H2H, PREDICTION Andrey Rublev vs Tommy Paul | Indian Wells odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. Indian Wells. Rublev and Paul will face off in the 3rd round of the BNP Paribas Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match

By
Mark Hall
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Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Tommy Paul

Andrey Rublev and Tommy Paul will square off in the 3rd round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 8:30 pm on STADIUM 3. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Andrey Rublev is the pick to win this match.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.184
Tommy Paul -> 5.05

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Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Tommy Paul

This will be the 4th time that Andrey Rublev and Tommy Paul fight against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Rublev (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Rublev won 6-7(5) 6-3 6-4 in the 2nd round in Madrid back in May 2021.

Highlights Andrey Rublev vs Tommy Paul – Madrid 04-May-2021

Andrey Rublev

Ranked no. 5 (career-high), the Russian got to the 3rd round after beating Carlos Taberner 6-3 6-4.

In the 2nd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Taberner (6-3 6-4). During the match, Rublev scored 76 points vs Taberner’s 59. The Russian was very aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Regarding the service games, Rublev managed to score 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Andrey Rublev was quite effective on serve to win 73% (33/45) of his 1st serve and 52% (13/25) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Andrey broke Taberner 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).

Rublev has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 64% of his matches (322-183). 25-9 on hard in 2021. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Rublev has an aggregate123-66 win-loss record in the last 9 years on hard.

His best result of the current season was conquering the title in in Rotterdam where he defeated Marton Fucsovics in the final 7-6(4) 6-4.

Andrey has a composed 47-16 win-loss record in 2021, 25-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2019. See his history.

Rublev
Indian Wells
Rublev's Record

Tommy Paul

Ranked no. 60, the American reached the 3rd round after beating Feliciano Lopez 6-3 7-63 and Dusan Lajovic 6-2 6-3.

In the 2nd round, Tommy had a good straight sets win against Lajovic (6-2 6-3). During the match Paul scored 58 points vs Lajovic’s 38. Tommy was extremely aggressive to blast 20 winners.

Talking about serving, Paul was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Tommy Paul was quite efficient on serve to win 83% (20/24) of his 1st serve and 71% (12/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Paul broke Lajovic 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Paul started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

The American’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Parma.

The American has a composed 22-19 win-loss record in 2021, 11-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Paul
Indian Wells
Paul's Record
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Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

A.Rublev
T.Paul
1h:36
1h:36
Time on court​
!
2h:28
2h:28
1h:36
1h:36
Last match​
1h:00
1h:00
1
1
Match played
!
2
2
19
19
Games Played​
39
39
2
2
Set played​​
4
4
76
76
Total points​
133
133
76
76
Avg point​
66.5
66.5
33
33
Winners
46
46
33
33
Avg Winners​
23
23
43%
43%
Ratio winners
35%
35%
-- Serve --
6
6
Aces
2
2
6
6
Avg Aces
1
1
1
1
Double Faults
3
3
1
1
Avg Double Faults
1.5
1.5
33/45
33/45
1st won total​
46/56
46/56
!
73%
73%
1st won %
!
82%
82%
13/25
13/25
2nd won total​
30/48
30/48
52%
52%
2nd won %
!
63%
63%
-- Break Points --
3/9
3/9
BP won
7/17
7/17
3/9
3/9
Avg BP won
3.5/8.5
3.5/8.5
33%
33%
Won
41%
41%
5
5
Conceded
2
2
5
5
Avg Conceded
1
1
1
1
Broken
2
2
1
1
Avg Broken
1
1
4
4
Saved
0
0
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Rublev Paul
Match played 1 2
Tot Set 2 4
Tot Games 19 39
Pts 76-59 133-99
Total Points 135 232
Winners 33 46
%Winners 43% 35%

Rublev played 1 match while Paul competed in 2 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Rublev has played 2 set(s) less than Paul (2 vs 4). Therefore, Rublev played 20 games less than Paul. Andrey scored 33 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Tommy bagged 46 winners (35%).

Serve Performance

Serve Rublev Paul
Aces 6 2
Avg per match 6 1
1st in 45/70 56/104
%1st in 64% 54%
1st pts 33/45 46/56
%1st pts 73% 82%
2nd pts 13/25 30/48
%2nd pts 52% 63%

Rublev scored 6 aces . Paul scored 2 aces (1 per match). Rublev won 73% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Paul won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Rublev Paul
Won 3 7
Converted 3/9 7/17
% Converted 33% 41%
Conceded 5 2
Saved 4 0
% Saved 80% 0%
Times Broken 1 2

Andrey broke his opponent 3 times with a 33% conversion rate. Rublev lost his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. Tommy broke his opponents 7 times with a 41% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve twice and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.

Rublev
R2
Taberner		 Total
Score 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 19 19
pts 76-59 76-59
Total points 135 135
Winners 33 33
%Winners 43% 43%
SERVE
Aces 6 6
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 45/70 45/70
% 1st in 64% 64%
1st pts 33/45 33/45
% 1st pts 73% 73%
2nd pts 13/25 13/25
% 2nd pts 52% 52%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/9 3/9
Converted % 33% 33%
Conceded 5 5
Saved 4/5 4
Saved % 80% 80%
Times Broken 1 1
Paul
R1
Lopez		 R2
Lajovic		 Total
Score 6-3 7-63 6-2 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 22 17 39
pts 75-61 58-38 133-99
Total points 136 96 232
Winners 26 20 46
%Winners 35% 34% 35%
SERVE
Aces 2 0 2
Double Faults 2 1 3
1st in 32/63 24/41 56/104
% 1st in 51% 59% 54%
1st pts 26/32 20/24 46/56
% 1st pts 81% 83% 82%
2nd pts 18/31 12/17 30/48
% 2nd pts 58% 71% 63%
Breaks
Won 3 4 7
Converted 3/9 4/8 7/17
Converted % 33% 50% 41%
Conceded 2 0 2
Saved 0/2 0/0 0
Saved % 0% – 0%
Times Broken 2 0 2

Head 2 Head

Andrey Rublev
  • 0Slam
  • 18Main
  • 1Chall
  • 4Minor
Tommy Paul
  • 0Slam
  • 4Main
  • 4Chall
  • 6Minor

Andrey
Rublev

5:1

Tommy
Paul

Rank

16

High

5

2Hard1

2Clay0

1I.hard0

Rank

20

High

8

Win Loss
Rublev
LWWLLLLLWW
Paul
LWWLWLWLLW
2025 2024 2023
34 - 25
29 - 13
16-13
Hard
13-6
6-4
I Hard
3-1
8-6
Clay
12-4
4-2
Grass
1-2

Tennis Scores in Indian Wells

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Upcoming matches in the draw

Rublev Andrey Rublev
More Stats
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Paul Tommy Paul