Nino Serdarusic and Camilo Ugo Carabelli will face off in the final of the Warsaw Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 11:00 am on CENTRE. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Camilo Ugo Carabelli who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Camilo Ugo Carabelli is the pick to win this match.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 1.69
Nino Serdarusic -> 2.17
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Prediction and head to head Nino Serdarusic vs. Camilo Ugo Carabelli
There is no head to head record between Nino Serdarusic and Camilo Ugo Carabelli since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Nino Serdarusic
Ranked no. 272, the Croatian got to the final after defeating Daniel Michalski 6-3 6-4, Tristan Lamasine 6-1 3-6 7-5, Michael Vrbensky 7-61 6-2 and Jozef Kovalik 7-63 7-66.
In the semifinal, Nino had a good straight sets win against Kovalik (7-63 7-66). During the match, Serdarusic scored 80 points vs Kovalik’s 78. Nino was very aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Regarding the service games, Serdarusic blasted 10 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Nino Serdarusic was extremely effective on serve to win 80% (39/49) of his 1st serve and 63% (19/30) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Serdarusic started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has dropped 1 set in this tournament to conquer 54% of the points he played.
Serdarusic has a winning record in the last 7 years having won 58% of his matches (272-201). 19-18 on clay in 2021. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Serdarusic has a compiled237-146 match record in the last 7 years on clay.
Nino’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Verona Challenger.
The Croatian has a compiled 19-21 win-loss record in 2021, 19-18 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Warsaw Challenger
Nino has never competed in this tournament before.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Ranked no. 296 (career-high), Camilo reached the final after beating Maks Kasnikowski 6-2 6-4, Daniel Altmaier 6-4 7-62, Nicolas Jarry 6-2 6-2 and Javier Barranco Cosano 3-6 6-4 7-60.
In the semifinal against Barranco Cosano, The Argentine recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-4 7-60). During the match Ugo scored 117 points vs Barranco Cosano’s 107. Ugo was quite aggressive to blast 47 winners.
Talking about serving, Ugo fired 3 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Camilo Ugo Carabelli lost the serve 4 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Ugo put 64% of his first serves in, winning 68% (47/69) of the points behind his 1st serve and 53% (20/38) on the 2nd serve. Camilo broke Barranco Cosano 4 times after converting 21% of his break points (4/19).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Camilo started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Camilo’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M15 Villa Maria.
Camilo has an overall 34-17 win-loss record in 2021, 30-15 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Serdarusic | Ugo |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 94 | 89 |
| Pts | 320-272 | 317-265 |
| Total Points | 592 | 582 |
| Winners | 137 | 134 |
| %Winners | 43% | 42% |
Both Serdarusic and Ugo played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Nino Serdarusic lost 1 set, while Camilo Ugo Carabelli lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Serdarusic and Ugo have played the same amount of sets 9. However, Serdarusic played 5 games more than Ugo. Nino scored 137 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Camilo recorded 134 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Serdarusic | Ugo |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 23 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 5.8 | 1.5 |
| 1st in | 186/289 | 188/287 |
| %1st in | 64% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 137/186 | 134/188 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 60/103 | 52/99 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 53% |
Serdarusic scored 23 aces (5.8 per match). Ugo blasted 6 aces (1.5 per match). Serdarusic won 74% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Ugo won 71% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Serdarusic | Ugo |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 15 |
| Converted | 11/24 | 15/42 |
| % Converted | 46% | 36% |
| Conceded | 14 | 20 |
| Saved | 9 | 13 |
| % Saved | 64% | 65% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 7 |
The Croatian broke his opponents 11 times with a 46% conversion rate. Serdarusic lost his serve 5 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded. Ugo broke his opponents 15 times with a 36% conversion rate. Camilo conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded.
| Serdarusic | ||||||
| R1 Michalski |
R2 Lamasine |
1/4 Vrbensky |
1/2 Kovalik |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-1 3-6 7-5 | 7-61 6-2 | 7-63 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 28 | 21 | 26 | 94 | |
| pts | 68-58 | 95-82 | 77-54 | 80-78 | 320-272 | |
| Total points | 126 | 177 | 131 | 158 | 592 | |
| Winners | 25 | 39 | 34 | 39 | 137 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 41% | 44% | 49% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 37/58 | 55/82 | 45/70 | 49/79 | 186/289 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 67% | 64% | 62% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 25/37 | 39/55 | 34/45 | 39/49 | 137/186 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 71% | 76% | 80% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/21 | 16/27 | 12/25 | 19/30 | 60/103 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 59% | 48% | 63% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 11 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 4/8 | 4/8 | 0/2 | 11/24 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 14 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 0/0 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 60% | 60% | – | 49% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | |
| Ugo | ||||||
| R1 Kasnikowski |
R2 Altmaier |
1/4 Jarry |
1/2 Barranco Cosano |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 6-4 7-62 | 6-2 6-2 | 3-6 6-4 7-60 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 23 | 16 | 32 | 89 | |
| pts | 64-46 | 79-70 | 57-42 | 117-107 | 317-265 | |
| Total points | 110 | 149 | 99 | 224 | 582 | |
| Winners | 32 | 36 | 19 | 47 | 134 | |
| %Winners | 50% | 46% | 33% | 40% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 42/57 | 49/72 | 28/51 | 69/107 | 188/287 | |
| % 1st in | 74% | 68% | 55% | 64% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 32/42 | 36/49 | 19/28 | 47/69 | 134/188 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 73% | 68% | 68% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/15 | 11/23 | 15/23 | 20/38 | 52/99 | |
| % 2nd pts | 40% | 48% | 65% | 53% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 3/9 | 4/8 | 4/19 | 15/42 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 33% | 50% | 21% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 20 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 3/5 | 1/1 | 8/12 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 60% | 100% | 67% | 69% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Nino SerdarusicSerdarusic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
