H2H, PREDICTION Naomi Osaka vs Marketa Vondrousova | Tokyo odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. Tokyo. Osaka and Vondrousova will face off in the 3rd round of the Olympics. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match

Prediction and head to head Naomi Osaka vs. Marketa Vondrousova

Naomi Osaka and Marketa Vondrousova will play each other in the 3rd round of the Olympics for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 1:00 pm on Centre Court. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Naomi Osaka who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Naomi Osaka is the pick to win this match.
Naomi Osaka -> 1.23
Marketa Vondrousova -> 4.6

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Prediction and head to head Naomi Osaka vs. Marketa Vondrousova

There is no head to head record between Naomi Osaka and Marketa Vondrousova since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Naomi Osaka

Ranked no. 2, the Japanese got to the 3rd round after beating Saisai Zheng 6-1 6-4 and Viktorija Golubic 6-3 6-2.

In the 2nd round, The Japanese had a good straight sets win against Golubic (6-3 6-2). During the match, Osaka scored 61 points vs Golubic’s 36. Naomi was pretty aggressive to blast 19 winners.

Regarding the service games, Osaka bagged 3 aces and she was pretty solid in conceding no double faults. Naomi Osaka was quite effective on serve to win 86% (19/22) of her 1st serve and 78% (18/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Japanese broke Golubic 3 times after converting 60% of her break points (3/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Osaka started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to win 61% of the points she played.

Osaka has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 66% of her matches (222-115). 14-1 on hard in 2021. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Osaka has a composed154-69 match record in the last 8 years on hard.

Her best result of the year was winning the title in at the Australian Open where she overcame Jennifer Brady in the final 6-4 6-3.

Naomi has an overall 16-3 win-loss record in 2021, 14-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Olympics

The Japanese has never competed in this tournament before.

Osaka
Tokyo
Osaka's Record

Marketa Vondrousova

Ranked no. 42, Marketa got to the 3rd round after beating Kiki Bertens 6-4 3-6 6-4 and Mihaela Buzarnescu 6-1 6-2.

In the 2nd round, The Czech had a good straight sets win against Buzarnescu (6-1 6-2). During the match Vondrousova scored 64 points vs Buzarnescu’s 39. The Czech was quite aggressive to blast 20 winners.

Talking about serving, Vondrousova recorded 2 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Marketa Vondrousova was pretty efficient on serve to win 80% (20/25) of her 1st serve and 90% (9/10) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Marketa broke Buzarnescu 5 times after converting 36% of her break points (5/14).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Marketa started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.

Vondrousova’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Melbourne.

Marketa has a compiled 16-12 win-loss record in 2021, 11-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Vondrousova
Tokyo
Vondrousova's Record
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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

N.Osaka
M.Vondrousova
2h:32
2h:32
Time on court​
3h:03
3h:03
1h:05
1h:05
Last match​
1h:07
1h:07
2
2
Match played
2
2
34
34
Games Played​
44
44
4
4
Set played​​
5
5
130
130
Total points​
149
149
65
65
Avg point​
74.5
74.5
47
47
Winners
57
57
23.5
23.5
Avg Winners​
28.5
28.5
36%
36%
Ratio winners
38%
38%
-- Serve --
9
9
Aces
5
5
4.5
4.5
Avg Aces
2.5
2.5
0
0
Double Faults
13
13
0
0
Avg Double Faults
!
6.5
6.5
47/58
47/58
1st won total​
57/81
57/81
!
81%
81%
1st won %
70%
70%
33/47
33/47
2nd won total​
31/48
31/48
!
70%
70%
2nd won %
!
65%
65%
-- Break Points --
6/13
6/13
BP won
8/19
8/19
3/6.5
3/6.5
Avg BP won
4/9.5
4/9.5
46%
46%
Won
42%
42%
7
7
Conceded
9
9
3.5
3.5
Avg Conceded
4.5
4.5
0
0
Broken
3
3
!
0
0
Avg Broken
1.5
1.5
7
7
Saved
6
6

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Osaka Vondrousova
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 5
Tot Games 34 44
Pts 130-83 149-133
Total Points 213 282
Winners 47 57
%Winners 36% 38%

Both Osaka and Vondrousova played 2 matches. At the moment, Marketa Vondrousova surrendered 1 set while Naomi Osaka hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Osaka has played 1 set(s) less than Vondrousova (4 vs 5). Therefore, Osaka played 10 games less than Vondrousova. Naomi scored 47 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The Czech struck 57 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve Osaka Vondrousova
Aces 9 5
Avg per match 4.5 2.5
1st in 58/105 81/142
%1st in 55% 57%
1st pts 47/58 57/81
%1st pts 81% 70%
2nd pts 33/47 31/48
%2nd pts 70% 65%

Osaka made 9 aces (4.5 per match). Vondrousova managed to score 5 aces (2.5 per match). Osaka won 81% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 70% of the points. On the other side, Vondrousova won 70% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 65% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Osaka Vondrousova
Won 6 8
Converted 6/13 8/19
% Converted 46% 42%
Conceded 7 9
Saved 7 6
% Saved 100% 67%
Times Broken 0 3

Naomi broke her opponents 6 times with a 46% conversion rate. The Japanese quite strong on her serve as she has never surrendered a single service game after saving 7 break points. The Czech broke her opponents 8 times with a 42% conversion rate. Vondrousova conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.

Osaka
R1
Zheng
R2
Golubic
Total
Score 6-1 6-4 6-3 6-2
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 17 17 34
pts 69-47 61-36 130-83
Total points 116 97 213
Winners 28 19 47
%Winners 41% 31% 36%
SERVE
Aces 6 3 9
Double Faults 0 0 0
1st in 36/60 22/45 58/105
% 1st in 60% 49% 55%
1st pts 28/36 19/22 47/58
% 1st pts 78% 86% 81%
2nd pts 15/24 18/23 33/47
% 2nd pts 63% 78% 70%
Breaks
Won 3 3 6
Converted 3/8 3/5 6/13
Converted % 38% 60% 46%
Conceded 6 1 7
Saved 6/6 1/1 7
Saved % 100% 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0 0
Vondrousova
R1
Bertens
R2
Buzarnescu
Total
Score 6-4 3-6 6-4 6-1 6-2
Tot Set 3 2 5
Tot Games 29 15 44
pts 85-94 64-39 149-133
Total points 179 103 282
Winners 37 20 57
%Winners 44% 31% 38%
SERVE
Aces 3 2 5
Double Faults 8 5 13
1st in 56/102 25/40 81/142
% 1st in 55% 63% 57%
1st pts 37/56 20/25 57/81
% 1st pts 66% 80% 70%
2nd pts 22/38 9/10 31/48
% 2nd pts 58% 90% 65%
Breaks
Won 3 5 8
Converted 3/5 5/14 8/19
Converted % 60% 36% 42%
Conceded 8 1 9
Saved 5/8 1/1 6
Saved % 63% 100% 82%
Times Broken 3 0 3

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Osaka
WWLWLLWWWW
Vondrousova
LLWWWWLWLW
2025 2024 2023
35 - 15
18 - 10
24-9
Hard
10-8
8-3
Clay
2-1
3-3
Grass
6-1

Tennis Scores in Tokyo

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