Cameron Norrie and Nikoloz Basilashvili will face off in the final of the BNP Paribas Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 4:00 pm on STADIUM 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Cameron Norrie who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Cameron Norrie is the pick to win this match.
Cameron Norrie -> 1.52
Nikoloz Basilashvili -> 2.68
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Prediction and head to head Cameron Norrie vs. Nikoloz Basilashvili
This will be the 2nd time that Cameron Norrie and Nikoloz Basilashvili clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Norrie (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Norrie won 6-0 6-3 in the 1st round in Rotterdam back in March 2021.
Cameron Norrie
Ranked no. 26 (career-high), Cameron reached the final after beating Tennys Sandgren 6-4 5-7 6-0, Roberto Bautista Agut 6-4 5-7 6-3, Tommy Paul 6-4 4-6 6-2, Diego Sebastian Schwartzman 6-0 6-2 and Grigor Dimitrov 6-2 6-4.
In the semifinal, Cameron had a good straight sets win against Dimitrov (6-2 6-4). During the match, Norrie scored 64 points vs Dimitrov’s 53. Norrie was quite aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Regarding the service games, Norrie made 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Cameron Norrie lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Norrie put 71% of his first serves in, winning 69% (27/39) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (9/16) on the 2nd serve. The Brit broke Dimitrov 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Brit started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 3 set in this event to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Norrie has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 63% of his matches (257-149). 24-11 on hard in 2021. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Norrie has a composed173-75 match record in the last 9 years on hard.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in in Los Cabos where he beat Brandon Nakashima in the final 6-2 6-2.
Cameron has an aggregate 50-20 win-loss record in 2021, 24-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2018 and 2019. See his history.
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Ranked no. 36, the Georgean reached the final after defeating Christopher Eubanks 6-4 6-3, Albert Ramos-Vinolas 4-6 7-62 6-2, Karen Khachanov 6-4 7-66, Stefanos Tsitsipas 6-4 2-6 6-4 and Taylor Harry Fritz 7-65 6-3.
In the semifinal, The Georgean had a good straight sets win against Fritz (7-65 6-3). During the match Basilashvili scored 79 points vs Fritz’s 74. The Georgean was very aggressive to blast 43 winners.
About the serving games, Basilashvili fired 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Nikoloz Basilashvili conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 7 break points. Furthermore, Basilashvili put 70% of his first serves in, winning 68% (43/63) of the points behind his 1st serve and 59% (16/27) on the 2nd serve. The Georgean was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Fritz once.
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Georgean started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
His best result of the year was conquering the title in in Doha where he defeated Roberto Bautista Agut in the final 7-6(5) 6-2 and in in Munich where he overcame Jan-Lennard Struff in the final 6-4 7-6(5).
Basilashvili has a compiled 34-24 win-loss record in 2021, 18-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Norrie | Basilashvili |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 13 | 12 |
| Tot Games | 119 | 123 |
| Pts | 441-366 | 424-387 |
| Total Points | 807 | 811 |
| Winners | 157 | 178 |
| %Winners | 36% | 42% |
Both Norrie and Basilashvili played 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Cameron Norrie lost 3 sets, while Nikoloz Basilashvili surrendered 2 sets. Norrie has played 1 set more than Basilashvili (13 vs 12). However, it’s interesting to notice that Norrie played 4 games less than Basilashvili. Norrie scored 157 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Nikoloz fired 178 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Norrie | Basilashvili |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 25 | 21 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 4.2 |
| 1st in | 225/363 | 261/418 |
| %1st in | 62% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 157/225 | 178/261 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 65/138 | 81/157 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 52% |
Norrie managed to score 25 aces (5 per match). Basilashvili fired 21 aces (4.2 per match). Norrie won 70% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Basilashvili won 68% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Norrie | Basilashvili |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 29 | 17 |
| Converted | 29/75 | 17/31 |
| % Converted | 39% | 55% |
| Conceded | 35 | 35 |
| Saved | 21 | 24 |
| % Saved | 60% | 69% |
| Times Broken | 14 | 11 |
Norrie broke his opponents 29 times with a 39% conversion rate. Cameron lost his serve 14 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. The Georgean broke his opponents 17 times with a 55% conversion rate. The Georgean conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded.
| Norrie | |||||||
| R2 Sandgren |
R3 Bautista-Agut |
R4 Paul |
1/4 Schwartzman |
1/2 Dimitrov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 5-7 6-0 | 6-4 5-7 6-3 | 6-4 4-6 6-2 | 6-0 6-2 | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 31 | 28 | 14 | 18 | 119 | |
| pts | 98-80 | 117-110 | 104-93 | 58-30 | 64-53 | 441-366 | |
| Total points | 178 | 227 | 197 | 88 | 117 | 807 | |
| Winners | 31 | 44 | 37 | 18 | 27 | 157 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 38% | 36% | 31% | 42% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 3 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 25 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | |
| 1st in | 43/79 | 62/101 | 56/86 | 25/42 | 39/55 | 225/363 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 61% | 65% | 60% | 71% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 31/43 | 44/62 | 37/56 | 18/25 | 27/39 | 157/225 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 71% | 66% | 72% | 69% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/36 | 15/39 | 12/30 | 10/17 | 9/16 | 65/138 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 38% | 40% | 59% | 56% | 47% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 6 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | |
| Converted | 6/18 | 6/17 | 7/24 | 6/9 | 4/7 | 29/75 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 35% | 29% | 67% | 57% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 35 | |
| Saved | 4/7 | 10/14 | 4/9 | 2/3 | 1/2 | 21 | |
| Saved % | 57% | 71% | 44% | 67% | 50% | 58% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | |
| Basilashvili | |||||||
| R2 Eubanks |
R3 Ramos-Vinolas |
R4 Khachanov |
1/4 Tsitsipas |
1/2 Fritz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 4-6 7-62 6-2 | 6-4 7-66 | 6-4 2-6 6-4 | 7-65 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 31 | 23 | 28 | 22 | 123 | |
| pts | 71-57 | 106-96 | 82-71 | 86-89 | 79-74 | 424-387 | |
| Total points | 128 | 202 | 153 | 175 | 153 | 811 | |
| Winners | 23 | 39 | 29 | 44 | 43 | 178 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 37% | 35% | 51% | 54% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 1 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 21 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | |
| 1st in | 31/55 | 53/98 | 41/74 | 73/101 | 63/90 | 261/418 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 54% | 55% | 72% | 70% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 23/31 | 39/53 | 29/41 | 44/73 | 43/63 | 178/261 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | 71% | 60% | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/24 | 19/45 | 19/33 | 14/28 | 16/27 | 81/157 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 42% | 58% | 50% | 59% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 17 | |
| Converted | 4/13 | 5/6 | 3/6 | 4/5 | 1/1 | 17/31 | |
| Converted % | 31% | 83% | 50% | 80% | 100% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 35 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 6/10 | 4/6 | 6/10 | 7/7 | 24 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 60% | 67% | 60% | 100% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili (1-0) – H2H and prediction
