H2H, PREDICTION Lorenzo Giustino vs Matteo Arnaldi | Bucharest Challenger odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. Bucharest Challenger. Giustino and Arnaldi will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Bucharest Challenger. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match

By
Mark Hall
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Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Giustino vs. Matteo Arnaldi

Lorenzo Giustino and Matteo Arnaldi will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Bucharest Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 1:30 pm on COURT 8. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lorenzo Giustino who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Lorenzo Giustino is the pick to win this match.
Lorenzo Giustino -> 1.71
Matteo Arnaldi -> 2.14

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Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Giustino vs. Matteo Arnaldi

There is no head to head record between Lorenzo Giustino and Matteo Arnaldi since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Lorenzo Giustino

Ranked no. 229, the Italian reached the 2nd round after defeating Sumit Nagal 3-6 7-5 7-5.

In the 1st round against Nagal, Lorenzo recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-5 7-5). During the match, Giustino scored 114 points vs Nagal’s 108. Lorenzo was pretty aggressive to blast 37 winners.

Talking about the service games, Giustino struck 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Lorenzo Giustino lost the serve 7 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Giustino put 65% of his first serves in, winning 60% (37/62) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (15/33) on the 2nd serve. Giustino broke Nagal 8 times after converting 33% of his break points (8/24).

Giustino has a winning record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (387-302). 10-22 on clay in 2021. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Giustino has an overall 287-201 match record in the last years on clay.

Giustino has an overall 16-33 win-loss record in 2021, 10-22 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Bucharest Challenger

Giustino has never competed in this tournament before.

Giustino
Bucharest Challenger
Giustino's Record

Matteo Arnaldi

Ranked no. 476 (career-high), the Italian reached the 2nd round after beating Yshai Oliel 7-5 6-4, Vlad Andrei Dancu 6-2 6-2 and Geoffrey Blancaneaux 6-4 7-5.

In the 1st round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Blancaneaux (6-4 7-5). During the match Arnaldi scored 75 points vs Blancaneaux’s 65. The Italian was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.

About the serving games, Arnaldi scored 2 aces and he was exceptionally steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Matteo Arnaldi was quite effective on serve to win 75% (24/32) of his 1st serve and 70% (23/33) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Arnaldi broke Blancaneaux twice after converting 22% of his break points (2/9).

Matteo’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M25 Casinalbo,M25 Bolzano and M25 Eupen.

Matteo has an aggregate 47-18 win-loss record in 2021, 44-15 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Arnaldi
Bucharest Challenger
Arnaldi's Record
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H2H Performance in the tournament

L.Giustino
M.Arnaldi
3h:04
3h:04
Time on court​
!
5h:01
5h:01
!
3h:04
3h:04
Last match​
1h:48
1h:48
1
1
Match played
!
3
3
33
33
Games Played​
60
60
3
3
Set played​​
6
6
114
114
Total points​
214
214
114
114
Avg point​
71.3
71.3
37
37
Winners
69
69
37
37
Avg Winners​
23
23
32%
32%
Ratio winners
32%
32%
-- Serve --
3
3
Aces
9
9
3
3
Avg Aces
3
3
1
1
Double Faults
5
5
1
1
Avg Double Faults
1.7
1.7
37/62
37/62
1st won total​
69/94
69/94
60%
60%
1st won %
!
73%
73%
15/33
15/33
2nd won total​
59/96
59/96
45%
45%
2nd won %
!
61%
61%
-- Break Points --
8/24
8/24
BP won
10/28
10/28
8/24
8/24
Avg BP won
3.3/9.3
3.3/9.3
33%
33%
Won
36%
36%
15
15
Conceded
10
10
15
15
Avg Conceded
3.3
3.3
7
7
Broken
2
2
!
7
7
Avg Broken
!
0.7
0.7
8
8
Saved
8
8
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Giustino Arnaldi
Match played 1 3
Tot Set 3 6
Tot Games 33 60
Pts 114-108 214-182
Total Points 222 396
Winners 37 69
%Winners 32% 32%

Giustino played 1 match while Arnaldi competed in 3 matches. Arnaldi started his run from the qualifications while Giustino had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Lorenzo Giustino dropped 1 set while Matteo Arnaldi hasn’t conceded a set so far. Giustino has played 3 set(s) less than Arnaldi (3 vs 6). Therefore, Giustino played 27 games less than Arnaldi. Giustino scored 37 winners (32% of the total points). On the other side, Arnaldi scored 69 winners (32%).

Serve Performance

Serve Giustino Arnaldi
Aces 3 9
Avg per match 3 3
1st in 62/95 94/190
%1st in 65% 49%
1st pts 37/62 69/94
%1st pts 60% 73%
2nd pts 15/33 59/96
%2nd pts 45% 61%

Giustino made 3 aces . Arnaldi blasted 9 aces (3 per match). Giustino won 60% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Arnaldi won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Giustino Arnaldi
Won 8 10
Converted 8/24 10/28
% Converted 33% 36%
Conceded 15 10
Saved 8 8
% Saved 53% 80%
Times Broken 7 2

The Italian broke his opponent 8 times with a 33% conversion rate. Giustino surrendered his serve 7 times and he saved 53% of the break points that he conceded. Matteo broke his opponents 10 times with a 36% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve twice and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.

Giustino
R1
Nagal		 Total
Score 3-6 7-5 7-5
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 33 33
pts 114-108 114-108
Total points 222 222
Winners 37 37
%Winners 32% 32%
SERVE
Aces 3 3
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 62/95 62/95
% 1st in 65% 65%
1st pts 37/62 37/62
% 1st pts 60% 60%
2nd pts 15/33 15/33
% 2nd pts 45% 45%
Breaks
Won 8 8
Converted 8/24 8/24
Converted % 33% 33%
Conceded 15 15
Saved 8/15 8
Saved % 53% 53%
Times Broken 7 7
Arnaldi
Q1
Oliel		 Q3
Andrei		 R1
Blancaneaux		 Total
Score 7-5 6-4 6-2 6-2 6-4 7-5
Tot Set 2 2 2 6
Tot Games 22 16 22 60
pts 78-71 61-46 75-65 214-182
Total points 149 107 140 396
Winners 29 16 24 69
%Winners 37% 26% 32% 32%
SERVE
Aces 5 2 2 9
Double Faults 2 3 0 5
1st in 44/75 18/50 32/65 94/190
% 1st in 59% 36% 49% 49%
1st pts 29/44 16/18 24/32 69/94
% 1st pts 66% 89% 75% 73%
2nd pts 17/31 19/32 23/33 59/96
% 2nd pts 55% 59% 70% 61%
Breaks
Won 4 4 2 10
Converted 4/10 4/9 2/9 10/28
Converted % 40% 44% 22% 36%
Conceded 7 0 3 10
Saved 5/7 0/0 3/3 8
Saved % 71% – 100% 171%
Times Broken 2 0 0 2

Head 2 Head

Lorenzo Giustino
  • 0Slam
  • 0Main
  • 1Chall
  • 10Minor
Matteo Arnaldi
  • 0Slam
  • 0Main
  • 4Chall
  • 2Minor

Lorenzo
Giustino

1:0

Matteo
Arnaldi

Rank

343

High

127

1Clay0

Rank

35

High

34

Win Loss
Giustino
LWWWWLLWLW
Arnaldi
LLWLWWWLWL
2024 2023 2022
27 - 19
20 - 16
2-4
Hard
10-8
2-5
I Hard
0-0
23-10
Clay
9-6
0-0
Grass
1-2

Tennis Scores in Bucharest Challenger

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Upcoming matches in the draw

Giustino
Lorenzo Giustino
More Stats
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Arnaldi
Matteo Arnaldi