Jessica Pegula and Camila Giorgi will face off in the semifinal of the Rogers Cup for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 6:00 pm on Centre Court. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Camila Giorgi who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Camila Giorgi is the pick to win this match.
Camila Giorgi -> 1.8
Jessica Pegula -> 2.1
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Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Camila Giorgi
This will be the 5th time that Jessica Pegula and Camila Giorgi face off. The head to head is 3-1 for Pegula (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Pegula won 6-2 6-2 in the final in Washington back in 2019.
Highlights Jessica Pegula vs Camila Giorgi – Washington 04-August-2019
Jessica Pegula
Ranked no. 30, Pegula got to the semifinal after beating Anett Kontaveit 5-7 6-3 6-3, Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova 1-6 6-3 6-2, Danielle Rose Collins 6-4 3-6 7-5 and Ons Jabeur 1-6 7-64 6-0.
In the quarter against Jabeur, Jessica recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 7-64 6-0).-74) than Jabeur. In fact, the world no. 30 won 74 points vs Jabeur’s. That means that Pegula was more focused during the important points. Jessica was pretty aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Regarding the service games, Pegula couldn’t to score even 1 ace during the match and she committed only 6 double faults. Jessica Pegula lost the serve 3 times. Furthermore, Pegula put 46% of her first serves in, winning 67% (22/33) of the points behind her 1st serve and 58% (22/38) on the 2nd serve. Jessica broke Jabeur 4 times after converting 80% of her break points (4/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Pegula started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has dropped 4 set in this competition to win 51% of the points she played.
Pegula has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 61% of her matches (250-161). 21-7 on hard in 2021. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Pegula has an overall 128-73 record in the last years on hard.
Jessica’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Doha.
The American has an overall 31-14 win-loss record in 2021, 21-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Toronto
Previously, her best result was reaching the qualifications in 2013. See her history.
Camila Giorgi
Ranked no. 71, Giorgi got to the semifinal after beating Elise Mertens 6-3 7-5, Nadia Podoroska 6-2 6-4, Petra Kvitova 6-4 6-4 and Cori Gauff 6-4 7-62.
In the quarter, Camila had a good straight sets win against Gauff (6-4 7-62). During the match Giorgi scored 80 points vs Gauff’s 67. Camila was quite aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Talking about serving, Giorgi scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she was extremely steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Camila Giorgi lost the serve 3 times and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Giorgi put 65% of her first serves in, winning 69% (31/45) of the points behind her 1st serve and 54% (13/24) on the 2nd serve. Giorgi broke Gauff 4 times after converting 33% of her break points (4/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Camila started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to conquer 56% of the points she played.
Camila’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Eastbourne.
Camila has an aggregate 21-12 win-loss record in 2021, 9-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Pegula | Giorgi |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 12 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 111 | 82 |
| Pts | 364-354 | 294-230 |
| Total Points | 718 | 524 |
| Winners | 124 | 114 |
| %Winners | 34% | 39% |
Both Pegula and Giorgi played 4 matches. At the moment, Jessica Pegula lost 4 sets while Camila Giorgi hasn’t conceded a set so far. Pegula has played 4 sets more than Giorgi (12 vs 8). Therefore, Pegula played 29 games more than Giorgi. Pegula scored 124 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Camila managed to score 114 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Pegula | Giorgi |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 14 | 15 |
| Avg per match | 3.5 | 3.8 |
| 1st in | 196/369 | 163/260 |
| %1st in | 53% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 124/196 | 114/163 |
| %1st pts | 63% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 93/173 | 54/97 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 56% |
Pegula scored 14 aces (3.5 per match). Giorgi recorded 15 aces (3.8 per match). Pegula won 63% points on her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Giorgi won 70% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Pegula | Giorgi |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 21 | 17 |
| Converted | 21/38 | 17/37 |
| % Converted | 55% | 46% |
| Conceded | 45 | 24 |
| Saved | 29 | 15 |
| % Saved | 64% | 63% |
| Times Broken | 16 | 9 |
Pegula broke her opponents 21 times with a 55% conversion rate. The American lost her serve 16 times and she saved 64% of the break points that she conceded. The Italian broke her opponents 17 times with a 46% conversion rate. Giorgi conceded her serve 9 times and she saved 63% of the break points that she conceded.
| Pegula | ||||||
| R1 Kontaveit |
R2 Pavlyuchenkova |
R3 Collins |
1/4 Jabeur |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 6-3 6-3 | 1-6 6-3 6-2 | 6-4 3-6 7-5 | 1-6 7-64 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 24 | 31 | 26 | 111 | |
| pts | 95-89 | 86-80 | 109-110 | 74-75 | 364-354 | |
| Total points | 184 | 166 | 219 | 149 | 718 | |
| Winners | 33 | 29 | 40 | 22 | 124 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 34% | 37% | 30% | 34% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 22 | |
| 1st in | 46/91 | 48/94 | 69/113 | 33/71 | 196/369 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 51% | 61% | 46% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 33/46 | 29/48 | 40/69 | 22/33 | 124/196 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 60% | 58% | 67% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/45 | 26/46 | 25/44 | 22/38 | 93/173 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 57% | 57% | 58% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 7 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 21 | |
| Converted | 7/11 | 5/12 | 5/10 | 4/5 | 21/38 | |
| Converted % | 64% | 42% | 50% | 80% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 14 | 16 | 3 | 45 | |
| Saved | 7/12 | 10/14 | 12/16 | 0/3 | 29 | |
| Saved % | 58% | 71% | 75% | 0% | 51% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16 | |
| Giorgi | ||||||
| R1 Mertens |
R2 Podoroska |
R3 Kvitova |
1/4 Gauff |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-5 | 6-2 6-4 | 6-4 6-4 | 6-4 7-62 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 18 | 20 | 23 | 82 | |
| pts | 75-58 | 66-48 | 73-57 | 80-67 | 294-230 | |
| Total points | 133 | 114 | 130 | 147 | 524 | |
| Winners | 37 | 21 | 25 | 31 | 114 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 32% | 34% | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 15 | |
| 1st in | 53/76 | 28/51 | 37/64 | 45/69 | 163/260 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 55% | 58% | 65% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 37/53 | 21/28 | 25/37 | 31/45 | 114/163 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 75% | 68% | 69% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/23 | 12/23 | 15/27 | 13/24 | 54/97 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 52% | 56% | 54% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 17 | |
| Converted | 3/3 | 5/11 | 5/11 | 4/12 | 17/37 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 45% | 45% | 33% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 24 | |
| Saved | 8/9 | 0/2 | 6/9 | 1/4 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 89% | 0% | 67% | 25% | 45% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Karolina PliskovaPliskova (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Camila GiorgiGiorgi – Jessica PegulaPegula (1-3) – H2H and prediction
