Pavel Kotov and Ryan Peniston will face off in the quarter of the Nur-Sultan 4 Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 1:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ryan Peniston who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Ryan Peniston is the pick to win this match.
Ryan Peniston -> 1.9
Pavel Kotov -> 1.9
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Prediction and head to head Pavel Kotov vs. Ryan Peniston
There is no head to head record between Pavel Kotov and Ryan Peniston since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Pavel Kotov
Ranked no. 272, Pavel reached the quarter after defeating Edan Leshem 3-6 6-1 6-4 and Jesper De Jong 6-3 7-63.
In the 2nd round, Pavel had a good straight sets win against De Jong (6-3 7-63). During the match, Kotov scored 77 points vs De Jong’s 62. Kotov was pretty aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Regarding the service games, Kotov scored 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Pavel Kotov was very efficient on serve to win 86% (30/35) of his 1st serve and 72% (18/25) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Kotov broke De Jong twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Kotov started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has lost 1 set in this tournament to conquer 54% of the points he played.
Kotov has a solid record in the last 6 years having won 62% of his matches (153-94). 4-2 on hard in 2021. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Kotov has a compiled30-14 match record in the last 6 years on hard.
Kotov has an aggregate 12-11 win-loss record in 2021, 4-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Sultan 4 Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2020. See his history.
Ryan Peniston
Ranked no. 361, Ryan got to the quarter after defeating Ergi Kirkin 6-2 6-3 and Yu Hsiou Hsu 6-3 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Ryan had a good straight sets win against Hsiou Hsu (6-3 6-4). During the match Peniston scored 68 points vs Hsiou Hsu’s 53. Peniston was exceptionally aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about serving, Peniston made 5 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Ryan Peniston was extremely effective on serve to win 76% (28/37) of his 1st serve and 53% (16/30) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Ryan broke Hsiou Hsu 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Brit started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to win 58% of the points he played.
Ryan’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M15 Heraklion.
The Brit has an aggregate 24-11 win-loss record in 2021, 17-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kotov | Peniston |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 48 | 36 |
| Pts | 162-139 | 130-96 |
| Total Points | 301 | 226 |
| Winners | 68 | 48 |
| %Winners | 42% | 37% |
Both Kotov and Peniston played 2 matches. At the moment, Pavel Kotov dropped 1 set while Ryan Peniston hasn’t conceded a set so far. Kotov has played 1 set more than Peniston (5 vs 4). Therefore, Kotov played 12 games more than Peniston. Pavel scored 68 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Ryan struck 48 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kotov | Peniston |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 13 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 6.5 | 3 |
| 1st in | 86/140 | 65/116 |
| %1st in | 61% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 68/86 | 48/65 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 30/54 | 28/51 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 55% |
Kotov scored 13 aces (6.5 per match). Peniston recorded 6 aces (3 per match). Kotov won 79% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Peniston won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kotov | Peniston |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 8 |
| Converted | 7/20 | 8/17 |
| % Converted | 35% | 47% |
| Conceded | 8 | 13 |
| Saved | 5 | 10 |
| % Saved | 63% | 77% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 |
Kotov broke his opponents 7 times with a 35% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded. The Brit broke his opponents 8 times with a 47% conversion rate. The Brit conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded.
| Kotov | ||||
| R1 Leshem |
R2 De |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-1 6-4 | 6-3 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 22 | 48 | |
| pts | 85-77 | 77-62 | 162-139 | |
| Total points | 162 | 139 | 301 | |
| Winners | 38 | 30 | 68 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 39% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 7 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 51/80 | 35/60 | 86/140 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 58% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 38/51 | 30/35 | 68/86 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 86% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/29 | 18/25 | 30/54 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 72% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
| Converted | 5/14 | 2/6 | 7/20 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 33% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 0 | 8 | |
| Saved | 5/8 | 0/0 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 63% | – | 32% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| Peniston | ||||
| R1 Kirkin |
R2 Hsiou |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 19 | 36 | |
| pts | 62-43 | 68-53 | 130-96 | |
| Total points | 105 | 121 | 226 | |
| Winners | 20 | 28 | 48 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 41% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 5 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 28/49 | 37/67 | 65/116 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 55% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 20/28 | 28/37 | 48/65 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 76% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/21 | 16/30 | 28/51 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 53% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 3/5 | 8/17 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 60% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 9 | 13 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 8/9 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 89% | 70% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLLLWWWL
LWWWLWWWLW Upcoming matches in the draw
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- Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler – Hugo GrenierGrenier (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ryan PenistonPeniston – Pavel KotovKotov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Oleksii KrutykhKrutykh – Nick ChappellChappell (0-0) – H2H and prediction
