H2H, PREDICTION Angelique Kerber vs Daria Kasatkina | Indian Wells odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. Indian Wells. Kerber and Kasatkina will face off in the 3rd round of the BNP Paribas Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match

By
Mark Hall
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Prediction and head to head Angelique Kerber vs. Daria Kasatkina

Angelique Kerber and Daria Kasatkina will square off in the 3rd round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 10th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 8:00 pm on STADIUM 2. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daria Kasatkina who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Daria Kasatkina is the pick to win this match.
Daria Kasatkina -> 1.87
Angelique Kerber -> 1.97

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Prediction and head to head Angelique Kerber vs. Daria Kasatkina

This will be the 10th time that Angelique Kerber and Daria Kasatkina fight against each other. The head to head is 5-4 for Kerber (see full H2H stats), but Kasatkina leads 4-3 on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Kerber won 6-2 1-6 6-4 in the 3rd round in Indian Wells back in 2021.

Highlights Angelique Kerber vs Daria Kasatkina – Indian Wells 11-October-2021

Angelique Kerber

Angelique Kerber
Angelique Kerber

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
205
High
1
LWWWLLLLLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 10-15 4-7 6-4 0-1 0-3 0-0
2023 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 13-11 2-4 7-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 30-16 14-8 4-4 1-2 11-2 0-0
2020 7-6 7-4 0-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 16, Kerber got to the 3rd round after defeating Qinwen Zheng 6-2 5-7 6-4.

In the 2nd round, Angelique defeated Zheng (6-2 5-7 6-4). During the match, Kerber scored 106 points vs Zheng’s 94. Angelique was pretty aggressive to blast 40 winners.

Regarding the service games, Kerber scored just 1 ace in the match and she committed only 7 double faults. Angelique Kerber lost the serve 6 times and she saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Kerber put 62% of her first serves in, winning 61% (40/66) of the points behind her 1st serve and 43% (17/40) on the 2nd serve. Angelique broke Zheng 8 times after converting 53% of her break points (8/15).

Kerber has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 67% of her matches (349-173). 1-2 on hard in 2022. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Kerber has an overall 215-105 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

The German has an overall 1-2 win-loss record in 2022, 1-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Kerber
Indian Wells
Kerber's Record

Daria Kasatkina

Daria Kasatkina
Daria Kasatkina

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
9
High
8
LWWWWWLWLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 40-22 24-16 8-4 0-0 8-2 0-0
2023 39-25 19-15 12-6 2-1 6-3 0-0
2022 41-22 24-14 12-5 1-1 4-2 0-0
2021 38-19 19-10 5-5 7-1 7-3 0-0
2020 18-14 7-8 5-3 6-3 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 28, the Russian got to the 3rd round after defeating Katie Volynets 6-4 4-6 7-5.

In the 2nd round, The Russian defeated Volynets (6-4 4-6 7-5). During the match Kasatkina scored 111 points vs Volynets’s 105. Kasatkina was exceptionally aggressive to blast 43 winners.

Talking about serving, Kasatkina scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 9 double faults. Daria Kasatkina lost the serve 7 times and she saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Kasatkina put 65% of her first serves in, winning 58% (43/74) of the points behind her 1st serve and 38% (15/39) on the 2nd serve. Kasatkina broke Volynets 8 times after converting 57% of her break points (8/14).

The Russian’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Melbourne and Sydney.

The Russian has an overall 11-5 win-loss record in 2022, 11-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Previously, her best result was reaching the final in 2018. See her history.

Kasatkina
Indian Wells
Kasatkina's Record
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Sports

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

A.Kerber
D.Kasatkina
2h:18
2h:18
Time on court​
2h:35
2h:35
!
2h:18
2h:18
Last match​
!
2h:35
2h:35
1
1
Match played
1
1
30
30
Games Played​
32
32
3
3
Set played​​
3
3
106
106
Total points​
111
111
106
106
Avg point​
111
111
40
40
Winners
43
43
40
40
Avg Winners​
43
43
38%
38%
Ratio winners
39%
39%
-- Serve --
1
1
Aces
1
1
1
1
Avg Aces
1
1
7
7
Double Faults
9
9
!
7
7
Avg Double Faults
!
9
9
40/66
40/66
1st won total​
43/74
43/74
61%
61%
1st won %
58%
58%
17/40
17/40
2nd won total​
15/39
15/39
43%
43%
2nd won %
!
38%
38%
-- Break Points --
8/15
8/15
BP won
8/14
8/14
8/15
8/15
Avg BP won
8/14
8/14
!
53%
53%
Won
!
57%
57%
16
16
Conceded
16
16
16
16
Avg Conceded
16
16
6
6
Broken
7
7
!
6
6
Avg Broken
!
7
7
10
10
Saved
9
9
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Matches, sets, games and points

Points Kerber Kasatkina
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 30 32
Pts 106-94 111-105
Total Points 200 216
Winners 40 43
%Winners 38% 39%

Both Kerber and Kasatkina played 1 match. Both players lost a set in the event. Angelique Kerber dropped 1 set, while Daria Kasatkina dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Kerber and Kasatkina have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Kerber played 2 games less than Kasatkina. Angelique scored 40 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Kasatkina made 43 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve Kerber Kasatkina
Aces 1 1
Avg per match 1 1
1st in 66/106 74/113
%1st in 62% 65%
1st pts 40/66 43/74
%1st pts 61% 58%
2nd pts 17/40 15/39
%2nd pts 43% 38%

Kerber managed to score 1 ace . Kasatkina also blasted 1 ace . Kerber won 61% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Kasatkina won 58% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 38% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Kerber Kasatkina
Won 8 8
Converted 8/15 8/14
% Converted 53% 57%
Conceded 16 16
Saved 10 9
% Saved 63% 56%
Times Broken 6 7

Kerber broke her opponent 8 times with a 53% conversion rate. The German surrendered her serve 6 times and she saved 63% of the break points that she conceded. Darya broke her opponent 8 times with a 57% conversion rate. Kasatkina conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 56% of the break points that she conceded.

Kerber
R2
Zheng		 Total
Score 6-2 5-7 6-4
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 30 30
pts 106-94 106-94
Total points 200 200
Winners 40 40
%Winners 38% 38%
SERVE
Aces 1 1
Double Faults 7 7
1st in 66/106 66/106
% 1st in 62% 62%
1st pts 40/66 40/66
% 1st pts 61% 61%
2nd pts 17/40 17/40
% 2nd pts 43% 43%
Breaks
Won 8 8
Converted 8/15 8/15
Converted % 53% 53%
Conceded 16 16
Saved 10/16 10
Saved % 63% 63%
Times Broken 6 6
Kasatkina
R2
Volynets		 Total
Score 6-4 4-6 7-5
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 32 32
pts 111-105 111-105
Total points 216 216
Winners 43 43
%Winners 39% 39%
SERVE
Aces 1 1
Double Faults 9 9
1st in 74/113 74/113
% 1st in 65% 65%
1st pts 43/74 43/74
% 1st pts 58% 58%
2nd pts 15/39 15/39
% 2nd pts 38% 38%
Breaks
Won 8 8
Converted 8/14 8/14
Converted % 57% 57%
Conceded 16 16
Saved 9/16 9
Saved % 56% 56%
Times Broken 7 7

Head 2 Head

Angelique Kerber
  • 3Slam
  • 14Main
  • 11ITF
  • 0Minor
Daria Kasatkina
  • 0Slam
  • 8Main
  • 6ITF
  • 1Minor

Angelique
Kerber

6:4

Daria
Kasatkina

Rank

205

High

1

4Hard4

2Grass0

Rank

9

High

8

Win Loss
Kerber
LWWWLLLLLW
Kasatkina
LWWWWWLWLW
2024 2023 2022
10 - 15
40 - 22
4-7
Hard
24-16
6-4
Clay
8-4
0-3
Grass
8-2

Tennis Scores in Indian Wells

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Upcoming matches in the draw

Kerber Angelique Kerber
More Stats
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Kasatkina Daria Kasatkina