Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Gerald Melzer will square off in the semifinal of the Lima Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 12:00 pm on CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Camilo Ugo Carabelli who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Camilo Ugo Carabelli is the pick to win this match.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 1.82
Gerald Melzer -> 1.99
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Gerald Melzer
There is no head to head record between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Gerald Melzer since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Ranked no. 245, Camilo reached the semifinal after defeating Nicolas Mejia 6-3 6-0, Julian Lenz 7-5 6-3 and Juan Manuel Cerundolo 3-6 6-4 2-0 ret..
In the quarter against Manuel Cerundolo, Camilo recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-4 2-0 ret.).-69) than Manuel Cerundolo. In fact, the world no. 245 won 69 points vs Manuel Cerundolo’s. That means that Ugo Carabelli was more focused during the important points. Camilo was quite aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ugo Carabelli was unable to score even 1 ace in the encounter and he committed only 3 double faults. Camilo Ugo Carabelli lost the serve 4 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Ugo Carabelli put 58% of his first serves in, winning 55% (26/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (16/34) on the 2nd serve. Camilo broke Manuel Cerundolo 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ugo Carabelli started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to conquer 60% of the points he played.
Ugo Carabelli has a solid match record in the last 6 years having won 65% of his matches (159-85). 34-17 on clay in 2021. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Ugo Carabelli has an overall139-71 match record in the last 6 years on clay.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in the Warsaw Challenger where he overcame Nino Serdarusic in the final 6-4 6-2.
Ugo Carabelli has a composed 38-19 win-loss record in 2021, 34-17 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lima Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2019. See his history.
Gerald Melzer
Ranked no. 664, Gerald reached the semifinal after defeating Juan Pablo Ficovich 6-3 7-62, Oriol Roca Batalla 6-4 7-65 and Eduard Esteve Lobato 6-2 3-0 ret..
In the quarter, Gerald had a good straight sets win against Esteve Lobato (6-2 3-0 ret.). During the match Melzer scored 45 points vs Esteve Lobato’s 21. Gerald was exceptionally aggressive to blast 15 winners.
About the serving games, Melzer recorded 4 aces and he was pretty steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Gerald Melzer was exceptionally effective on serve to win 79% (15/19) of his 1st serve and 75% (6/8) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Austrian broke Esteve Lobato 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Austrian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t lost yet a set in this tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
The Austrian has an aggregate 14-8 win-loss record in 2021, 14-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ugo Carabelli | Melzer |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 57 | 56 |
| Pts | 206-162 | 208-157 |
| Total Points | 368 | 365 |
| Winners | 75 | 81 |
| %Winners | 36% | 39% |
Both Ugo Carabelli and Melzer played 3 matches. At the moment, Camilo Ugo Carabelli dropped 1 set while Gerald Melzer hasn’t conceded a set so far. Ugo Carabelli has played 1 set more than Melzer (8 vs 7). Therefore, Ugo Carabelli played 1 game more than Melzer. Ugo Carabelli scored 75 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The Austrian recorded 81 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ugo Carabelli | Melzer |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 12 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 4 |
| 1st in | 110/189 | 111/161 |
| %1st in | 58% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 75/110 | 81/111 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 42/79 | 34/50 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 68% |
Ugo Carabelli made 3 aces (1 per match). Melzer struck 12 aces (4 per match). Ugo Carabelli won 68% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Melzer won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 68% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ugo Carabelli | Melzer |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 9 |
| Converted | 13/31 | 9/26 |
| % Converted | 42% | 35% |
| Conceded | 18 | 15 |
| Saved | 12 | 12 |
| % Saved | 67% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 3 |
Camilo broke his opponents 13 times with a 42% conversion rate. Ugo Carabelli surrendered his serve 6 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Gerald broke his opponents 9 times with a 35% conversion rate. Melzer conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ugo Carabelli | |||||
| R1 Mejia |
R2 Lenz |
1/4 Manuel Cerundolo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-0 | 7-5 6-3 | 3-6 6-4 2-0 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 21 | 21 | 57 | |
| pts | 63-35 | 74-55 | 69-72 | 206-162 | |
| Total points | 98 | 129 | 141 | 368 | |
| Winners | 19 | 30 | 26 | 75 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 41% | 38% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 24/44 | 39/64 | 47/81 | 110/189 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 61% | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 19/24 | 30/39 | 26/47 | 75/110 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 77% | 55% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/20 | 13/25 | 16/34 | 42/79 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 52% | 47% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 4/9 | 4/11 | 13/31 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 44% | 36% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 4 | 12 | 18 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2/4 | 8/12 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 50% | 67% | 72% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Melzer | |||||
| R1 Pablo Ficovich |
R2 Roca Batalla |
1/4 Esteve Lobato |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-62 | 6-4 7-65 | 6-2 3-0 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 23 | 11 | 56 | |
| pts | 78-62 | 85-74 | 45-21 | 208-157 | |
| Total points | 140 | 159 | 66 | 365 | |
| Winners | 32 | 34 | 15 | 81 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 40% | 33% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 5 | 4 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 41/60 | 51/74 | 19/27 | 111/161 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 69% | 70% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 32/41 | 34/51 | 15/19 | 81/111 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 67% | 79% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/19 | 15/23 | 6/8 | 34/50 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 65% | 75% | 68% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 3/11 | 2/10 | 4/5 | 9/26 | |
| Converted % | 27% | 20% | 80% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 9 | 1 | 15 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 8/9 | 0/1 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 89% | 0% | 56% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
Tennis Scores in Lima Challenger
- Johan NiklesNikles – Renzo OlivoOlivo (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Gerald MelzerMelzer – Eduard Esteve LobatoEsteve Lobato (6-2 3-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo (3-6 6-4 2-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Hugo DellienDellien – Nicolas KickerKicker (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Gerald MelzerMelzer – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Johan NiklesNikles – Hugo DellienDellien (0-0) – H2H and prediction
