Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Sebastian Baez will face off in the quarter of the Santiago 3 Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 6:00 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sebastian Baez who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Sebastian Baez is the pick to win this match.
Sebastian Baez -> 1.85
Juan Manuel Cerundolo -> 1.95
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Prediction and head to head Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs. Sebastian Baez
This will be the 3rd time that Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Sebastian Baez play each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Manuel Cerundolo and Baez (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on clay.
The last time that they played, Baez won 6-4 7-5 in the qualifications in the Campinas Challenger back in 2020.
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Ranked no. 102 (career-high), Juan reached the quarter after defeating Julian Lenz 6-3 6-3 and Pedro Cachin 6-4 3-6 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The Argentine defeated Cachin (6-4 3-6 6-2).-90) than Cachin. In fact, the world no. 102 won 90 points vs Cachin’s. That means that Manuel Cerundolo was more focused during the important points. Juan was exceptionally aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Regarding the service games, Manuel Cerundolo couldn’t to score even 1 ace during the match and he committed only 2 double faults. Juan Manuel Cerundolo lost the serve 5 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Manuel Cerundolo put 78% of his first serves in, winning 53% (35/66) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (9/19) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Cachin 7 times after converting 64% of his break points (7/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Argentine started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in this competition to conquer 52% of the points he played.
Manuel Cerundolo has a solid win-loss record in the last 4 years having won 65% of his matches (122-65). 44-18 on clay in 2021. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Manuel Cerundolo has a composed120-61 win-loss record in the last 4 years on clay.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title in in Cordoba where he defeated Albert Ramos-Vinolas in the final 6-0 2-6 6-2 and in the Rome 2 Challenger where he defeated Flavio Cobolli in the final 6-2 3-6 6-3 and in the Como Challenger where he beat Gian Marco Moroni in the final 7-5 7-6(7) and in the Banja Luka Challenger where he defeated Nikola Milojevic in the final 6-3 6-1.
Manuel Cerundolo has a compiled 44-19 win-loss record in 2021, 44-18 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Santiago 3 Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2021. See his history.
Sebastian Baez
Ranked no. 138 (career-high), the Argentine reached the quarter after defeating Nicolas Alvarez 7-5 6-3 and Juan Pablo Ficovich 6-1 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Baez had a good straight sets win against Pablo Ficovich (6-1 7-5). During the match Baez scored 73 points vs Pablo Ficovich’s 49. Sebastian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 25 winners.
About the serving games, Baez scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Sebastian Baez was extremely effective on serve to win 71% (25/35) of his 1st serve and 81% (13/16) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Baez broke Pablo Ficovich 4 times after converting 29% of his break points (4/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Baez started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t lost yet a set in this competition to conquer 58% of the points he played.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in the Concepcion Challenger where he beat Francisco Cerundolo in the final 6-3 6-7(5) 7-6(5) and in the Santiago Challenger where he beat Tomas Barrios Vera in the final 6-3 7-6(4) and in the Zagreb Challenger where he overcame Juan Pablo Varillas in the final 3-6 6-3 6-1.
Sebastian has an aggregate 41-13 win-loss record in 2021, 39-11 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Manuel Cerundolo | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 45 | 40 |
| Pts | 159-149 | 150-108 |
| Total Points | 308 | 258 |
| Winners | 66 | 59 |
| %Winners | 42% | 39% |
Both Manuel Cerundolo and Baez played 2 matches. At the moment, Juan Manuel Cerundolo surrendered 1 set while Sebastian Baez hasn’t dropped a set so far. Manuel Cerundolo has played 1 set more than Baez (5 vs 4). Therefore, Manuel Cerundolo played 5 games more than Baez. Juan scored 66 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Baez made 59 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Manuel Cerundolo | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 0.5 |
| 1st in | 108/141 | 80/113 |
| %1st in | 77% | 71% |
| 1st pts | 66/108 | 59/80 |
| %1st pts | 61% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 17/33 | 20/33 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 61% |
Manuel Cerundolo fired 2 aces (1 per match). Baez bagged 1 ace (0.5 per match). Manuel Cerundolo won 61% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Baez won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Manuel Cerundolo | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 8 |
| Converted | 10/21 | 8/22 |
| % Converted | 48% | 36% |
| Conceded | 12 | 10 |
| Saved | 7 | 7 |
| % Saved | 58% | 70% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 3 |
Manuel Cerundolo broke his opponents 10 times with a 48% conversion rate. The Argentine dropped his serve 5 times and he saved 58% of the break points that he conceded. Baez broke his opponents 8 times with a 36% conversion rate. The Argentine conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.
| Manuel Cerundolo | ||||
| R1 Lenz |
R2 Cachin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | 6-4 3-6 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 27 | 45 | |
| pts | 69-57 | 90-92 | 159-149 | |
| Total points | 126 | 182 | 308 | |
| Winners | 31 | 35 | 66 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 39% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 42/56 | 66/85 | 108/141 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 78% | 77% | |
| 1st pts | 31/42 | 35/66 | 66/108 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 53% | 61% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/14 | 9/19 | 17/33 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 47% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 7 | 10 | |
| Converted | 3/10 | 7/11 | 10/21 | |
| Converted % | 30% | 64% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 9 | 12 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 4/9 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 44% | 72% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 5 | 5 | |
| Baez | ||||
| R1 Alvarez |
R2 Pablo Ficovich |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-3 | 6-1 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 19 | 40 | |
| pts | 77-59 | 73-49 | 150-108 | |
| Total points | 136 | 122 | 258 | |
| Winners | 34 | 25 | 59 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 34% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 45/62 | 35/51 | 80/113 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 69% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 34/45 | 25/35 | 59/80 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 71% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/17 | 13/16 | 20/33 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 81% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/14 | 8/22 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 29% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 3 | 10 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 2/3 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 67% | 69% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
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