Jelena Ostapenko and Liudmila Samsonova will play each other in the semifinal of the BGL Luxembourg Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 2:00 pm on Centre Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jelena Ostapenko who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jelena Ostapenko is the pick to win this match.
Jelena Ostapenko -> 1.7
Liudmila Samsonova -> 2.26
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Prediction and head to head Jelena Ostapenko vs. Liudmila Samsonova
This will be the 2nd time that Jelena Ostapenko and Liudmila Samsonova face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Ostapenko (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they competed against each other, Ostapenko won 6-1 6-4 in the 1st round in at the Australian Open back in 2020.
Highlights Jelena Ostapenko vs Liudmila Samsonova – Australian Open 21-January-2020
Jelena Ostapenko
Ranked no. 30, the Latvian reached the semifinal after beating Jule Niemeier 6-2 6-2, Arianne Hartono 6-2 4-6 6-1 and Alize Cornet 7-66 6-2.
In the quarter, The Latvian had a good straight sets win against Cornet (7-66 6-2). During the match, Ostapenko scored 72 points vs Cornet’s 60. Jelena was exceptionally aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ostapenko made 2 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Jelena Ostapenko was extremely effective on serve to win 74% (31/42) of her 1st serve and 52% (11/21) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve twice. Ostapenko broke Cornet 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ostapenko started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has dropped 1 set in this event to conquer 57% of the points she played.
Ostapenko has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 62% of her matches (287-178). 5-1 on indoor hard courts in 2021. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Ostapenko has a composed 66-37 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
Her best result of the season was conquering the title in in Eastbourne where she beat Anett Kontaveit in the final 6-3 6-3.
The Latvian has a composed 26-15 win-loss record in 2021, 5-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Luxembourg
Previously, she won this tournament once in 2019. See her history.
Liudmila Samsonova
Ranked no. 48 (career-high), Ludmilla got to the semifinal after defeating Misaki Doi 6-2 6-3, Oceane Dodin 7-65 7-63 and Belinda Bencic 6-1 6-4.
In the quarter, Samsonova had a good straight sets win against Bencic (6-1 6-4). During the match Samsonova scored 61 points vs Bencic’s 44. Samsonova was exceptionally aggressive to blast 25 winners.
About the serving games, Samsonova recorded 4 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Liudmila Samsonova was pretty effective on serve to win 81% (25/31) of her 1st serve and 65% (15/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Samsonova broke Bencic 3 times after converting 33% of her break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to win 56% of the points she played.
Her best result of the season was conquering the title in in Berlin where she beat Belinda Bencic in the final 1-6 6-1 6-3.
Samsonova has an overall 33-18 win-loss record in 2021, 3-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ostapenko | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 62 | 60 |
| Pts | 227-173 | 228-182 |
| Total Points | 400 | 410 |
| Winners | 88 | 100 |
| %Winners | 39% | 44% |
Both Ostapenko and Samsonova played 3 matches. At the moment, Jelena Ostapenko conceded 1 set while Liudmila Samsonova hasn’t dropped a set so far. Ostapenko has played 1 set more than Samsonova (7 vs 6). Therefore, Ostapenko played 2 games more than Samsonova. Jelena scored 88 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian made 100 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ostapenko | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 19 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 6.3 |
| 1st in | 124/192 | 129/212 |
| %1st in | 65% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 88/124 | 100/129 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 35/68 | 40/83 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 48% |
Ostapenko recorded 9 aces (3 per match). Samsonova bagged 19 aces (6.3 per match). Ostapenko won 71% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Samsonova won 78% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ostapenko | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 16 | 11 |
| Converted | 16/37 | 11/23 |
| % Converted | 43% | 48% |
| Conceded | 16 | 16 |
| Saved | 9 | 12 |
| % Saved | 56% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 4 |
Ostapenko broke her opponents 16 times with a 43% conversion rate. The Latvian lost her serve 7 times and she saved 56% of the break points that she conceded. Samsonova broke her opponents 11 times with a 48% conversion rate. The Russian conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded.
| Ostapenko | |||||
| R1 Niemeier |
R2 Hartono |
1/4 Cornet |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | 6-2 4-6 6-1 | 7-66 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 25 | 21 | 62 | |
| pts | 60-36 | 95-77 | 72-60 | 227-173 | |
| Total points | 96 | 172 | 132 | 400 | |
| Winners | 23 | 34 | 31 | 88 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 36% | 43% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 33/49 | 49/80 | 42/63 | 124/192 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 61% | 67% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 23/33 | 34/49 | 31/42 | 88/124 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 69% | 74% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/16 | 16/31 | 11/21 | 35/68 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 52% | 52% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 6 | 4 | 16 | |
| Converted | 6/11 | 6/18 | 4/8 | 16/37 | |
| Converted % | 55% | 33% | 50% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 11 | 2 | 16 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 8/11 | 0/2 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 73% | 0% | 35% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Samsonova | |||||
| R1 Doi |
R2 Dodin |
1/4 Bencic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 7-65 7-63 | 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 26 | 17 | 60 | |
| pts | 64-43 | 103-95 | 61-44 | 228-182 | |
| Total points | 107 | 198 | 105 | 410 | |
| Winners | 21 | 54 | 25 | 100 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 52% | 41% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 6 | 9 | 4 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 9 | 1 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 25/50 | 73/108 | 31/54 | 129/212 | |
| % 1st in | 50% | 68% | 57% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 21/25 | 54/73 | 25/31 | 100/129 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 74% | 81% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/25 | 12/35 | 15/23 | 40/83 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 34% | 65% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 3 | 11 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 3/7 | 3/9 | 11/23 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 43% | 33% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 12 | 2 | 16 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 9/12 | 2/2 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 75% | 100% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
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LLLLWLLWWW Tennis Scores in Luxembourg
- Ricardo Ojeda LaraOjeda Lara – Jaume Pla MalfeitoPla Malfeito (7-63 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Clara TausonTauson – Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
