Angelique Kerber and Jelena Ostapenko will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the Western & Southern Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 11:00 am on GRANDSTAND. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Angelique Kerber who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Angelique Kerber is the pick to win this match.
Angelique Kerber -> 1.72
Jelena Ostapenko -> 2.22
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Prediction and head to head Angelique Kerber vs. Jelena Ostapenko
This will be the 3rd time that Angelique Kerber and Jelena Ostapenko fight against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Kerber and Ostapenko (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Ostapenko won 4-6 6-3 6-4 in the 3rd round in Rome back in May 2021.
Angelique Kerber
Ranked no. 21, the German got to the 3rd round after defeating Maria Sakkari 6-2 6-2 and Elina Svitolina 7-5 2-6 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Angelique defeated Svitolina (7-5 2-6 6-4).-96) than Svitolina. In fact, the world no. 21 won 96 points vs Svitolina’s. That means that Kerber was more focused during the important points. The German was extremely aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Regarding the service games, Kerber scored just 1 ace during the match and she committed only 4 double faults. Angelique Kerber lost the serve 6 times and she saved 12 break points. Furthermore, Kerber put 66% of her first serves in, winning 57% (40/70) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (16/36) on the 2nd serve. The German broke Svitolina 6 times after converting 55% of her break points (6/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Angelique started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has lost 1 set in this event to conquer 52% of the points she played.
Kerber has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 68% of her matches (399-188). 6-5 on hard in 2021. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Kerber has a composed 230-111 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the current year was conquering the title in in Bad Homburg where she defeated Katerina Siniakova in the final 6-3 6-2.
Kerber has an overall 21-11 win-loss record in 2021, 6-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Previously, her best result was reaching the final in 2012 and 2016. See her history.
Jelena Ostapenko
Ranked no. 32, Ostapenko reached the 3rd round after defeating Tamara Zidansek 7-5 6-1 and Jennifer Brady 6-72 5-4 ret..
In the 2nd round against Brady, Jelena recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-72 5-4 ret.).-79) than Brady. In fact, the world no. 21 won 79 points vs Brady’s. That means that Ostapenko was more focused during the important points. Ostapenko was quite aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about serving, Ostapenko bagged 4 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Jelena Ostapenko lost the serve twice and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Ostapenko put 57% of her first serves in, winning 66% (27/41) of the points behind her 1st serve and 52% (16/31) on the 2nd serve. The Latvian broke Brady 3 times after converting 33% of her break points (3/9).
Her best result of the season was conquering the title in in Eastbourne where she defeated Anett Kontaveit in the final 6-3 6-3.
Ostapenko has a composed 23-14 win-loss record in 2021, 8-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kerber | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 46 | 41 |
| Pts | 159-148 | 151-130 |
| Total Points | 307 | 281 |
| Winners | 65 | 49 |
| %Winners | 41% | 32% |
Both Kerber and Ostapenko played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Angelique Kerber dropped 1 set, while Jelena Ostapenko surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Kerber and Ostapenko have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Kerber played 5 games more than Ostapenko. Kerber scored 65 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Ostapenko scored 49 winners (32%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kerber | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 3 |
| 1st in | 111/162 | 71/132 |
| %1st in | 69% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 65/111 | 49/71 |
| %1st pts | 59% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 24/51 | 32/61 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 52% |
Kerber struck 2 aces (1 per match). Ostapenko recorded 6 aces (3 per match). Kerber won 59% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Ostapenko won 69% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kerber | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 9 |
| Converted | 12/24 | 9/16 |
| % Converted | 50% | 56% |
| Conceded | 25 | 15 |
| Saved | 17 | 10 |
| % Saved | 68% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 8 | 5 |
The German broke her opponents 12 times with a 50% conversion rate. Angelique conceded her serve 8 times and she saved 68% of the break points that she conceded. Ostapenko broke her opponents 9 times with a 56% conversion rate. Jelena conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.
| Kerber | ||||
| R1 Sakkari |
R2 Svitolina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | 7-5 2-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 30 | 46 | |
| pts | 63-45 | 96-103 | 159-148 | |
| Total points | 108 | 199 | 307 | |
| Winners | 25 | 40 | 65 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 42% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 41/56 | 70/106 | 111/162 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 66% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 25/41 | 40/70 | 65/111 | |
| % 1st pts | 61% | 57% | 59% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/15 | 16/36 | 24/51 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 44% | 47% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 6 | 12 | |
| Converted | 6/13 | 6/11 | 12/24 | |
| Converted % | 46% | 55% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 18 | 25 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 12/18 | 17 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 67% | 69% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 6 | 8 | |
| Ostapenko | ||||
| R1 Zidansek |
R2 Brady |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-1 | 6-72 5-4 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 22 | 41 | |
| pts | 72-49 | 79-81 | 151-130 | |
| Total points | 121 | 160 | 281 | |
| Winners | 22 | 27 | 49 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 34% | 32% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 2 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 30/60 | 41/72 | 71/132 | |
| % 1st in | 50% | 57% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 22/30 | 27/41 | 49/71 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 66% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/30 | 16/31 | 32/61 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 3 | 9 | |
| Converted | 6/7 | 3/9 | 9/16 | |
| Converted % | 86% | 33% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 6 | 15 | |
| Saved | 6/9 | 4/6 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLLLLLW
LLLLWLLWWW Tennis Scores in Cincinnati
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Dayana YastremskaYastremska (6-1 7-65) – See score progression
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Simona HalepHalep (w/o) – See score progression
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Cori GauffGauff (4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Elise MertensMertens (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (5-7 6-2 7-64) – See score progression
- Jil TeichmannTeichmann – Bernarda PeraPera (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Petra KvitovaKvitova – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Garbine MuguruzaMuguruza – Caroline GarciaGarcia (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Alison RiskeRiske (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Angelique KerberKerber – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (7-5 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Jennifer BradyBrady (6-72 5-4 ret.) – See score progression
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Ashleigh BartyBarty – Heather WatsonWatson (6-4 7-63) – See score progression
- Belinda BencicBencic – Shelby RogersRogers (7-61 6-1) – See score progression
- Vit KoprivaKopriva – Vignesh Peranamallur-ChandrasekharPeranamallur-Chandrasekhar (6-1 2-6 6-0) – See score progression
- Youssef HossamHossam – Kirill KivattsevKivattsev (7-65 6-2) – See score progression
- Mateo Nicolas MartinezNicolas Martinez – Simon CarrCarr (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Dayana YastremskaYastremska (6-1 7-6(5)) – See score progression
- Garbine MuguruzaMuguruza – Caroline GarciaGarcia (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Simona HalepHalep (w/o) – See score progression
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (5-7 6-2 7-6(4)) – See score progression
- Belinda BencicBencic – Shelby RogersRogers (7-6(1) 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Ashleigh BartyBarty – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Garbine MuguruzaMuguruza (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Angelique KerberKerber – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Petra KvitovaKvitova – Ons JabeurJabeur (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-4) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Belinda BencicBencic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jil TeichmannTeichmann – Naomi OsakaOsaka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
