Aryna Sabalenka and Leylah Annie Fernandez will clash against each other in the semifinal of the U.S. Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 7:00 pm on Arthr Ashe Stadium. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.34
Leylah Annie Fernandez -> 3.64
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Leylah Annie Fernandez
There is no head to head record between Aryna Sabalenka and Leylah Annie Fernandez since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Aryna Sabalenka
Ranked no. 2 (career-high), Sabalenka reached the semifinal after beating Nina Stojanovic 6-4 6-74 6-0, Tamara Zidansek 6-3 6-1, Danielle Rose Collins 6-3 6-3, Elise Mertens 6-4 6-1 and Barbora Krejcikova 6-1 6-4.
In the quarter, The Belarussian had a good straight sets win against Krejcikova (6-1 6-4). During the match, Sabalenka scored 71 points vs Krejcikova’s 51. Aryna was quite aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sabalenka bagged 6 aces and she committed only 7 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve once and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 57% of her first serves in, winning 76% (29/38) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (14/29) on the 2nd serve. The Belarussian broke Krejcikova 4 times after converting 40% of her break points (4/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sabalenka started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has dropped 1 set in this tournament to conquer 59% of the points she played.
Sabalenka has a solid win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 67% of her matches (228-114). 23-8 on hard in 2021. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sabalenka has a composed133-58 win-loss record in the last 6 years on hard.
Her best result of the season was conquering the title in in Abu Dhabi where she beat Veronika Kudermetova in the final 6-2 6-2 and in in Madrid where she overcame Ashleigh Barty in the final 6-0 3-6 6-4.
Sabalenka has a composed 43-14 win-loss record in 2021, 23-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 4th round in 2018. See her history.
Leylah Annie Fernandez
Ranked no. 73, Leylah got to the semifinal after defeating Ana Konjuh 7-63 6-2, Kaia Kanepi 7-5 7-5, Naomi Osaka 5-7 7-62 6-4, Angelique Kerber 4-6 7-65 6-2 and Elina Svitolina 6-3 3-6 7-65.
In the quarter, Annie defeated Svitolina (6-3 3-6 7-65).-97) than Svitolina. In fact, the world no. 2 won 97 points vs Svitolina’s. That means that Annie was more focused during the important points. Annie was exceptionally aggressive to blast 38 winners.
About the serving games, Annie scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 5 double faults. Leylah Annie Fernandez lost the serve 4 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Annie put 55% of her first serves in, winning 70% (38/54) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (21/44) on the 2nd serve. Leylah broke Svitolina 4 times after converting 40% of her break points (4/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Canadian started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points she played.
Her best result of the season was conquering the title in in Monterrey where she overcame Viktorija Golubic in the final 6-1 6-4.
Annie has an overall 22-15 win-loss record in 2021, 16-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2020. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Annie |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 11 | 13 |
| Tot Games | 97 | 142 |
| Pts | 377-267 | 466-430 |
| Total Points | 644 | 896 |
| Winners | 145 | 216 |
| %Winners | 38% | 46% |
Both Sabalenka and Annie played 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Aryna Sabalenka lost 1 set, while Leylah Annie Fernandez conceded 3 sets. Sabalenka has played 2 set(s) less than Annie (11 vs 13). Therefore, Sabalenka played 45 games less than Annie. Sabalenka scored 145 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Leylah managed to score 216 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Annie |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 29 | 15 |
| Avg per match | 5.8 | 3 |
| 1st in | 179/313 | 299/446 |
| %1st in | 57% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 145/179 | 216/299 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 65/134 | 71/147 |
| %2nd pts | 49% | 48% |
Sabalenka managed to score 29 aces (5.8 per match). Annie fired 15 aces (3 per match). Sabalenka won 81% points on her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Annie won 72% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Annie |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 22 | 18 |
| Converted | 22/41 | 18/40 |
| % Converted | 54% | 45% |
| Conceded | 23 | 38 |
| Saved | 18 | 25 |
| % Saved | 78% | 66% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 13 |
Sabalenka broke her opponents 22 times with a 54% conversion rate. Aryna conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 78% of the break points that she conceded. Annie broke her opponents 18 times with a 45% conversion rate. Annie conceded her serve 13 times and she saved 66% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | |||||||
| R1 Stojanovic |
R2 Zidansek |
R3 Collins |
R4 Mertens |
1/4 Krejcikova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-74 6-0 | 6-3 6-1 | 6-3 6-3 | 6-4 6-1 | 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 16 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 97 | |
| pts | 109-84 | 60-32 | 77-59 | 60-41 | 71-51 | 377-267 | |
| Total points | 193 | 92 | 136 | 101 | 122 | 644 | |
| Winners | 44 | 23 | 27 | 22 | 29 | 145 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 38% | 35% | 37% | 41% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 13 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 29 | |
| Double Faults | 13 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 35 | |
| 1st in | 51/94 | 27/40 | 34/55 | 29/57 | 38/67 | 179/313 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 68% | 62% | 51% | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 44/51 | 23/27 | 27/34 | 22/29 | 29/38 | 145/179 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 85% | 79% | 76% | 76% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/43 | 10/13 | 12/21 | 15/28 | 14/29 | 65/134 | |
| % 2nd pts | 33% | 77% | 57% | 54% | 48% | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 7 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 22 | |
| Converted | 7/11 | 4/5 | 3/10 | 4/5 | 4/10 | 22/41 | |
| Converted % | 64% | 80% | 30% | 80% | 40% | 54% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 23 | |
| Saved | 5/8 | 2/2 | 3/3 | 3/4 | 5/6 | 18 | |
| Saved % | 63% | 100% | 100% | 75% | 83% | 84% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | |
| Annie | |||||||
| R1 Konjuh |
R2 Kanepi |
R3 Osaka |
R4 Kerber |
1/4 Svitolina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 6-2 | 7-5 7-5 | 5-7 7-62 6-4 | 4-6 7-65 6-2 | 6-3 3-6 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 24 | 35 | 31 | 31 | 142 | |
| pts | 75-67 | 93-80 | 99-93 | 102-91 | 97-99 | 466-430 | |
| Total points | 142 | 173 | 192 | 193 | 196 | 896 | |
| Winners | 36 | 43 | 58 | 41 | 38 | 216 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 46% | 59% | 40% | 39% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 4 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 19 | |
| 1st in | 55/72 | 54/82 | 74/93 | 62/101 | 54/98 | 299/446 | |
| % 1st in | 76% | 66% | 80% | 61% | 55% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 36/55 | 43/54 | 58/74 | 41/62 | 38/54 | 216/299 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 80% | 78% | 66% | 70% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/17 | 12/28 | 10/19 | 20/39 | 21/44 | 71/147 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 43% | 53% | 51% | 48% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 3/9 | 2/5 | 5/9 | 4/10 | 18/40 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 33% | 40% | 56% | 40% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 38 | |
| Saved | 8/10 | 7/8 | 3/5 | 5/9 | 2/6 | 25 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 88% | 60% | 56% | 33% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWWWWWL
LLWWWLWWLW Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Karolina PliskovaPliskova (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Belinda BencicBencic (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (6-3 3-6 7-65) – See score progression
- Samantha Stosur/Shuai ZhangStosur/Shuai Zhang – Caroline Dolehide/Storm SandersDolehide/Storm Sanders (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Djurabeck KarimovKarimov – Dimitar KuzmanovKuzmanov (2-6 7-66 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Maria SakkariSakkari (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
