Aryna Sabalenka and Elena Rybakina will fight against each other in the 4th round of Wimbledon for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 11:00 am on Court 3. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.52
Elena Rybakina -> 2.68
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elena Rybakina
This will be the 3rd time that Aryna Sabalenka and Elena Rybakina square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on grass.
The last time that they fought against each other, Sabalenka won 6-4 4-6 6-3 in the quarter in Abu Dhabi back in January 2021.
Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina – Abu Dhabi 11-January-2021
Aryna Sabalenka
Ranked no. 4 (career-high), Aryna got to the 4th round after defeating Monica Niculescu 6-1 6-4, Katie Boulter 4-6 6-3 6-3 and Maria Camila Osorio Serrano 6-0 6-3.
In the 3rd round, Aryna had a good straight sets win against Camila Osorio Serrano (6-0 6-3). During the match, Sabalenka scored 67 points vs Camila Osorio Serrano’s 49. Sabalenka was extremely aggressive to blast 16 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sabalenka fired 5 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve twice and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 48% of her first serves in, winning 53% (16/30) of the points behind her 1st serve and 58% (19/33) on the 2nd serve. Sabalenka broke Camila Osorio Serrano 6 times after converting 67% of her break points (6/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sabalenka started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has surrendered 1 set in this competition to win 57% of the points she played.
Sabalenka has a solid record in the last 6 years having won 66% of her matches (217-110). 5-2 on grass in 2021. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sabalenka has a compiled21-13 win-loss record in the last 6 years on grass.
Her best result of the year was conquering the title in in Abu Dhabi where she overcame Veronika Kudermetova in the final 6-2 6-2 and in in Madrid where she overcame Ashleigh Barty in the final 6-0 3-6 6-4.
Aryna has a composed 32-10 win-loss record in 2021, 5-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2017. See her history.
Elena Rybakina
Ranked no. 20, Rybakina got to the 4th round after beating Kristina Mladenovic 6-4 6-0, Claire Liu 6-4 6-4 and Shelby Rogers 6-1 6-4.
In the 3rd round, Rybakina had a good straight sets win against Rogers (6-1 6-4). During the match Rybakina scored 65 points vs Rogers’s 47. The Kazakhstani was very aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about serving, Rybakina recorded 8 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Elena Rybakina conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 3 break points. Furthermore, Rybakina put 53% of her first serves in, winning 84% (27/32) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (14/28) on the 2nd serve. The Kazakhstani broke Rogers 3 times after converting 38% of her break points (3/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Elena started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to conquer 58% of the points she played.
The Kazakhstani’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Eastbourne.
Elena has an aggregate 19-12 win-loss record in 2021, 7-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 60 | 53 |
| Pts | 233-178 | 191-139 |
| Total Points | 411 | 330 |
| Winners | 73 | 79 |
| %Winners | 31% | 41% |
Both Sabalenka and Rybakina played 3 matches. At the moment, Aryna Sabalenka conceded 1 set while Elena Rybakina hasn’t conceded a set so far. Sabalenka has played 1 set more than Rybakina (7 vs 6). Therefore, Sabalenka played 7 games more than Rybakina. Aryna scored 73 winners (31% of the total points). On the other side, Rybakina fired 79 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 21 | 22 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 7.3 |
| 1st in | 115/207 | 93/170 |
| %1st in | 56% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 73/115 | 79/93 |
| %1st pts | 63% | 85% |
| 2nd pts | 53/92 | 40/77 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 52% |
Sabalenka recorded 21 aces (7 per match). Rybakina bagged 22 aces (7.3 per match). Sabalenka won 63% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Rybakina won 85% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 16 | 10 |
| Converted | 16/26 | 10/21 |
| % Converted | 62% | 48% |
| Conceded | 25 | 6 |
| Saved | 18 | 5 |
| % Saved | 72% | 83% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 1 |
The Belarussian broke her opponents 16 times with a 62% conversion rate. Aryna conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 72% of the break points that she conceded. Rybakina broke her opponents 10 times with a 48% conversion rate. Rybakina conceded her serve once and she saved 83% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | |||||
| R1 Niculescu |
R2 Boulter |
R3 Camila Osorio Serrano |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | 4-6 6-3 6-3 | 6-0 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 28 | 15 | 60 | |
| pts | 70-45 | 96-84 | 67-49 | 233-178 | |
| Total points | 115 | 180 | 116 | 411 | |
| Winners | 21 | 36 | 16 | 73 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 38% | 24% | 31% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 6 | 10 | 5 | 21 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | |
| 1st in | 31/56 | 54/88 | 30/63 | 115/207 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 61% | 48% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 21/31 | 36/54 | 16/30 | 73/115 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 67% | 53% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/25 | 19/34 | 19/33 | 53/92 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 56% | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 5/6 | 6/9 | 16/26 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 83% | 67% | 62% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 12 | 10 | 25 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 9/12 | 8/10 | 18 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 75% | 80% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Rybakina | |||||
| R1 Mladenovic |
R2 Liu |
R3 Rogers |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-0 | 6-4 6-4 | 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 20 | 17 | 53 | |
| pts | 55-33 | 71-59 | 65-47 | 191-139 | |
| Total points | 88 | 130 | 112 | 330 | |
| Winners | 23 | 29 | 27 | 79 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 41% | 42% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | 8 | 22 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 26/40 | 35/70 | 32/60 | 93/170 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 50% | 53% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 23/26 | 29/35 | 27/32 | 79/93 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 83% | 84% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/14 | 17/35 | 14/28 | 40/77 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 49% | 50% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 3/3 | 3/8 | 10/21 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 100% | 38% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 2/3 | 3/3 | 5 | |
| Saved % | – | 67% | 100% | 56% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWWWLWW
WWWLWLWWWW Tennis Scores – Wimbledon
- Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (4-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Ashleigh BartyBarty – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Angelique KerberKerber – Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich (2-6 6-0 6-1) – See score progression
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Anastasija SevastovaSevastova (7-61 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Kaja JuvanJuvan (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Magda LinetteLinette (5-7 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Madison KeysKeys – Elise MertensMertens (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano (6-0 6-3) – See score progression
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Tereza MartincovaMartincova (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Irina-Camelia BeguBegu (6-1 6-0) – See score progression
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Garbine MuguruzaMuguruza (5-7 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Viktorija GolubicGolubic – Madison BrengleBrengle (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova – Sloane StephensStephens (6-2 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Shelby RogersRogers (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Ashleigh BartyBarty – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Ashleigh BartyBarty – Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Angelique KerberKerber (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – Viktorija GolubicGolubic (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Ons JabeurJabeur (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (0-2) – H2H and prediction
