Aryna Sabalenka and Victoria Azarenka will face off in the quarter of the Rogers Cup for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 12:00 pm on Centre Court. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.59
Victoria Azarenka -> 2.49
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Victoria Azarenka
This will be the 4th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Victoria Azarenka face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Sabalenka won 6-2 6-2 in the final in Ostrava back in 2020.
Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Victoria Azarenka – Ostrava 25-October-2020
Aryna Sabalenka
Ranked no. 3 (career-high), Sabalenka reached the quarter after beating Sloane Stephens 7-64 4-6 6-4 and Rebecca Marino 6-1 6-3.
In the 3rd round, Aryna had a good straight sets win against Marino (6-1 6-3). During the match, Sabalenka scored 59 points vs Marino’s 40. Sabalenka was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sabalenka bagged 6 aces and she committed only 7 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka was pretty effective on serve to win 80% (24/30) of her 1st serve and 54% (13/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Sabalenka broke Marino 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Aryna started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has lost 1 set in this event to win 53% of the points she played.
Sabalenka has a solid record in the last 6 years having won 66% of her matches (222-112). 17-6 on hard in 2021. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sabalenka has a compiled127-56 match record in the last 6 years on hard.
Her best result of the season was conquering the title in in Abu Dhabi where she beat Veronika Kudermetova in the final 6-2 6-2 and in in Madrid where she beat Ashleigh Barty in the final 6-0 3-6 6-4.
Aryna has a compiled 37-12 win-loss record in 2021, 17-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Toronto
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2018. See her history.
Victoria Azarenka
Ranked no. 15, the Belarussian reached the quarter after defeating Sorana Cirstea 6-2 6-2 and Maria Sakkari 6-4 3-6 7-62.
In the 3rd round, Victoria defeated Sakkari (6-4 3-6 7-62). During the match Azarenka scored 103 points vs Sakkari’s 100. The Belarussian was pretty aggressive to blast 41 winners.
About the serving games, Azarenka blasted 4 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Victoria Azarenka lost the serve 5 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Azarenka put 66% of her first serves in, winning 67% (41/61) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (15/31) on the 2nd serve. Victoria broke Sakkari 5 times after converting 45% of her break points (5/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Azarenka started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
The Belarussian’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Doha and Berlin.
Azarenka has a composed 17-5 win-loss record in 2021, 7-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Azarenka |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 49 | 48 |
| Pts | 161-144 | 167-140 |
| Total Points | 305 | 307 |
| Winners | 69 | 66 |
| %Winners | 43% | 40% |
Both Sabalenka and Azarenka played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Aryna Sabalenka conceded 1 set, while Victoria Azarenka lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Sabalenka and Azarenka have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Sabalenka played 1 game more than Azarenka. Aryna scored 69 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Azarenka managed to score 66 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Azarenka |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 24 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 12 | 3.5 |
| 1st in | 91/160 | 96/145 |
| %1st in | 57% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 69/91 | 66/96 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 35/69 | 25/49 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 51% |
Sabalenka recorded 24 aces (12 per match). Azarenka made 7 aces (3.5 per match). Sabalenka won 76% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Azarenka won 69% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Azarenka |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 10 |
| Converted | 7/15 | 10/22 |
| % Converted | 47% | 45% |
| Conceded | 14 | 19 |
| Saved | 11 | 13 |
| % Saved | 79% | 68% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 6 |
The Belarussian broke her opponents 7 times with a 47% conversion rate. The Belarussian conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 79% of the break points that she conceded. Azarenka broke her opponents 10 times with a 45% conversion rate. The Belarussian conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 68% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | ||||
| R2 Stephens |
R3 Marino |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 4-6 6-4 | 6-1 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 16 | 49 | |
| pts | 102-104 | 59-40 | 161-144 | |
| Total points | 206 | 99 | 305 | |
| Winners | 45 | 24 | 69 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 41% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 18 | 6 | 24 | |
| Double Faults | 11 | 7 | 18 | |
| 1st in | 61/106 | 30/54 | 91/160 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 56% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 45/61 | 24/30 | 69/91 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 80% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/45 | 13/24 | 35/69 | |
| % 2nd pts | 49% | 54% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 4/8 | 7/15 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 50% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 5 | 14 | |
| Saved | 6/9 | 5/5 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 100% | 84% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| Azarenka | ||||
| R2 Cirstea |
R3 Sakkari |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | 6-4 3-6 7-62 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 32 | 48 | |
| pts | 64-40 | 103-100 | 167-140 | |
| Total points | 104 | 203 | 307 | |
| Winners | 25 | 41 | 66 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 35/53 | 61/92 | 96/145 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 25/35 | 41/61 | 66/96 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 67% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/18 | 15/31 | 25/49 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 48% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 5/11 | 10/22 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 45% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 9 | 19 | |
| Saved | 9/10 | 4/9 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 90% | 44% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 5 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWWWWWL
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