65
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Ekaterina Alexandrova
This will be the 4th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Ekaterina Alexandrova clash against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they played each other, Sabalenka won 6-3 6-4 in the quarter in St. Petersburg back in 2019.
Aryna Sabalenka
Ranked no. 2 (career-high), Sabalenka reached the quarter after defeating Ajla Tomljanovic 7-62 4-6 6-1.
In the 2nd round, The Belarussian defeated Tomljanovic (7-62 4-6 6-1). During the match, Sabalenka scored 95 points vs Tomljanovic’s 83. Aryna was exceptionally aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sabalenka managed to score 10 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Aryna Sabalenka was quite effective on serve to win 73% (37/51) of her 1st serve and 53% (18/34) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve 3 times. The Belarussian broke Tomljanovic 5 times after converting 50% of her break points (5/10).
Sabalenka has a solid record in the last 6 years having won 67% of her matches (229-115). 1-0 on indoor hard courts in 2021. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sabalenka has a composed29-14 win-loss record in the last 6 years on indoor hard courts.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title in in Abu Dhabi where she overcame Veronika Kudermetova in the final 6-2 6-2 and in in Madrid where she beat Ashleigh Barty in the final 6-0 3-6 6-4.
The Belarussian has an aggregate 44-15 win-loss record in 2021, 1-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Moscow
Previously, her best result was reaching the qualifications in 2016. See her history.
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Ranked no. 37, Alexandrova reached the quarter after defeating Ons Jabeur 6-1 1-0 ret. and Anhelina Kalinina 6-4 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Ekaterina had a good straight sets win against Kalinina (6-4 6-1). During the match Alexandrova scored 60 points vs Kalinina’s 42. Ekaterina was quite aggressive to blast 19 winners.
About the serving games, Alexandrova bagged 3 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Ekaterina Alexandrova was exceptionally effective on serve to win 83% (19/23) of her 1st serve and 58% (15/26) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Ekaterina broke Kalinina 5 times after converting 38% of her break points (5/13).
Ekaterina’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Melbourne.
Alexandrova has an aggregate 24-20 win-loss record in 2021, 5-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 30 | 25 |
| Pts | 95-83 | 97-60 |
| Total Points | 178 | 157 |
| Winners | 37 | 33 |
| %Winners | 39% | 34% |
Sabalenka played 1 match while Alexandrova competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Aryna Sabalenka lost 1 set while Ekaterina Alexandrova hasn’t conceded a set so far. Sabalenka has played 2 set(s) less than Alexandrova (3 vs 5). However, it’s interesting to notice that Sabalenka played 5 games more than Alexandrova. Sabalenka scored 37 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Ekaterina struck 33 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 10 | 4 |
| 1st in | 51/85 | 41/77 |
| %1st in | 60% | 53% |
| 1st pts | 37/51 | 33/41 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 18/34 | 21/36 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 58% |
Sabalenka managed to score 10 aces . Alexandrova blasted 8 aces (4 per match). Sabalenka won 73% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Alexandrova won 80% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 8 |
| Converted | 5/10 | 8/19 |
| % Converted | 50% | 42% |
| Conceded | 5 | 8 |
| Saved | 2 | 7 |
| % Saved | 40% | 88% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 |
Aryna broke her opponent 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Belarussian surrendered her serve 3 times and she saved 40% of the break points that she conceded. Ekaterina broke her opponents 8 times with a 42% conversion rate. Ekaterina conceded her serve once and she saved 88% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | |||
| R2 Tomljanovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-62 4-6 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 30 | |
| pts | 95-83 | 95-83 | |
| Total points | 178 | 178 | |
| Winners | 37 | 37 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 10 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 51/85 | 51/85 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 37/51 | 37/51 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/34 | 18/34 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 5/10 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 2/5 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 40% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Alexandrova | ||||
| R1 Jabeur |
R2 Kalinina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 1-0 ret. | 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 8 | 17 | 25 | |
| pts | 37-18 | 60-42 | 97-60 | |
| Total points | 55 | 102 | 157 | |
| Winners | 14 | 19 | 33 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 32% | 34% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 18/28 | 23/49 | 41/77 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 47% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 14/18 | 19/23 | 33/41 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 83% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/10 | 15/26 | 21/36 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 5/13 | 8/19 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 38% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 3/4 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 75% | 175% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWWWWWL
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