Shintaro Mochizuki and Evan Song will face off in the qualifications of the Cary 2 Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 11:00 am on COURT 13. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Shintaro Mochizuki who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Shintaro Mochizuki is the pick to win this match.
Shintaro Mochizuki -> 1.64
Evan Song -> 2.2
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Prediction and head to head Shintaro Mochizuki vs. Evan Song
This will be the 2nd time that Shintaro Mochizuki and Evan Song square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Mochizuki (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Mochizuki won 6-4 6-4 in the 1st round in M25 Pensacola back in May 2021.
Shintaro Mochizuki
Ranked no. 429, Mochizuki got to the qualifications after beating Toby Alex Kodat 6-3 6-2.
In the qualifications, Mochizuki had a good straight sets win against Alex Kodat (6-3 6-2). During the match, Mochizuki scored 66 points vs Alex Kodat’s 53. The Japanese was extremely aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Regarding the service games, Mochizuki struck 3 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Shintaro Mochizuki lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Mochizuki put 63% of his first serves in, winning 73% (27/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (10/22) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Alex Kodat 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Mochizuki has a winning match record in the last 4 years having won 58% of his matches (60-43). 7-7 on hard in 2021. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Mochizuki has an aggregate33-27 match record in the last 4 years on hard.
Mochizuki’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M25 Grodzisk Mazowiecki.
The Japanese has an overall 26-20 win-loss record in 2021, 7-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Cary 2 Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2021. See his history.
Evan Song
Ranked no. 576, the American got to the qualifications after beating Yusuke Takahashi 4-6 7-5 4-3 ret..
In the qualifications against Takahashi, Evan recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-5 4-3 ret.). During the match Song scored 103 points vs Takahashi’s 95. Song was exceptionally aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Talking about serving, Song fired 11 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Evan Song lost the serve 4 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Song put 60% of his first serves in, winning 72% (39/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (16/36) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Takahashi 5 times after converting 28% of his break points (5/18).
Song has a compiled 3-3 win-loss record in 2021, 1-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mochizuki | Song |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 29 |
| Pts | 66-53 | 103-95 |
| Total Points | 119 | 198 |
| Winners | 27 | 39 |
| %Winners | 41% | 38% |
Both Mochizuki and Song played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Evan Song dropped 1 set while Shintaro Mochizuki hasn’t dropped a set so far. Mochizuki has played 2 set(s) less than Song (2 vs 4). Therefore, Mochizuki played 12 games less than Song. Mochizuki scored 27 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Evan managed to score 39 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mochizuki | Song |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 11 |
| 1st in | 37/59 | 54/90 |
| %1st in | 63% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 27/37 | 39/54 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 10/22 | 16/36 |
| %2nd pts | 45% | 44% |
Mochizuki recorded 3 aces . Song recorded 11 aces . Mochizuki won 73% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Song won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 44% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mochizuki | Song |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 5 |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/18 |
| % Converted | 63% | 28% |
| Conceded | 4 | 11 |
| Saved | 3 | 7 |
| % Saved | 75% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 |
The Japanese broke his opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. The Japanese lost his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponent 5 times with a 28% conversion rate. Evan conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded.
| Mochizuki | |||
| Q1 Alex |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 66-53 | 66-53 | |
| Total points | 119 | 119 | |
| Winners | 27 | 27 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 37/59 | 37/59 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 27/37 | 27/37 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/22 | 10/22 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 45% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/8 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Song | |||
| Q1 Takahashi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 7-5 4-3 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 29 | |
| pts | 103-95 | 103-95 | |
| Total points | 198 | 198 | |
| Winners | 39 | 39 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 11 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 54/90 | 54/90 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 39/54 | 39/54 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/36 | 16/36 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 44% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/18 | 5/18 | |
| Converted % | 28% | 28% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 11 | |
| Saved | 7/11 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 64% | 64% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWLLWWL
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