Denis Shapovalov and Roberto Carballes Baena will square off in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 9:00 pm on Louis Armstrong Stadium. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Denis Shapovalov who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Denis Shapovalov is the pick to win this match.
Denis Shapovalov -> 1.105
Roberto Carballes Baena -> 7.3

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Prediction and head to head Denis Shapovalov vs. Roberto Carballes Baena

This will be the 2nd time that Denis Shapovalov and Roberto Carballes Baena clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Carballes Baena (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Carballes Baena won 7-5 6-7(5) 6-3 3-6 8-6 in the 2nd round in at the French Open back in 2020.

Denis Shapovalov

Ranked no. 10 (career-high), Denis got to the 2nd round after defeating Federico Delbonis 6-2 6-2 6-3.

In the 1st round, The Canadian had a good straight sets win against Delbonis (6-2 6-2 6-3). During the match, Shapovalov scored 88 points vs Delbonis’s 62. Shapovalov was pretty aggressive to blast 37 winners.

Regarding the service games, Shapovalov bagged 14 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Denis Shapovalov conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 60% of his first serves in, win 90% (37/41) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (12/27) on the 2nd serve. Shapovalov broke Delbonis 6 times after converting 50% of his break points (6/12).

Shapovalov has a solid win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 62% of his matches (222-137). 8-8 on hard in 2021. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Shapovalov has an overall93-58 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.

Shapovalov’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Geneva.

Denis has an aggregate 23-17 win-loss record in 2021, 8-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2020. See his history

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U.S. Open
Shapovalov's Record

Roberto Carballes Baena

Ranked no. 95, Roberto got to the 2nd round after defeating Tommy Paul 7-65 6-2 1-6 6-3.

In the 1st round, Carballes Baena had a good straight sets win against Paul (7-65 6-2 1-6 6-3). During the match Carballes Baena scored 125 points vs Paul’s 124. The Spaniard was pretty aggressive to blast 53 winners.

About the serving games, Carballes Baena bagged 10 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Roberto Carballes Baena lost the serve 4 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Carballes Baena put 61% of his first serves in, winning 69% (53/77) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (23/49) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Paul 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).

His best result of the current season was winning the title in the Belgrade Challenger where he defeated Damir Dzumhur in the final 6-4 7-5.

Roberto has an aggregate 28-22 win-loss record in 2021, 2-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2018 and 2020. See his history.

U.S. Open
Carballes Baena's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

D.Shapovalov
R.Carballes Baena
1h:49
1h:49
Time on court​
!
3h:05
3h:05
1h:49
1h:49
Last match​
!
3h:05
3h:05
1
1
Match played
1
1
25
25
Games Played​
37
37
3
3
Set played​​
4
4
88
88
Total points​
125
125
88
88
Avg point​
125
125
37
37
Winners
53
53
37
37
Avg Winners​
53
53
42%
42%
Ratio winners
42%
42%
-- Serve --
14
14
Aces
10
10
!
14
14
Avg Aces
10
10
6
6
Double Faults
6
6
!
6
6
Avg Double Faults
!
6
6
37/41
37/41
1st won total​
53/77
53/77
!
90%
90%
1st won %
69%
69%
12/27
12/27
2nd won total​
23/49
23/49
44%
44%
2nd won %
47%
47%
-- Break Points --
6/12
6/12
BP won
5/11
5/11
6/12
6/12
Avg BP won
5/11
5/11
50%
50%
Won
45%
45%
0
0
Conceded
7
7
0
0
Avg Conceded
7
7
0
0
Broken
4
4
!
0
0
Avg Broken
4
4
0
0
Saved
3
3

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Shapovalov Carballes Baena
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 3 4
Tot Games 25 37
Pts 88-62 125-124
Total Points 150 249
Winners 37 53
%Winners 42% 42%

Both Shapovalov and Carballes Baena played 1 match. At the moment, Roberto Carballes Baena dropped 1 set while Denis Shapovalov hasn’t lost a set so far. Shapovalov has played 1 set(s) less than Carballes Baena (3 vs 4). Therefore, Shapovalov played 12 games less than Carballes Baena. The Canadian scored 37 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard managed to score 53 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve Shapovalov Carballes Baena
Aces 14 10
Avg per match 14 10
1st in 41/68 77/126
%1st in 60% 61%
1st pts 37/41 53/77
%1st pts 90% 69%
2nd pts 12/27 23/49
%2nd pts 44% 47%

Shapovalov bagged 14 aces . Carballes Baena made 10 aces . Shapovalov won 90% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Carballes Baena won 69% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 47% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Shapovalov Carballes Baena
Won 6 5
Converted 6/12 5/11
% Converted 50% 45%
Conceded 0 7
Saved 0 3
% Saved NAN% 43%
Times Broken 0 4

The Canadian broke his opponent 6 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Canadian very solid his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 0 break points. The Spaniard broke his opponent 5 times with a 45% conversion rate. Roberto conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 43% of the break points that he conceded.

Shapovalov
R1
Delbonis
Total
Score 6-2 6-2 6-3
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 25 25
pts 88-62 88-62
Total points 150 150
Winners 37 37
%Winners 42% 42%
SERVE
Aces 14 14
Double Faults 6 6
1st in 41/68 41/68
% 1st in 60% 60%
1st pts 37/41 37/41
% 1st pts 90% 90%
2nd pts 12/27 12/27
% 2nd pts 44% 44%
Breaks
Won 6 6
Converted 6/12 6/12
Converted % 50% 50%
Conceded 0 0
Saved 0/0 0
Saved % 0%
Times Broken 0 0
Carballes Baena
R1
Paul
Total
Score 7-65 6-2 1-6 6-3
Tot Set 4 4
Tot Games 37 37
pts 125-124 125-124
Total points 249 249
Winners 53 53
%Winners 42% 42%
SERVE
Aces 10 10
Double Faults 6 6
1st in 77/126 77/126
% 1st in 61% 61%
1st pts 53/77 53/77
% 1st pts 69% 69%
2nd pts 23/49 23/49
% 2nd pts 47% 47%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/11 5/11
Converted % 45% 45%
Conceded 7 7
Saved 3/7 3
Saved % 43% 43%
Times Broken 4 4

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

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