Aryna Sabalenka and Karolina Pliskova will play each other in the semifinal of the Rogers Cup for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 1:00 pm on Centre Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.58
Karolina Pliskova -> 2.51
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Karolina Pliskova
This will be the 4th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Karolina Pliskova face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Pliskova won 5-7 6-4 6-4 in the semifinal in at the Wimbledon back in July 2021.
Highlights Karolina Pliskova vs Aryna Sabalenka – Wimbledon 08-July-2021
Aryna Sabalenka
Ranked no. 3 (career-high), Sabalenka got to the semifinal after beating Sloane Stephens 7-64 4-6 6-4, Rebecca Marino 6-1 6-3 and Victoria Azarenka 6-2 6-4.
In the quarter, The Belarussian had a good straight sets win against Azarenka (6-2 6-4). During the match, Sabalenka scored 62 points vs Azarenka’s 52. Sabalenka was quite aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sabalenka scored 7 aces and she committed only 7 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve twice and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 58% of her first serves in, winning 74% (26/35) of the points behind her 1st serve and 40% (10/25) on the 2nd serve. Aryna broke Azarenka 5 times after converting 45% of her break points (5/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Aryna started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has surrendered 1 set in this event to win 53% of the points she played.
Sabalenka has a solid match record in the last 6 years having won 67% of her matches (223-112). 18-6 on hard in 2021. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Sabalenka has a composed128-56 record in the last 6 years on hard.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title in in Abu Dhabi where she overcame Veronika Kudermetova in the final 6-2 6-2 and in in Madrid where she overcame Ashleigh Barty in the final 6-0 3-6 6-4.
Aryna has an aggregate 38-12 win-loss record in 2021, 18-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Toronto
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2018. See her history.
Karolina Pliskova
Ranked no. 6, Pliskova got to the semifinal after beating Donna Vekic 4-6 6-3 7-62, Amanda Anisimova 6-1 7-68 and Sara Sorribes Tormo 6-4 6-0.
In the quarter, The Czech had a good straight sets win against Sorribes Tormo (6-4 6-0). During the match Pliskova scored 67 points vs Sorribes Tormo’s 42. Karolina was quite aggressive to blast 28 winners.
About the serving games, Pliskova made 3 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Karolina Pliskova lost the serve twice and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Pliskova put 65% of her first serves in, winning 67% (28/42) of the points behind her 1st serve and 43% (10/23) on the 2nd serve. Pliskova broke Sorribes Tormo 6 times after converting 86% of her break points (6/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Karolina started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
Pliskova’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Rome and in Wimbledon .
The Czech has a compiled 26-14 win-loss record in 2021, 12-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 67 | 68 |
| Pts | 223-196 | 263-218 |
| Total Points | 419 | 481 |
| Winners | 95 | 105 |
| %Winners | 43% | 40% |
Both Sabalenka and Pliskova played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Aryna Sabalenka surrendered 1 set, while Karolina Pliskova surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Sabalenka and Pliskova have played the same amount of sets 7. However, Sabalenka played 1 game less than Pliskova. The Belarussian scored 95 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Karolina fired 105 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 31 | 24 |
| Avg per match | 10.3 | 8 |
| 1st in | 126/220 | 143/245 |
| %1st in | 57% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 95/126 | 105/143 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 45/94 | 46/102 |
| %2nd pts | 48% | 45% |
Sabalenka recorded 31 aces (10.3 per match). Pliskova made 24 aces (8 per match). Sabalenka won 75% points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Pliskova won 73% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 45% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 13 |
| Converted | 12/26 | 13/23 |
| % Converted | 46% | 57% |
| Conceded | 18 | 27 |
| Saved | 13 | 21 |
| % Saved | 72% | 78% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 6 |
The Belarussian broke her opponents 12 times with a 46% conversion rate. Aryna lost her serve 5 times and she saved 72% of the break points that she conceded. Karolina broke her opponents 13 times with a 57% conversion rate. Pliskova conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 78% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | |||||
| R2 Stephens |
R3 Marino |
1/4 Azarenka |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 4-6 6-4 | 6-1 6-3 | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 16 | 18 | 67 | |
| pts | 102-104 | 59-40 | 62-52 | 223-196 | |
| Total points | 206 | 99 | 114 | 419 | |
| Winners | 45 | 24 | 26 | 95 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 41% | 42% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 18 | 6 | 7 | 31 | |
| Double Faults | 11 | 7 | 7 | 25 | |
| 1st in | 61/106 | 30/54 | 35/60 | 126/220 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 56% | 58% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 45/61 | 24/30 | 26/35 | 95/126 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 80% | 74% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/45 | 13/24 | 10/25 | 45/94 | |
| % 2nd pts | 49% | 54% | 40% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 4/8 | 5/11 | 12/26 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 50% | 45% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 5 | 4 | 18 | |
| Saved | 6/9 | 5/5 | 2/4 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 100% | 50% | 72% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | |
| Pliskova | |||||
| R2 Vekic |
R3 Anisimova |
1/4 Sorribes Tormo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-3 7-62 | 6-1 7-68 | 6-4 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 20 | 16 | 68 | |
| pts | 119-113 | 77-63 | 67-42 | 263-218 | |
| Total points | 232 | 140 | 109 | 481 | |
| Winners | 47 | 30 | 28 | 105 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | 42% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 15 | 6 | 3 | 24 | |
| Double Faults | 9 | 1 | 3 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 62/110 | 39/70 | 42/65 | 143/245 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | 65% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 47/62 | 30/39 | 28/42 | 105/143 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 77% | 67% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/48 | 15/31 | 10/23 | 46/102 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 48% | 43% | 45% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 | |
| Converted | 3/10 | 4/6 | 6/7 | 13/23 | |
| Converted % | 30% | 67% | 86% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 6 | 9 | 27 | |
| Saved | 9/12 | 5/6 | 7/9 | 21 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 83% | 78% | 79% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Karolina PliskovaPliskova (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Camila GiorgiGiorgi – Jessica PegulaPegula (1-3) – H2H and prediction
