Juan Pablo Varillas and Sebastian Baez will square off in the qualifications of the Hamburg European Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 3:00 pm on COURT M1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sebastian Baez who should win in 3 sets.
Sebastian Baez -> 1.63
Juan Pablo Varillas -> 2.28
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Prediction and head to head Juan Pablo Varillas vs. Sebastian Baez
This will be the 4th time that Juan Pablo Varillas and Sebastian Baez clash against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Baez (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Baez won 3-6 6-3 6-1 in the final in the Zagreb Challenger back in May 2021.
Juan Pablo Varillas
Ranked no. 132, Pablo Patino-Samudio got to the qualifications after beating Jonas Forejtek 7-5 6-2.
In the qualifications, Pablo Patino-Samudio had a good straight sets win against Forejtek (7-5 6-2). During the match, Pablo Patino-Samudio scored 85 points vs Forejtek’s 70. Juan was very aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Regarding the service games, Pablo Patino-Samudio fired 3 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Juan Pablo Varillas was pretty effective on serve to win 75% (30/40) of his 1st serve and 52% (14/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Juan broke Forejtek 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).
Pablo Patino-Samudio has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 61% of his matches (284-185). 26-11 on clay in 2021. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Pablo Patino-Samudio has an overall254-159 match record in the last 8 years on clay.
The Peruvian’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Biella 5 Challenger and the Zagreb Challenger.
The Peruvian has a compiled 26-12 win-loss record in 2021, 26-11 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Hamburg
Pablo Patino-Samudio has never competed in this tournament before.
Sebastian Baez
Ranked no. 161, Baez reached the qualifications after defeating Rudolf Molleker 7-5 6-2.
In the qualifications, Sebastian had a good straight sets win against Molleker (7-5 6-2). During the match Baez scored 69 points vs Molleker’s 56. The Argentine was extremely aggressive to blast 26 winners.
About the serving games, Baez scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Sebastian Baez lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Baez put 76% of his first serves in, winning 62% (26/42) of the points behind his 1st serve and 77% (10/13) on the 2nd serve. Sebastian broke Molleker 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Baez’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in the Concepcion Challenger,the Santiago Challenger,the Zagreb Challenger and the Bratislava Challenger.
The Argentine has an overall 28-8 win-loss record in 2021, 28-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Hamburg
The Argentine has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Pablo Patino-Samudio | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 |
| Pts | 85-70 | 69-56 |
| Total Points | 155 | 125 |
| Winners | 30 | 26 |
| %Winners | 35% | 38% |
Both Pablo Patino-Samudio and Baez played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Pablo Patino-Samudio and Baez have played the same amount of sets 2. They also played the same amount of games (20). The Peruvian scored 30 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Sebastian recorded 26 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Pablo Patino-Samudio | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 1 |
| 1st in | 40/67 | 42/55 |
| %1st in | 60% | 76% |
| 1st pts | 30/40 | 26/42 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 62% |
| 2nd pts | 14/27 | 10/13 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 77% |
Pablo Patino-Samudio managed to score 3 aces . Baez struck 1 ace . Pablo Patino-Samudio won 75% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Baez won 62% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 77% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Pablo Patino-Samudio | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 5 |
| Converted | 4/12 | 5/10 |
| % Converted | 33% | 50% |
| Conceded | 3 | 4 |
| Saved | 2 | 2 |
| % Saved | 67% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 |
Juan broke his opponent 4 times with a 33% conversion rate. Pablo Patino-Samudio dropped his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Sebastian broke his opponent 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. Baez conceded his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Pablo Patino-Samudio | |||
| Q1 Forejtek | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 85-70 | 85-70 | |
| Total points | 155 | 155 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 40/67 | 40/67 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 30/40 | 30/40 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/27 | 14/27 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 4/12 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Baez | |||
| Q1 Molleker | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 69-56 | 69-56 | |
| Total points | 125 | 125 | |
| Winners | 26 | 26 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 42/55 | 42/55 | |
| % 1st in | 76% | 76% | |
| 1st pts | 26/42 | 26/42 | |
| % 1st pts | 62% | 62% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/13 | 10/13 | |
| % 2nd pts | 77% | 77% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 5/10 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Benoit PairePaire – Richard BerankisBerankis (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Dusan LajovicLajovic – Lucas PouillePouille (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Maximilian MartererMarterer – Alessandro GiannessiGiannessi (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Laslo DjereDjere – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Alex MolcanMolcan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Sumit NagalNagal (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas – Sebastian BaezBaez (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos TabernerTaberner – Daniel MasurMasur (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Filip KrajinovicKrajinovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Philipp KohlschreiberKohlschreiber (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Aljaz BedeneBedene (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild – Steven DiezDiez (0-0) – H2H and prediction