Matteo Berrettini and Aljaz Bedene will play each other in the 3rd round of Wimbledon for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 11:00 am on Court 3. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Berrettini who should win in 3 sets.
Matteo Berrettini -> 1.175
Aljaz Bedene -> 5.55
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Prediction and head to head Matteo Berrettini vs. Aljaz Bedene
This will be the 4th time that Matteo Berrettini and Aljaz Bedene square off. The head to head is 2-1 for Berrettini (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on grass.
The last time that they competed against each other, Berrettini won 3-6 6-3 6-2 7-6(3) in the 1st round in at the Wimbledon back in 2019.
Matteo Berrettini
Ranked no. 9, the Italian got to the 3rd round after defeating Guido Pella 6-4 3-6 6-4 6-0 and Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-3 6-4 7-64.
In the 2nd round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Van De Zandschulp (6-3 6-4 7-64). During the match, Berrettini scored 109 points vs Van De Zandschulp’s 94. Matteo was very aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Regarding the service games, Berrettini buried his opponent with 20 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Matteo Berrettini was exceptionally effective on serve to win 83% (44/53) of his 1st serve and 63% (32/51) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Berrettini broke Van De Zandschulp twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Berrettini started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in this competition to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Berrettini has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 66% of his matches (239-122). 7-0 on grass in 2021. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Berrettini has a composed24-7 record in the last 8 years on grass.
His best result of the season was winning the title in in Belgrade where he beat Aslan Karatsev in the final 6-1 3-6 7-6(0) and in in London where he defeated Cameron Norrie in the final 6-4 6-7(5) 6-3.
The Italian has an aggregate 28-6 win-loss record in 2021, 7-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2019. See his history.
Aljaz Bedene
Ranked no. 64, the Slovenian got to the 3rd round after defeating Corentin Moutet 6-4 6-4 6-0 and Yoshihito Nishioka 6-1 6-0 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Aljaz had a good straight sets win against Nishioka (6-1 6-0 6-2). During the match Bedene scored 83 points vs Nishioka’s 48. Bedene was extremely aggressive to blast 33 winners.
About the serving games, Bedene recorded 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Aljaz Bedene conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 55% of his first serves in, win 92% (33/36) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (14/30) on the 2nd serve. Bedene broke Nishioka 7 times after converting 78% of his break points (7/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Bedene started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to conquer 62% of the points he played.
Aljaz has an aggregate 16-14 win-loss record in 2021, 2-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Berrettini | Bedene |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 67 | 47 |
| Pts | 221-182 | 170-104 |
| Total Points | 403 | 274 |
| Winners | 89 | 70 |
| %Winners | 40% | 41% |
Both Berrettini and Bedene played 2 matches. At the moment, Matteo Berrettini surrendered 1 set while Aljaz Bedene hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Berrettini has played 1 set more than Bedene (7 vs 6). Therefore, Berrettini played 20 games more than Bedene. Berrettini scored 89 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Bedene recorded 70 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Berrettini | Bedene |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 40 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 20 | 6.5 |
| 1st in | 107/192 | 80/136 |
| %1st in | 56% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 89/107 | 70/80 |
| %1st pts | 83% | 88% |
| 2nd pts | 53/85 | 29/56 |
| %2nd pts | 62% | 52% |
Berrettini blasted 40 aces (20 per match). Bedene managed to score 13 aces (6.5 per match). Berrettini won 83% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Bedene won 88% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Berrettini | Bedene |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 13 |
| Converted | 7/15 | 13/18 |
| % Converted | 47% | 72% |
| Conceded | 10 | 5 |
| Saved | 9 | 4 |
| % Saved | 90% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
The Italian broke his opponents 7 times with a 47% conversion rate. The Italian lost his serve once and he saved 90% of the break points that he conceded. The Slovenian broke his opponents 13 times with a 72% conversion rate. Aljaz conceded his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.
| Berrettini | ||||
| R1 Pella | R2 Van De Zandschulp | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 3-6 6-4 6-0 | 6-3 6-4 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 35 | 32 | 67 | |
| pts | 112-88 | 109-94 | 221-182 | |
| Total points | 200 | 203 | 403 | |
| Winners | 45 | 44 | 89 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 20 | 20 | 40 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 54/88 | 53/104 | 107/192 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 51% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 45/54 | 44/53 | 89/107 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 83% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/34 | 32/51 | 53/85 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 63% | 62% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 2/7 | 7/15 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 29% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 9 | 10 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 9/9 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 100% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Bedene | ||||
| R1 Moutet | R2 Nishioka | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 6-0 | 6-1 6-0 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 21 | 47 | |
| pts | 87-56 | 83-48 | 170-104 | |
| Total points | 143 | 131 | 274 | |
| Winners | 37 | 33 | 70 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 40% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 8 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 44/70 | 36/66 | 80/136 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 55% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 37/44 | 33/36 | 70/80 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 92% | 88% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/26 | 14/30 | 29/56 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 47% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 7 | 13 | |
| Converted | 6/9 | 7/9 | 13/18 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 78% | 72% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 0 | 5 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 0/0 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 80% | – | 40% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
Tennis Scores – Wimbledon
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (6-3 6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Cristian GarinGarin – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (6-4 6-3 4-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Dominik KoepferKoepfer (7-5 6-1 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Andrey RublevRublev – Fabio FogniniFognini (6-3 5-7 6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
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- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Aljaz BedeneBedene (2-1) – H2H and prediction
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- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Alexander BublikBublik (0-1) – H2H and prediction
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