Matteo Berrettini and Oscar Otte will fight against each other in the 4th round of the U.S. Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 3:00 pm on Louis Armstrong Stadium. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Berrettini who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Matteo Berrettini is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Berrettini -> 1.149
Oscar Otte -> 6.2
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Matteo Berrettini vs. Oscar Otte
This will be the 2nd time that Matteo Berrettini and Oscar Otte square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Berrettini (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Berrettini won 3-6 7-5 6-2 6-1 in the 1st round in at the French Open back in 2018.
Matteo Berrettini
Ranked no. 8 (career-high), Matteo reached the 4th round after defeating Jeremy Chardy 7-65 7-67 6-3, Corentin Moutet 7-62 4-6 6-4 6-3 and Ilya Ivashka 6-75 6-2 6-4 2-6 6-3.
In the 3rd round, The Italian had a tough win against Ivashka to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (6-75 6-2 6-4 2-6 6-3). During the match, Berrettini scored 153 points vs Ivashka’s 145. Berrettini was pretty aggressive to blast 80 winners.
Regarding the service games, Berrettini overwhelmed his opponent with 27 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Matteo Berrettini lost the serve twice and he saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Berrettini put 60% of his first serves in, winning 84% (80/95) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (30/64) on the 2nd serve. Berrettini broke Ivashka 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has lost 3 set in this tournament to conquer 53% of the points he played.
Berrettini has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 67% of his matches (243-120). 12-3 on hard in 2021. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Berrettini has an aggregate104-48 match record in the last 8 years on hard.
His best result of the season was winning the title in in Belgrade where he defeated Aslan Karatsev in the final 6-1 3-6 7-6(0) and in in London where he overcame Cameron Norrie in the final 6-4 6-7(5) 6-3.
Matteo has a composed 36-8 win-loss record in 2021, 12-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2019. See his history.
Oscar Otte
Ranked no. 144, the German reached the 4th round after beating Renzo Olivo 6-73 6-0 7-64, Constant Lestienne 6-3 3-6 7-66, Bernabe Zapata Miralles 6-4 3-6 6-3, Lorenzo Sonego 6-78 7-5 7-64 7-61, Denis Kudla 6-4 6-4 6-2 and Andreas Seppi 6-3 6-4 2-6 7-5.
In the 3rd round, Oscar had a good straight sets win against Seppi (6-3 6-4 2-6 7-5). During the match Otte scored 115 points vs Seppi’s 102. The German was pretty aggressive to blast 49 winners.
Talking about serving, Otte struck 15 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Oscar Otte was very effective on serve to win 82% (49/60) of his 1st serve and 53% (26/49) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Otte broke Seppi 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The German started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 5 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
The German’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in the Prague Challenger.
The German has an aggregate 27-15 win-loss record in 2021, 6-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2019. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Berrettini | Otte |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 6 |
| Tot Set | 12 | 20 |
| Tot Games | 125 | 209 |
| Pts | 410-369 | 702-626 |
| Total Points | 779 | 1328 |
| Winners | 203 | 306 |
| %Winners | 50% | 44% |
Berrettini played 3 matches while Otte competed in 6 matches. Otte started his run from the qualifications while Berrettini had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Matteo Berrettini lost 3 sets, while Oscar Otte lost 5 sets. Berrettini has played 8 set(s) less than Otte (12 vs 20). Therefore, Berrettini played 84 games less than Otte. Berrettini scored 203 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, Otte fired 306 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Berrettini | Otte |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 61 | 83 |
| Avg per match | 20.3 | 13.8 |
| 1st in | 252/387 | 392/671 |
| %1st in | 65% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 203/252 | 306/392 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 72/135 | 131/279 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 47% |
Berrettini recorded 61 aces (20.3 per match). Otte recorded 83 aces (13.8 per match). Berrettini won 81% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Otte won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 47% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Berrettini | Otte |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 27 |
| Converted | 12/28 | 27/66 |
| % Converted | 43% | 41% |
| Conceded | 25 | 39 |
| Saved | 19 | 22 |
| % Saved | 76% | 56% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 17 |
Berrettini broke his opponents 12 times with a 43% conversion rate. Berrettini surrendered his serve 6 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded. The German broke his opponents 27 times with a 41% conversion rate. Oscar conceded his serve 17 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded.
| Berrettini | |||||
| R1 Chardy |
R2 Moutet |
R3 Ivashka |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 7-67 6-3 | 7-62 4-6 6-4 6-3 | 6-75 6-2 6-4 2-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | |
| Tot Games | 35 | 42 | 48 | 125 | |
| pts | 118-102 | 139-122 | 153-145 | 410-369 | |
| Total points | 220 | 261 | 298 | 779 | |
| Winners | 54 | 69 | 80 | 203 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 50% | 52% | 50% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 17 | 17 | 27 | 61 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 6 | 5 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 67/100 | 90/128 | 95/159 | 252/387 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 70% | 60% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 54/67 | 69/90 | 80/95 | 203/252 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 77% | 84% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/33 | 19/38 | 30/64 | 72/135 | |
| % 2nd pts | 70% | 50% | 47% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 4 | 12 | |
| Converted | 3/10 | 5/10 | 4/8 | 12/28 | |
| Converted % | 30% | 50% | 50% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 10 | 12 | 25 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 7/10 | 10/12 | 19 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 70% | 83% | 73% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | |
| Otte | ||||||||
| Q1 Olivo |
Q2 Lestienne |
Q3 Zapata Miralles |
R1 Sonego |
R2 Kudla |
R3 Seppi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-73 6-0 7-64 | 6-3 3-6 7-66 | 6-4 3-6 6-3 | 6-78 7-5 7-64 7-61 | 6-4 6-4 6-2 | 6-3 6-4 2-6 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 20 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 31 | 28 | 51 | 28 | 39 | 209 | |
| pts | 110-98 | 108-99 | 93-86 | 169-154 | 107-87 | 115-102 | 702-626 | |
| Total points | 208 | 207 | 179 | 323 | 194 | 217 | 1328 | |
| Winners | 49 | 50 | 36 | 70 | 52 | 49 | 306 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 46% | 39% | 41% | 49% | 43% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 14 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 15 | 83 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 34 | |
| 1st in | 62/106 | 64/101 | 45/89 | 96/172 | 65/94 | 60/109 | 392/671 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 63% | 51% | 56% | 69% | 55% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 49/62 | 50/64 | 36/45 | 70/96 | 52/65 | 49/60 | 306/392 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 78% | 80% | 73% | 80% | 82% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/44 | 19/37 | 15/44 | 40/76 | 9/29 | 26/49 | 131/279 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 51% | 34% | 53% | 31% | 53% | 47% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 27 | |
| Converted | 4/14 | 2/8 | 6/11 | 6/8 | 5/17 | 4/8 | 27/66 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 25% | 55% | 75% | 29% | 50% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 39 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 2/4 | 3/8 | 6/11 | 5/6 | 2/5 | 22 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 50% | 38% | 55% | 83% | 40% | 115% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWLWLWWW
LLWWLLLWLL Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Daniel EvansEvans (6-3 6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (6-3 6-4 5-7 5-7 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Peter GojowczykGojowczyk – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Oscar OtteOtte – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Jannik SinnerSinner (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Reilly OpelkaOpelka – Lloyd HarrisHarris (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (0-0) – H2H and prediction
