Jelena Ostapenko and Clara Tauson will face off in the final of the BGL Luxembourg Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 3:00 pm on Centre Court. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jelena Ostapenko who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jelena Ostapenko is the pick to win this match.
Jelena Ostapenko -> 1.8
Clara Tauson -> 2.1
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Prediction and head to head Jelena Ostapenko vs. Clara Tauson
There is no head to head record between Jelena Ostapenko and Clara Tauson since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Jelena Ostapenko
Ranked no. 30, Jelena reached the final after beating Jule Niemeier 6-2 6-2, Arianne Hartono 6-2 4-6 6-1, Alize Cornet 7-66 6-2 and Liudmila Samsonova 6-1 7-64.
In the semifinal, Jelena had a good straight sets win against Samsonova (6-1 7-64). During the match, Ostapenko scored 72 points vs Samsonova’s 54. Jelena was extremely aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ostapenko managed to score 2 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Jelena Ostapenko lost the serve twice and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Ostapenko put 63% of her first serves in, winning 64% (29/45) of the points behind her 1st serve and 56% (15/27) on the 2nd serve. Ostapenko was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Samsonova 4 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jelena started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 1 set in this competition to conquer 57% of the points she played.
Ostapenko has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 62% of her matches (288-178). 6-1 on indoor hard courts in 2021. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Ostapenko has a composed 67-37 match record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title in in Eastbourne where she overcame Anett Kontaveit in the final 6-3 6-3.
Ostapenko has a compiled 27-15 win-loss record in 2021, 6-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Luxembourg
Previously, she won this tournament once in 2019. See her history.
Clara Tauson
Ranked no. 70 (career-high), the Dane got to the final after defeating Astra Sharma 6-2 6-2, Ekaterina Alexandrova 6-4 3-6 7-61, Marie Bouzkova 6-3 6-2 and Marketa Vondrousova 6-4 2-6 6-4.
In the semifinal, Tauson defeated Vondrousova (6-4 2-6 6-4).-85) than Vondrousova. In fact, the world no. 30 won 85 points vs Vondrousova’s. That means that Tauson was more focused during the important points. The Dane was pretty aggressive to blast 32 winners.
About the serving games, Tauson recorded 5 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Clara Tauson lost the serve 4 times and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Tauson put 62% of her first serves in, winning 71% (32/45) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (14/28) on the 2nd serve. The Dane broke Vondrousova 4 times after converting 31% of her break points (4/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Clara started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
Her best result of the current year was conquering the title in the W25 Fujairah where she defeated Viktorija Golubic in the final 6-0 4-6 6-3 and in the W25 Altenkirchen where she overcame Simona Waltert in the final 3-6 6-1 6-3 and in in Lyon where she defeated Viktorija Golubic in the final 6-4 6-1 and in the Chicago where she overcame Emma Raducanu in the final 6-1 2-6 6-4.
Tauson has an overall 36-13 win-loss record in 2021, 16-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ostapenko | Tauson |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 82 | 93 |
| Pts | 299-227 | 317-271 |
| Total Points | 526 | 588 |
| Winners | 117 | 115 |
| %Winners | 39% | 36% |
Both Ostapenko and Tauson played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jelena Ostapenko lost 1 set, while Clara Tauson conceded 2 sets. Ostapenko has played 1 set(s) less than Tauson (9 vs 10). Therefore, Ostapenko played 11 games less than Tauson. Jelena scored 117 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Clara struck 115 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ostapenko | Tauson |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 15 |
| Avg per match | 2.8 | 3.8 |
| 1st in | 169/264 | 154/259 |
| %1st in | 64% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 117/169 | 115/154 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 50/95 | 63/105 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 60% |
Ostapenko recorded 11 aces (2.8 per match). Tauson made 15 aces (3.8 per match). Ostapenko won 69% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Tauson won 75% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ostapenko | Tauson |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 20 | 14 |
| Converted | 20/41 | 14/42 |
| % Converted | 49% | 33% |
| Conceded | 22 | 14 |
| Saved | 13 | 8 |
| % Saved | 59% | 57% |
| Times Broken | 9 | 6 |
Jelena broke her opponents 20 times with a 49% conversion rate. Ostapenko lost her serve 9 times and she saved 59% of the break points that she conceded. Tauson broke her opponents 14 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Dane conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 57% of the break points that she conceded.
| Ostapenko | ||||||
| R1 Niemeier |
R2 Hartono |
1/4 Cornet |
1/2 Samsonova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | 6-2 4-6 6-1 | 7-66 6-2 | 6-1 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 25 | 21 | 20 | 82 | |
| pts | 60-36 | 95-77 | 72-60 | 72-54 | 299-227 | |
| Total points | 96 | 172 | 132 | 126 | 526 | |
| Winners | 23 | 34 | 31 | 29 | 117 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 36% | 43% | 40% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 33/49 | 49/80 | 42/63 | 45/72 | 169/264 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 61% | 67% | 63% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 23/33 | 34/49 | 31/42 | 29/45 | 117/169 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 69% | 74% | 64% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/16 | 16/31 | 11/21 | 15/27 | 50/95 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 52% | 52% | 56% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 6 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20 | |
| Converted | 6/11 | 6/18 | 4/8 | 4/4 | 20/41 | |
| Converted % | 55% | 33% | 50% | 100% | 49% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 22 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 8/11 | 0/2 | 4/6 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 73% | 0% | 67% | 43% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tauson | ||||||
| R1 Sharma |
R2 Alexandrova |
1/4 Bouzkova |
1/2 Vondrousova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | 6-4 3-6 7-61 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-4 2-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 32 | 17 | 28 | 93 | |
| pts | 63-40 | 102-100 | 67-45 | 85-86 | 317-271 | |
| Total points | 103 | 202 | 112 | 171 | 588 | |
| Winners | 25 | 41 | 17 | 32 | 115 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | 25% | 38% | 36% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 6 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 28/46 | 60/99 | 21/41 | 45/73 | 154/259 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | 51% | 62% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 25/28 | 41/60 | 17/21 | 32/45 | 115/154 | |
| % 1st pts | 89% | 68% | 81% | 71% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/18 | 25/39 | 15/20 | 14/28 | 63/105 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 64% | 75% | 50% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 2/12 | 4/6 | 4/13 | 14/42 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 17% | 67% | 31% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 14 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 4/6 | 0/0 | 1/5 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 67% | – | 20% | 47% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Clara TausonTauson (0-0) – H2H and prediction
