Nicolas Jarry and Camilo Ugo Carabelli will play each other in the quarter of the Warsaw Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 10:00 am on CENTRE. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Nicolas Jarry who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Nicolas Jarry is the pick to win this match.
Nicolas Jarry -> 1.44
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 2.79
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Prediction and head to head Nicolas Jarry vs. Camilo Ugo Carabelli
This will be the 3rd time that Nicolas Jarry and Camilo Ugo Carabelli clash against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Jarry (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Jarry won 7-5 6-3 in the semifinal in the Salinas Challenger back in April 2021.
Nicolas Jarry
Ranked no. 238, Jarry got to the quarter after defeating Adrian Menendez-Maceiras 7-5 4-6 6-1 and Nicolas Kicker 7-61 4-6 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Jarry defeated Kicker (7-61 4-6 6-4). During the match, Jarry scored 102 points vs Kicker’s 92. The Chilean was very aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Talking about the service games, Jarry bagged 14 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Nicolas Jarry was quite efficient on serve to win 79% (44/56) of his 1st serve and 77% (23/30) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Chilean broke Kicker once after converting 13% of his break points (1/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Nicolas started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has surrendered 2 set in this event to conquer 54% of the points he played.
Jarry has a winning win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 59% of his matches (279-190). 19-10 on clay in 2021. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Jarry has an overall222-118 win-loss record in the last 9 years on clay.
His best result of the year was winning the title in the Salinas Challenger where he overcame Nicolas Mejia in the final 7-6(7) 6-1.
Jarry has an overall 30-13 win-loss record in 2021, 19-10 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Warsaw Challenger
The Chilean has never competed in this tournament before.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Ranked no. 296 (career-high), the Argentine got to the quarter after defeating Maks Kasnikowski 6-2 6-4 and Daniel Altmaier 6-4 7-62.
In the 2nd round, Camilo had a good straight sets win against Altmaier (6-4 7-62). During the match Ugo scored 79 points vs Altmaier’s 70. Camilo was quite aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about serving, Ugo couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Camilo Ugo Carabelli lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Ugo put 68% of his first serves in, winning 73% (36/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (11/23) on the 2nd serve. Camilo broke Altmaier 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ugo started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to conquer 55% of the points he played.
The Argentine’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M15 Villa Maria.
Ugo has a compiled 32-17 win-loss record in 2021, 28-15 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Jarry | Ugo |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 62 | 41 |
| Pts | 200-171 | 143-116 |
| Total Points | 371 | 259 |
| Winners | 97 | 68 |
| %Winners | 49% | 48% |
Both Jarry and Ugo played 2 matches. At the moment, Nicolas Jarry surrendered 2 sets while Camilo Ugo Carabelli hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Jarry has played 2 sets more than Ugo (6 vs 4). Therefore, Jarry played 21 games more than Ugo. The Chilean scored 97 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, Ugo fired 68 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Jarry | Ugo |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 28 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 14 | 1 |
| 1st in | 126/181 | 91/129 |
| %1st in | 70% | 71% |
| 1st pts | 97/126 | 68/91 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 33/55 | 17/38 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 45% |
Jarry bagged 28 aces (14 per match). Ugo struck 2 aces (1 per match). Jarry won 77% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Ugo won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 45% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Jarry | Ugo |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 7 |
| Converted | 5/12 | 7/15 |
| % Converted | 42% | 47% |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 |
| Saved | 4 | 4 |
| % Saved | 57% | 57% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 |
Nicolas broke his opponents 5 times with a 42% conversion rate. Jarry dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded. Ugo broke his opponents 7 times with a 47% conversion rate. Camilo conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded.
| Jarry | ||||
| R1 Menendez-Maceiras |
R2 Kicker |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 4-6 6-1 | 7-61 4-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 33 | 62 | |
| pts | 98-79 | 102-92 | 200-171 | |
| Total points | 177 | 194 | 371 | |
| Winners | 53 | 44 | 97 | |
| %Winners | 54% | 43% | 49% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 14 | 14 | 28 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 70/95 | 56/86 | 126/181 | |
| % 1st in | 74% | 65% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 53/70 | 44/56 | 97/126 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 79% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/25 | 23/30 | 33/55 | |
| % 2nd pts | 40% | 77% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| Converted | 4/4 | 1/8 | 5/12 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 13% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 1/2 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 50% | 55% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Ugo | ||||
| R1 Kasnikowski |
R2 Altmaier |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 6-4 7-62 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 23 | 41 | |
| pts | 64-46 | 79-70 | 143-116 | |
| Total points | 110 | 149 | 259 | |
| Winners | 32 | 36 | 68 | |
| %Winners | 50% | 46% | 48% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 42/57 | 49/72 | 91/129 | |
| % 1st in | 74% | 68% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 32/42 | 36/49 | 68/91 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 73% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/15 | 11/23 | 17/38 | |
| % 2nd pts | 40% | 48% | 45% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 3/9 | 7/15 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 33% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 3/5 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 60% | 55% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
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