H2H, PREDICTION Daniil Medvedev vs Felix Auger Aliassime | U.S. Open odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. New York. Medvedev and Auger-Aliassime will square off in the semifinal of the U.S. Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match

Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Felix Auger Aliassime

Daniil Medvedev and Felix Auger Aliassime will clash against each other in the semifinal of the U.S. Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 3:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 4 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.3
Felix Auger Aliassime -> 3.98

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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Felix Auger Aliassime

This will be the 2nd time that Daniil Medvedev and Felix Auger Aliassime play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they played, Medvedev won 3-6 6-4 7-6(7) in the 2nd round in Toronto back in 2018.

Daniil Medvedev

Ranked no. 2 (career-high), the Russian reached the semifinal after defeating Richard Gasquet 6-4 6-3 6-1, Dominik Koepfer 6-4 6-1 6-2, Pablo Andujar 6-0 6-4 6-3, Daniel Evans 6-3 6-4 6-3 and Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-3 6-0 4-6 7-5.

In the quarter, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Van De Zandschulp (6-3 6-0 4-6 7-5). During the match, Medvedev scored 121 points vs Van De Zandschulp’s 92. The Russian was very aggressive to blast 54 winners.

Regarding the service games, Medvedev managed to score 13 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Daniil Medvedev was exceptionally effective on serve to win 83% (54/65) of his 1st serve and 56% (19/34) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Russian broke Van De Zandschulp 7 times after converting 58% of his break points (7/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Daniil started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has dropped 1 set in this competition to conquer 59% of the points he played.

Medvedev has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 70% of his matches (361-158). 29-4 on hard in 2021. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Medvedev has an aggregate151-53 record in the last 9 years on hard.

His best result of the current season was conquering the title in in Marseille where he defeated Pierre-Hugues Herbert in the final 6-4 6-7(4) 6-4 and in in Mallorca where he overcame Sam Querrey in the final 6-4 6-2 and in in Toronto where he beat Reilly Opelka in the final 6-4 6-3.

Medvedev has an overall 45-10 win-loss record in 2021, 29-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2019. See his history.

Medvedev
U.S. Open
Medvedev's Record

Felix Auger Aliassime

Ranked no. 15 (career-high), the Canadian got to the semifinal after defeating Evgeny Donskoy 7-60 3-6 7-61 7-68, Bernabe Zapata Miralles 7-65 6-3 6-2, Roberto Bautista Agut 6-3 6-4 4-6 3-6 6-3, Frances Tiafoe 4-6 6-2 7-66 6-4 and Carlos Alcaraz Garfia 6-3 3-1 ret..

In the quarter, Auger-Aliassime had a good straight sets win against Alcaraz Garfia (6-3 3-1 ret.). During the match Auger-Aliassime scored 51 points vs Alcaraz Garfia’s 39. Auger-Aliassime was exceptionally aggressive to blast 22 winners.

About the serving games, Auger-Aliassime struck 8 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Felix Auger Aliassime was pretty effective on serve to win 79% (22/28) of his 1st serve and 60% (9/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Auger-Aliassime broke Alcaraz Garfia twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Canadian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 4 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Felix’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Melbourne and Stuttgart.

Auger-Aliassime has an aggregate 33-18 win-loss record in 2021, 19-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2020. See his history.

Auger-Aliassime
U.S. Open
Auger-Aliassime's Record
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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

D.Medvedev
F.Auger-Aliassime
9h:47
9h:47
Time on court​
14h:40
14h:40
!
2h:23
2h:23
Last match​
1h:08
1h:08
5
5
Match played
5
5
141
141
Games Played​
179
179
16
16
Set played​​
19
19
505
505
Total points​
603
603
101
101
Avg point​
120.6
120.6
202
202
Winners
274
274
40.4
40.4
Avg Winners​
54.8
54.8
40%
40%
Ratio winners
45%
45%
-- Serve --
58
58
Aces
85
85
!
11.6
11.6
Avg Aces
!
17
17
10
10
Double Faults
30
30
2
2
Avg Double Faults
!
6
6
202/245
202/245
1st won total​
274/340
274/340
!
82%
82%
1st won %
!
81%
81%
75/130
75/130
2nd won total​
102/197
102/197
58%
58%
2nd won %
52%
52%
-- Break Points --
31/63
31/63
BP won
15/52
15/52
6.2/12.6
6.2/12.6
Avg BP won
3/10.4
3/10.4
49%
49%
Won
!
29%
29%
14
14
Conceded
23
23
2.8
2.8
Avg Conceded
4.6
4.6
5
5
Broken
7
7
1
1
Avg Broken
1.4
1.4
9
9
Saved
16
16

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Medvedev Auger-Aliassime
Match played 5 5
Tot Set 16 19
Tot Games 141 179
Pts 505-350 603-538
Total Points 855 1141
Winners 202 274
%Winners 40% 45%

Both Medvedev and Auger-Aliassime played 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Daniil Medvedev lost 1 set, while Felix Auger Aliassime conceded 4 sets. Medvedev has played 3 set(s) less than Auger-Aliassime (16 vs 19). Therefore, Medvedev played 38 games less than Auger-Aliassime. Daniil scored 202 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The Canadian fired 274 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve Medvedev Auger-Aliassime
Aces 58 85
Avg per match 11.6 17
1st in 245/375 340/537
%1st in 65% 63%
1st pts 202/245 274/340
%1st pts 82% 81%
2nd pts 75/130 102/197
%2nd pts 58% 52%

Medvedev bagged 58 aces (11.6 per match). Auger-Aliassime struck 85 aces (17 per match). Medvedev won 82% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Auger-Aliassime won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Medvedev Auger-Aliassime
Won 31 15
Converted 31/63 15/52
% Converted 49% 29%
Conceded 14 23
Saved 9 16
% Saved 64% 70%
Times Broken 5 7

Daniil broke his opponents 31 times with a 49% conversion rate. Daniil conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded. The Canadian broke his opponents 15 times with a 29% conversion rate. Felix conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.

Medvedev
R1
Gasquet
R2
Koepfer
R3
Andujar
R4
Evans
1/4
Van De Zandschulp
Total
Score 6-4 6-3 6-1 6-4 6-1 6-2 6-0 6-4 6-3 6-3 6-4 6-3 6-3 6-0 4-6 7-5
Tot Set 3 3 3 3 4 16
Tot Games 26 25 25 28 37 141
pts 103-70 88-60 99-67 94-61 121-92 505-350
Total points 173 148 166 155 213 855
Winners 36 33 32 47 54 202
%Winners 35% 38% 32% 50% 45% 40%
SERVE
Aces 15 8 9 13 13 58
Double Faults 4 2 1 2 1 10
1st in 41/68 41/59 42/71 56/78 65/99 245/375
% 1st in 60% 69% 59% 72% 66% 65%
1st pts 36/41 33/41 32/42 47/56 54/65 202/245
% 1st pts 88% 80% 76% 84% 83% 82%
2nd pts 18/27 11/18 16/29 11/22 19/34 75/130
% 2nd pts 67% 61% 55% 50% 56% 58%
Breaks
Won 5 7 7 5 7 31
Converted 5/13 7/17 7/13 5/8 7/12 31/63
Converted % 38% 41% 54% 63% 58% 49%
Conceded 2 1 4 2 5 14
Saved 2/2 0/1 3/4 1/2 3/5 9
Saved % 100% 0% 75% 50% 60% 57%
Times Broken 0 1 1 1 2 5
Auger-Aliassime
R1
Donskoy
R2
Zapata Miralles
R3
Bautista-Agut
R4
Tiafoe
1/4
Alcaraz Garfia
Total
Score 7-60 3-6 7-61 7-68 7-65 6-3 6-2 6-3 6-4 4-6 3-6 6-3 4-6 6-2 7-66 6-4 6-3 3-1 ret.
Tot Set 4 3 5 4 2 18
Tot Games 48 30 47 41 13 179
pts 154-143 100-86 159-146 139-124 51-39 603-538
Total points 297 186 305 263 90 1141
Winners 63 49 74 66 22 274
%Winners 41% 49% 47% 47% 43% 45%
SERVE
Aces 14 12 27 24 8 85
Double Faults 7 3 8 8 4 30
1st in 76/129 67/94 90/144 79/127 28/43 340/537
% 1st in 59% 71% 63% 62% 65% 63%
1st pts 63/76 49/67 74/90 66/79 22/28 274/340
% 1st pts 83% 73% 82% 84% 79% 81%
2nd pts 30/53 14/27 24/54 25/48 9/15 102/197
% 2nd pts 57% 52% 44% 52% 60% 52%
Breaks
Won 1 5 4 3 2 15
Converted 1/5 5/10 4/15 3/15 2/7 15/52
Converted % 20% 50% 27% 20% 29% 29%
Conceded 3 2 10 5 3 23
Saved 1/3 1/2 7/10 4/5 3/3 16
Saved % 33% 50% 70% 80% 100% 67%
Times Broken 2 1 3 1 0 7

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Medvedev
LWLLLWWWLW
Auger Aliassime
2024 2023 2022
46 - 21
0 - 0
28-9
Hard
0-0
1-5
I Hard
0-0
11-5
Clay
0-0
6-2
Grass
0-0

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

  • Novak DjokovicDjokovicMatteo BerrettiniBerrettini (5-7 6-2 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
  • Alexander ZverevZverevLloyd HarrisHarris (7-66 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
  • John Peers/Filip PolasekPeers/Filip PolasekPierre-Hugues Herbert/Nicolas MahutHerbert/Nicolas Mahut (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
  • Steve Johnson/Sam QuerreyJohnson/Sam QuerreyKevin Krawietz/Horia TecauKrawietz/Horia Tecau (6-2 7-65) – See score progression
  • Felix Auger AliassimeAuger AliassimeCarlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (6-3 3-1 ret.) – See score progression
  • Rajeev Ram/Joe SalisburyRam/Joe SalisburyMatthew Ebden/Max PurcellEbden/Max Purcell (7-67 6-76 7-610) – See score progression
  • Daniil MedvedevMedvedevBotic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-3 6-0 4-6 7-5) – See score progression
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