Varvara Gracheva and Lesya Tsurenko will face off in the 2nd round of the Astana Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 11:00 am on Court 1. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lesya Tsurenko who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Lesya Tsurenko is the pick to win this match.
Lesya Tsurenko -> 1.6
Varvara Gracheva -> 2.4
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Prediction and head to head Varvara Gracheva vs. Lesya Tsurenko
This will be the 2nd time that Varvara Gracheva and Lesya Tsurenko clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Tsurenko (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they played, Tsurenko won 0-6 6-4 6-2 in the 2nd round in the Indian Wells back in 2020.
Varvara Gracheva
Ranked no. 88, the Russian got to the 2nd round after beating Kristyna Pliskova 6-3 7-65.
In the 1st round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Pliskova (6-3 7-65). During the match, Gracheva scored 77 points vs Pliskova’s 56. Varvara was quite aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Regarding the service games, Gracheva scored just 1 ace during the match and she committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Varvara Gracheva was pretty effective on serve to win 73% (27/37) of her 1st serve and 63% (17/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve 3 times. Varvara broke Pliskova 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).
Gracheva has a solid win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 63% of her matches (162-95). 2-4 on indoor hard courts in 2021. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Gracheva has a composed22-17 win-loss record in the last 6 years on indoor hard courts.
The Russian’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in the Malo and Chicago.
Varvara has an aggregate 19-25 win-loss record in 2021, 2-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Nur-Sultan
The Russian has never competed in this tournament before.
Lesya Tsurenko
Ranked no. 161, Lesya reached the 2nd round after defeating Rutuja Bhosale 6-0 6-3, Urszula Radwanska 7-5 6-1 and Vitalia Diatchenko 6-1 3-1 ret..
In the 1st round, The Ukrainian had a good straight sets win against Diatchenko (6-1 3-1 ret.). During the match Tsurenko scored 48 points vs Diatchenko’s 26. Lesya was extremely aggressive to blast 16 winners.
About the serving games, Tsurenko was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 3 double faults. Lesya Tsurenko lost the serve once and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Tsurenko put 56% of her first serves in, winning 84% (16/19) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (7/15) on the 2nd serve. The Ukrainian broke Diatchenko 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).
The Ukrainian has a compiled 19-12 win-loss record in 2021, 5-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Gracheva | Tsurenko |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 22 | 45 |
| Pts | 77-56 | 187-118 |
| Total Points | 133 | 305 |
| Winners | 27 | 67 |
| %Winners | 35% | 36% |
Gracheva played 1 match while Tsurenko competed in 3 matches. Tsurenko started her run from the qualifications while Gracheva had a direct access to the main draw. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Gracheva has played 5 set(s) less than Tsurenko (2 vs 7). Therefore, Gracheva played 23 games less than Tsurenko. Gracheva scored 27 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Lesya recorded 67 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Gracheva | Tsurenko |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 0 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 0 |
| 1st in | 37/64 | 89/156 |
| %1st in | 58% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 27/37 | 67/89 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 17/27 | 30/67 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 45% |
Gracheva managed to score 1 ace . Tsurenko didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Gracheva won 73% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Tsurenko won 75% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 45% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Gracheva | Tsurenko |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 17 |
| Converted | 4/7 | 17/25 |
| % Converted | 57% | 68% |
| Conceded | 8 | 17 |
| Saved | 5 | 12 |
| % Saved | 63% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 5 |
Gracheva broke her opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. The Russian dropped her serve 3 times and she saved 63% of the break points that she conceded. The Ukrainian broke her opponents 17 times with a 68% conversion rate. Lesya conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded.
| Gracheva | |||
| R1 Pliskova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 77-56 | 77-56 | |
| Total points | 133 | 133 | |
| Winners | 27 | 27 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 37/64 | 37/64 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 27/37 | 27/37 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/27 | 17/27 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 5/8 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 63% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Tsurenko | |||||
| Q1 Bhosale |
Q3 Radwanska |
R1 Diatchenko |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-3 | 7-5 6-1 | 6-1 3-1 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 19 | 11 | 45 | |
| pts | 64-38 | 75-54 | 48-26 | 187-118 | |
| Total points | 102 | 129 | 74 | 305 | |
| Winners | 23 | 28 | 16 | 67 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 37% | 33% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 34/67 | 36/55 | 19/34 | 89/156 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 65% | 56% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 23/34 | 28/36 | 16/19 | 67/89 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 78% | 84% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/33 | 8/19 | 7/15 | 30/67 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 42% | 47% | 45% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 6 | 5 | 17 | |
| Converted | 6/6 | 6/10 | 5/9 | 17/25 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 60% | 56% | 68% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 4 | 2 | 17 | |
| Saved | 9/11 | 2/4 | 1/2 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 82% | 50% | 50% | 182% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLWWLWW
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