H2H, PREDICTION Novak Djokovic vs Matteo Berrettini | U.S. Open odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. New York. Djokovic and Berrettini will clash against each other in the quarter of the U.S. Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match

Prediction and head to head Novak Djokovic vs. Matteo Berrettini

Novak Djokovic and Matteo Berrettini will square off in the quarter of the U.S. Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 9:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Novak Djokovic who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Novak Djokovic is the pick to win this match.
Novak Djokovic -> 1.127
Matteo Berrettini -> 6.95

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Prediction and head to head Novak Djokovic vs. Matteo Berrettini

This will be the 4th time that Novak Djokovic and Matteo Berrettini fight against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Djokovic (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Djokovic won 6-7(4) 6-4 6-4 6-3 in the final in at the Wimbledon back in July 2021.

Highlights Novak Djokovic vs Matteo Berrettini – Wimbledon 11-July-2021

Novak Djokovic

Currently world no. 1 the Serbian reached the quarter after beating Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune 6-1 6-75 6-2 6-1, Tallon Griekspoor 6-2 6-3 6-2, Kei Nishikori 6-74 6-3 6-3 6-2 and Jenson Brooksby 1-6 6-3 6-2 6-2.

In the 4th round against Brooksby, Novak recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-3 6-2 6-2). During the match, Djokovic scored 116 points vs Brooksby’s 95. Djokovic was exceptionally aggressive to blast 48 winners.

Talking about the service games, Djokovic fired 9 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Novak Djokovic was exceptionally effective on serve to win 73% (48/66) of his 1st serve and 54% (21/39) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Djokovic broke Brooksby 6 times after converting 50% of his break points (6/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Djokovic started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has dropped 3 set in this event to conquer 57% of the points he played.

Djokovic has an extraordinary match record in the last 10 years having won 87% of his matches (582-86). 17-2 on hard in 2021. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Djokovic has a composed 305-39 match record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in at the Australian Open where he overcame Daniil Medvedev in the final 7-5 6-2 6-2 and in in Belgrade where he overcame Alex Molcan in the final 6-4 6-3 and in at the French Open where he beat Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-7(6) 2-6 6-3 6-2 6-4 and in at the Wimbledon where he beat Matteo Berrettini in the final 6-7(4) 6-4 6-4 6-3.

The Serbian has a compiled 42-5 win-loss record in 2021, 17-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, he won this tournament 3 times in 2011, 2015 and 2018. See his history.

Djokovic
U.S. Open
Djokovic's Record

Matteo Berrettini

Ranked no. 8 (career-high), the Italian got to the quarter after beating Jeremy Chardy 7-65 7-67 6-3, Corentin Moutet 7-62 4-6 6-4 6-3, Ilya Ivashka 6-75 6-2 6-4 2-6 6-3 and Oscar Otte 6-4 3-6 6-3 6-2.

In the 4th round, Berrettini defeated Otte (6-4 3-6 6-3 6-2). During the match Berrettini scored 110 points vs Otte’s 91. The Italian was quite aggressive to blast 55 winners.

Talking about serving, Berrettini fired 12 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Matteo Berrettini lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Berrettini put 61% of his first serves in, winning 89% (55/62) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (19/39) on the 2nd serve. Matteo broke Otte 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 4 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

His best result of the year was winning the title in in Belgrade where he defeated Aslan Karatsev in the final 6-1 3-6 7-6(0) and in in London where he overcame Cameron Norrie in the final 6-4 6-7(5) 6-3.

The Italian has a composed 37-8 win-loss record in 2021, 13-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2019. See his history.

Berrettini
U.S. Open
Berrettini's Record
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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

N.Djokovic
M.Berrettini
10h:25
10h:25
Time on court​
12h:02
12h:02
!
2h:59
2h:59
Last match​
!
2h:24
2h:24
4
4
Match played
4
4
131
131
Games Played​
161
161
15
15
Set played​​
16
16
467
467
Total points​
520
520
116.8
116.8
Avg point​
130
130
201
201
Winners
258
258
50.3
50.3
Avg Winners​
64.5
64.5
43%
43%
Ratio winners
50%
50%
-- Serve --
54
54
Aces
73
73
!
13.5
13.5
Avg Aces
!
18.3
18.3
20
20
Double Faults
15
15
5
5
Avg Double Faults
3.8
3.8
201/256
201/256
1st won total​
258/314
258/314
!
79%
79%
1st won %
!
82%
82%
77/149
77/149
2nd won total​
91/174
91/174
52%
52%
2nd won %
52%
52%
-- Break Points --
27/52
27/52
BP won
16/33
16/33
6.8/13
6.8/13
Avg BP won
4/8.3
4/8.3
!
52%
52%
Won
48%
48%
31
31
Conceded
27
27
7.8
7.8
Avg Conceded
6.8
6.8
8
8
Broken
7
7
2
2
Avg Broken
1.8
1.8
23
23
Saved
20
20

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Djokovic Berrettini
Match played 4 4
Tot Set 15 16
Tot Games 131 161
Pts 467-356 520-460
Total Points 823 980
Winners 201 258
%Winners 43% 50%

Both Djokovic and Berrettini played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Novak Djokovic dropped 3 sets, while Matteo Berrettini conceded 4 sets. Djokovic has played 1 set(s) less than Berrettini (15 vs 16). Therefore, Djokovic played 30 games less than Berrettini. Djokovic scored 201 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Matteo bagged 258 winners (50%).

Serve Performance

Serve Djokovic Berrettini
Aces 54 73
Avg per match 13.5 18.3
1st in 256/405 314/488
%1st in 63% 64%
1st pts 201/256 258/314
%1st pts 79% 82%
2nd pts 77/149 91/174
%2nd pts 52% 52%

Djokovic managed to score 54 aces (13.5 per match). Berrettini bagged 73 aces (18.3 per match). Djokovic won 79% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Berrettini won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Djokovic Berrettini
Won 27 16
Converted 27/52 16/33
% Converted 52% 48%
Conceded 31 27
Saved 23 20
% Saved 74% 74%
Times Broken 8 7

Novak broke his opponents 27 times with a 52% conversion rate. Novak dropped his serve 8 times and he saved 74% of the break points that he conceded. Matteo broke his opponents 16 times with a 48% conversion rate. Berrettini conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 74% of the break points that he conceded.

Djokovic
R1
Vitus Nodskov Rune
R2
Griekspoor
R3
Nishikori
R4
Brooksby
Total
Score 6-1 6-75 6-2 6-1 6-2 6-3 6-2 6-74 6-3 6-3 6-2 1-6 6-3 6-2 6-2
Tot Set 4 3 4 4 15
Tot Games 35 25 39 32 131
pts 111-79 90-58 150-124 116-95 467-356
Total points 190 148 274 211 823
Winners 53 37 63 48 201
%Winners 48% 41% 42% 41% 43%
SERVE
Aces 17 13 15 9 54
Double Faults 7 5 7 1 20
1st in 62/97 46/72 82/131 66/105 256/405
% 1st in 64% 64% 63% 63% 63%
1st pts 53/62 37/46 63/82 48/66 201/256
% 1st pts 85% 80% 77% 73% 79%
2nd pts 17/35 14/26 25/49 21/39 77/149
% 2nd pts 49% 54% 51% 54% 52%
Breaks
Won 8 6 7 6 27
Converted 8/14 6/10 7/16 6/12 27/52
Converted % 57% 60% 44% 50% 52%
Conceded 3 4 13 11 31
Saved 1/3 3/4 11/13 8/11 23
Saved % 33% 75% 85% 73% 67%
Times Broken 2 1 2 3 8
Berrettini
R1
Chardy
R2
Moutet
R3
Ivashka
R4
Otte
Total
Score 7-65 7-67 6-3 7-62 4-6 6-4 6-3 6-75 6-2 6-4 2-6 6-3 6-4 3-6 6-3 6-2
Tot Set 3 4 5 4 16
Tot Games 35 42 48 36 161
pts 118-102 139-122 153-145 110-91 520-460
Total points 220 261 298 201 980
Winners 54 69 80 55 258
%Winners 46% 50% 52% 50% 50%
SERVE
Aces 17 17 27 12 73
Double Faults 1 6 5 3 15
1st in 67/100 90/128 95/159 62/101 314/488
% 1st in 67% 70% 60% 61% 64%
1st pts 54/67 69/90 80/95 55/62 258/314
% 1st pts 81% 77% 84% 89% 82%
2nd pts 23/33 19/38 30/64 19/39 91/174
% 2nd pts 70% 50% 47% 49% 52%
Breaks
Won 3 5 4 4 16
Converted 3/10 5/10 4/8 4/5 16/33
Converted % 30% 50% 50% 80% 48%
Conceded 3 10 12 2 27
Saved 2/3 7/10 10/12 1/2 20
Saved % 67% 70% 83% 50% 68%
Times Broken 1 3 2 1 7

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Djokovic
LWWWWWWLWW
Berrettini
LLWWLWLWLW
2024 2023 2022
36 - 9
31 - 13
15-5
Hard
7-6
0-0
I Hard
3-3
16-3
Clay
15-1
5-1
Grass
6-3

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

  • Daniil MedvedevMedvedevBotic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-3 6-0 4-6 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Steve Johnson/Sam QuerreyJohnson/Sam QuerreyKevin Krawietz/Horia TecauKrawietz/Horia Tecau (6-2 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
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