Ilya Ivashka and Mikael Ymer will face off in the final of the Winston-Salem for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 5:00 pm on STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ilya Ivashka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Ilya Ivashka is the pick to win this match.
Ilya Ivashka -> 1.41
Mikael Ymer -> 3.1
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Prediction and head to head Ilya Ivashka vs. Mikael Ymer
This will be the 2nd time that Ilya Ivashka and Mikael Ymer fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Ymer (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Ymer won 7-6(7) 6-3 in the 2nd round in the Orleans Challenger back in 2019.
Ilya Ivashka
Ranked no. 63 (career-high), Ivashka got to the final after defeating Andreas Seppi 6-4 6-4, Marin Cilic 4-6 7-5 6-4, Jan-Lennard Struff 6-2 6-1, Pablo Carreno-Busta 7-62 6-3 and Emil Ruusuvuori 6-2 6-1.
In the semifinal, Ivashka had a good straight sets win against Ruusuvuori (6-2 6-1). During the match, Ivashka scored 61 points vs Ruusuvuori’s 35. The Belarussian was extremely aggressive to blast 20 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ivashka scored 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Ilya Ivashka was exceptionally effective on serve to win 83% (20/24) of his 1st serve and 64% (9/14) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Belarussian broke Ruusuvuori 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ilya started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has dropped 1 set in this tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
Ivashka has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 62% of his matches (314-192). 11-5 on hard in 2021. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Ivashka has a composed175-96 match record in the last 9 years on hard.
Ivashka’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Munich and Salem.
The Belarussian has an overall 34-16 win-loss record in 2021, 11-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Winston-Salem
Ilya has never competed in this tournament before.
Mikael Ymer
Ranked no. 90, Ymer got to the final after defeating Stefano Travaglia 6-2 1-6 6-2, Albert Ramos-Vinolas 6-3 6-1, Max Purcell 7-5 6-2, Frances Tiafoe 6-72 6-2 6-3 and Carlos Alcaraz Garfia 7-5 6-3.
In the semifinal, Ymer had a good straight sets win against Alcaraz Garfia (7-5 6-3). During the match Ymer scored 62 points vs Alcaraz Garfia’s 52. Mikael was pretty aggressive to blast 24 winners.
About the serving games, Ymer made 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Mikael Ymer was extremely effective on serve to win 75% (24/32) of his 1st serve and 67% (18/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Mikael was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Alcaraz Garfia 3 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Mikael started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Mikael’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Salem.
The Swede has a compiled 22-14 win-loss record in 2021, 9-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ivashka | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 11 | 12 |
| Tot Games | 104 | 110 |
| Pts | 368-278 | 370-307 |
| Total Points | 646 | 677 |
| Winners | 153 | 152 |
| %Winners | 42% | 41% |
Both Ivashka and Ymer played 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Ilya Ivashka lost 1 set, while Mikael Ymer lost 2 sets. Ivashka has played 1 set(s) less than Ymer (11 vs 12). Therefore, Ivashka played 6 games less than Ymer. Ivashka scored 153 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Mikael managed to score 152 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ivashka | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 44 | 18 |
| Avg per match | 8.8 | 3.6 |
| 1st in | 184/291 | 223/352 |
| %1st in | 63% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 153/184 | 152/223 |
| %1st pts | 83% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 58/107 | 66/129 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 51% |
Ivashka fired 44 aces (8.8 per match). Ymer struck 18 aces (3.6 per match). Ivashka won 83% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Ymer won 68% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ivashka | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 18 | 25 |
| Converted | 18/40 | 25/42 |
| % Converted | 45% | 60% |
| Conceded | 11 | 29 |
| Saved | 7 | 18 |
| % Saved | 64% | 62% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 11 |
Ilya broke his opponents 18 times with a 45% conversion rate. Ivashka dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded. The Swede broke his opponents 25 times with a 60% conversion rate. Mikael conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 62% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ivashka | |||||||
| R1 Seppi |
R2 Cilic |
R3 Struff |
1/4 Carreno-Busta |
1/2 Ruusuvuori |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 4-6 7-5 6-4 | 6-2 6-1 | 7-62 6-3 | 6-2 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 32 | 15 | 22 | 15 | 104 | |
| pts | 72-56 | 103-101 | 60-32 | 72-54 | 61-35 | 368-278 | |
| Total points | 128 | 204 | 92 | 126 | 96 | 646 | |
| Winners | 27 | 47 | 22 | 37 | 20 | 153 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 46% | 37% | 51% | 33% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 7 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 44 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 30/52 | 62/109 | 25/38 | 43/54 | 24/38 | 184/291 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 57% | 66% | 80% | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 27/30 | 47/62 | 22/25 | 37/43 | 20/24 | 153/184 | |
| % 1st pts | 90% | 76% | 88% | 86% | 83% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/22 | 17/47 | 10/13 | 8/11 | 9/14 | 58/107 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 36% | 77% | 73% | 64% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18 | |
| Converted | 2/8 | 5/8 | 4/11 | 2/4 | 5/9 | 18/40 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 63% | 36% | 50% | 56% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 6/10 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 60% | – | – | – | 32% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| Ymer | |||||||
| R1 Travaglia |
R2 Ramos-Vinolas |
R3 Purcell |
1/4 Tiafoe |
1/2 Alcaraz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 1-6 6-2 | 6-3 6-1 | 7-5 6-2 | 6-72 6-2 6-3 | 7-5 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 16 | 20 | 30 | 21 | 110 | |
| pts | 79-70 | 58-40 | 73-57 | 98-88 | 62-52 | 370-307 | |
| Total points | 149 | 98 | 130 | 186 | 114 | 677 | |
| Winners | 26 | 30 | 31 | 41 | 24 | 152 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 52% | 42% | 42% | 39% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | |
| 1st in | 48/79 | 40/54 | 45/71 | 58/89 | 32/59 | 223/352 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 74% | 63% | 65% | 54% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 26/48 | 30/40 | 31/45 | 41/58 | 24/32 | 152/223 | |
| % 1st pts | 54% | 75% | 69% | 71% | 75% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/31 | 6/14 | 12/26 | 14/31 | 18/27 | 66/129 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 43% | 46% | 45% | 67% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 25 | |
| Converted | 6/13 | 4/5 | 5/7 | 7/14 | 3/3 | 25/42 | |
| Converted % | 46% | 80% | 71% | 50% | 100% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 29 | |
| Saved | 4/9 | 1/1 | 3/5 | 9/12 | 1/2 | 18 | |
| Saved % | 44% | 100% | 60% | 75% | 50% | 66% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Ilya IvashkaIvashka – Mikael YmerYmer (0-1) – H2H and prediction
