H2H, PREDICTION Alex Molcan vs Gastao Elias | U.S. Open odds, preview, pick

Alex Molcan and Gastao Elias will clash against each other in the qualifications of the U.S. Open for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 11:00 am on Court 4. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex Molcan who should win in 5 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alex Molcan is the pick to win this match.
Alex Molcan -> 1.51
Gastao Elias -> 2.56

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Prediction and head to head Alex Molcan vs. Gastao Elias

This will be the 2^nd time that Alex Molcan and Gastao Elias clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Elias (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Elias won 6-2 7-5 in the quarter in the Oeiras 1 Challenger back in April 2021.

Alex Molcan

Ranked no. 138, Molcan reached the qualifications after beating Kimmer Coppejans 6-3 6-3 and Zdenek Kolar 6-4 6-3.

In the qualifications, Alex had a good straight sets win against Kolar (6-4 6-3). During the match, Molcan scored 68 points vs Kolar’s 54. Molcan was pretty aggressive to blast 22 winners.

Talking about the service games, Molcan recorded 2 aces and he was pretty steady in conceding no double faults. Alex Molcan lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Molcan put 60% of his first serves in, winning 69% (22/32) of the points behind his 1st serve and 76% (16/21) on the 2nd serve. The Slovakian broke Kolar 3 times after converting 27% of his break points (3/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Slovakian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to conquer 55% of the points he played.

Molcan has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 62% of his matches (180-109). 5-2 on hard in 2021. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Molcan has a composed46-23 record in the last 8 years on hard.

His best result of the season was winning the title in the Liberec Challenger where he defeated Tomas Machac in the final 6-0 6-1.

Molcan has an aggregate 46-17 win-loss record in 2021, 5-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Molcan has never competed in this tournament before.

Gastao Elias

Ranked no. 233, Gastao got to the qualifications after defeating Hugo Grenier 3-6 6-3 6-4 and Ulises Blanch 6-4 6-3.

In the qualifications, Gastao had a good straight sets win against Blanch (6-4 6-3). During the match Elias scored 59 points vs Blanch’s 46. Gastao was very aggressive to blast 20 winners.

Talking about serving, Elias made 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Gastao Elias was pretty efficient on serve to win 87% (20/23) of his 1st serve and 65% (22/34) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Portuguese was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Blanch twice.

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Portuguese started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

His best result of the year was conquering the title in the Oeiras 4 Challenger where he beat Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune in the final 5-7 6-4 6-4.

Elias has an aggregate 34-15 win-loss record in 2021, 13-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Molcan	Elias
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	4	5
Tot Games	37	47
Pts	132-106	151-131
Total Points	238	282
Winners	44	52
%Winners	33%	34%

Both Molcan and Elias played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Gastao Elias surrendered 1 set while Alex Molcan hasn’t conceded a set so far. Molcan has played 1 set(s) less than Elias (4 vs 5). Therefore, Molcan played 10 games less than Elias. The Slovakian scored 44 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, Gastao struck 52 winners (34%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Molcan	Elias
Aces	4	11
Avg per match	2	5.5
1st in	62/106	66/153
%1st in	58%	43%
1st pts	44/62	52/66
%1st pts	71%	79%
2nd pts	32/44	51/87
%2nd pts	73%	59%

Molcan recorded 4 aces (2 per match). Elias fired 11 aces (5.5 per match). Molcan won 71% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 73% of the points. On the other side, Elias won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Molcan	Elias
Won	6	5
Converted	6/17	5/8
% Converted	35%	63%
Conceded	3	12
Saved	2	10
% Saved	67%	83%
Times Broken	1	2

Alex broke his opponents 6 times with a 35% conversion rate. The Slovakian dropped his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Gastao broke his opponents 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. The Portuguese conceded his serve twice and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded.

Molcan
	Q1 Coppejans	Q2 Kolar	Total
Score	6-3 6-3	6-4 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	18	19	37
pts	64-52	68-54	132-106
Total points	116	122	238
Winners	22	22	44
%Winners	34%	32%	33%
SERVE
Aces	2	2	4
Double Faults	1	0	1
1st in	30/53	32/53	62/106
% 1st in	57%	60%	58%
1st pts	22/30	22/32	44/62
% 1st pts	73%	69%	71%
2nd pts	16/23	16/21	32/44
% 2nd pts	70%	76%	73%
Breaks
Won	3	3	6
Converted	3/6	3/11	6/17
Converted %	50%	27%	35%
Conceded	1	2	3
Saved	1/1	1/2	2
Saved %	100%	50%	75%
Times Broken	0	1	1

Elias
	Q1 Grenier	Q2 Blanch	Total
Score	3-6 6-3 6-4	6-4 6-3
Tot Set	3	2	5
Tot Games	28	19	47
pts	92-85	59-46	151-131
Total points	177	105	282
Winners	32	20	52
%Winners	35%	34%	34%
SERVE
Aces	7	4	11
Double Faults	2	1	3
1st in	43/96	23/57	66/153
% 1st in	45%	40%	43%
1st pts	32/43	20/23	52/66
% 1st pts	74%	87%	79%
2nd pts	29/53	22/34	51/87
% 2nd pts	55%	65%	59%
Breaks
Won	3	2	5
Converted	3/6	2/2	5/8
Converted %	50%	100%	63%
Conceded	10	2	12
Saved	8/10	2/2	10
Saved %	80%	100%	90%
Times Broken	2	0	2

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

• Maxime JanvierJanvier – Paolo LorenziLorenzi (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Enzo CouacaudCouacaud – Emilio GomezGomez (7-6⁵ 6-4) – See score progression
• Cem IlkelIlkel – Fernando VerdascoVerdasco (4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Peter GojowczykGojowczyk – Robin HaaseHaase (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Evgeny DonskoyDonskoy – Marius CopilCopil (7-6⁶ 6-4) – See score progression
• Jurij RodionovRodionov – Federico GaioGaio (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Quentin HalysHalys – Kacper ZukZuk (7-6⁶ 6-4) – See score progression
• Oscar OtteOtte – Constant LestienneLestienne (6-3 3-6 7-6⁶) – See score progression
• Blaz RolaRola – Gian Marco MoroniMarco Moroni (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Ivo KarlovicKarlovic – Hugo DellienDellien (7-5 6-7¹ 6-2) – See score progression
• Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles – Roberto MarcoraMarcora (7-5 3-6 7-6⁷) – See score progression
• Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Illya MarchenkoMarchenko (4-6 7-6¹⁰ 6-4) – See score progression
• Alex MolcanMolcan – Zdenek KolarKolar (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic – Benjamin BonziBonzi (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Maxime CressyCressy – Joao MenezesMenezes (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Ruben BemelmansBemelmans – Hugo GastonGaston (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
• Mats MoraingMoraing – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (7-6³ 6-1) – See score progression
• Ernests GulbisGulbis – Filip HoranskyHoransky (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Ben SheltonShelton (3-6 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Maximilian MartererMarterer – Zizou BergsBergs (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Henri LaaksonenLaaksonen – Eliot SpizzirriSpizzirri (3-6 7-6⁶ 6-4) – See score progression
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich (7-6² 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak – Jeff WolfWolf (6-3 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Antoine HoangHoang – Go SoedaSoeda (7-6⁷ 7-5) – See score progression
• Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Mitchell KruegerKrueger (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
• Gastao EliasElias – Ulises BlanchBlanch (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Zane KhanKhan – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (6-2 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Christopher EubanksEubanks – Prajnesh GunneswaranGunneswaran (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Sebastian BaezBaez – Christian HarrisonHarrison (7-6⁴ 7-5) – See score progression
• Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin – Jason JungJung (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Yuichi SugitaSugita – Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis (7-6⁴ 4-6 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Marco Trungelliti
  Trungelliti – Liam BroadyBroady (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic – Benjamin BonziBonzi (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti – Liam BroadyBroady (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Enzo CouacaudCouacaud – Emilio GomezGomez (7-6(5) 6-4) – See score progression
• Quentin HalysHalys – Kacper ZukZuk (7-6(6) 6-4) – See score progression
• Antoine HoangHoang – Go SoedaSoeda (7-6(7) 7-5) – See score progression
• Henri LaaksonenLaaksonen – Eliot SpizzirriSpizzirri (3-6 7-6(6) 6-4) – See score progression
• Blaz RolaRola – Gian Marco MoroniMarco Moroni (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Yuichi SugitaSugita – Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis (7-6(4) 4-6 7-6(4)) – See score progression
• Ivo KarlovicKarlovic – Hugo DellienDellien (7-5 6-7(1) 6-2) – See score progression

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