Kaichi Uchida and Alex Rybakov will clash against each other in the qualifications of the Braga Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 12:30 pm on COURT 2. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex Rybakov who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alex Rybakov is the pick to win this match.
Alex Rybakov -> 1.37
Kaichi Uchida -> 2.99
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Prediction and head to head Kaichi Uchida vs. Alex Rybakov
There is no head to head record between Kaichi Uchida and Alex Rybakov since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Kaichi Uchida
Ranked no. 363, the Japanese got to the qualifications after defeating Jacopo Berrettini 4-6 6-4 7-63.
In the qualifications against Berrettini, Kaichi recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-4 7-63). During the match, Uchida scored 111 points vs Berrettini’s 106. Kaichi was exceptionally aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Talking about the service games, Uchida couldn’t to score even 1 ace and he committed only 6 double faults. Kaichi Uchida lost the serve 5 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Uchida put 57% of his first serves in, winning 67% (43/64) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (21/48) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Berrettini 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Uchida has a winning win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 51% of his matches (284-270). 5-7 on clay in 2021. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Uchida has an overall 99-72 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Uchida’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M25 Vale do Lobo.
Uchida has an overall 18-18 win-loss record in 2021, 5-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Braga Challenger
The Japanese has never competed in this tournament before.
Alex Rybakov
Ranked no. 371 (career-high), Alex reached the qualifications after beating Jeroen Vanneste 6-2 6-0.
In the qualifications, Alex had a good straight sets win against Vanneste (6-2 6-0). During the match Rybakov scored 57 points vs Vanneste’s 26. Alex was very aggressive to blast 23 winners.
About the serving games, Rybakov struck 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Alex Rybakov lost the serve once. Furthermore, Rybakov put 77% of his first serves in, winning 85% (23/27) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (4/8) on the 2nd serve. Rybakov broke Vanneste 6 times after converting 55% of his break points (6/11).
Alex’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in M15 Porec,M25 Most,M25 Decatur and M25 Prostejov.
The American has a compiled 36-22 win-loss record in 2021, 32-19 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Uchida | Rybakov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 33 | 14 |
| Pts | 111-106 | 57-26 |
| Total Points | 217 | 83 |
| Winners | 43 | 23 |
| %Winners | 39% | 40% |
Both Uchida and Rybakov played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Kaichi Uchida conceded 1 set while Alex Rybakov hasn’t lost a set so far. Uchida has played 1 set more than Rybakov (3 vs 2). Therefore, Uchida played 19 games more than Rybakov. Kaichi scored 43 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Rybakov recorded 23 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Uchida | Rybakov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 2 |
| 1st in | 64/112 | 27/35 |
| %1st in | 57% | 77% |
| 1st pts | 43/64 | 23/27 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 85% |
| 2nd pts | 21/48 | 4/8 |
| %2nd pts | 44% | 50% |
Uchida didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Rybakov recorded 2 aces . Uchida won 67% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Rybakov won 85% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Uchida | Rybakov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 6 |
| Converted | 5/8 | 6/11 |
| % Converted | 63% | 55% |
| Conceded | 14 | 1 |
| Saved | 9 | 0 |
| % Saved | 64% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 1 |
Uchida broke his opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. The Japanese lost his serve 5 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded. Rybakov broke his opponent 6 times with a 55% conversion rate. Alex conceded his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.
| Uchida | |||
| Q1 Berrettini |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-4 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 33 | |
| pts | 111-106 | 111-106 | |
| Total points | 217 | 217 | |
| Winners | 43 | 43 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 64/112 | 64/112 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 43/64 | 43/64 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/48 | 21/48 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 44% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/8 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 14 | 14 | |
| Saved | 9/14 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 64% | 64% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 | |
| Rybakov | |||
| Q1 Vanneste |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 14 | |
| pts | 57-26 | 57-26 | |
| Total points | 83 | 83 | |
| Winners | 23 | 23 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 27/35 | 27/35 | |
| % 1st in | 77% | 77% | |
| 1st pts | 23/27 | 23/27 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 4/8 | 4/8 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/11 | 6/11 | |
| Converted % | 55% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
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