Ons Jabeur and Daria Kasatkina will square off in the final of the Birmingham Classic for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 1:30 pm on Ann Jones Court. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ons Jabeur who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Ons Jabeur is the pick to win this match.
Ons Jabeur -> 1.69
Daria Kasatkina -> 2.28

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Prediction and head to head Ons Jabeur vs. Daria Kasatkina

This will be the 3rd time that Ons Jabeur and Daria Kasatkina fight against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Kasatkina (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on grass.

The last time that they fought against each other, Kasatkina won 2-6 7-6(3) 6-4 in the final in Moscow back in 2018.

Ons Jabeur

Ranked no. 24 (career-high), Jabeur got to the final after beating Caty McNally 6-4 6-2, Leylah Annie Fernandez 6-4 3-6 7-63, Anastasia Potapova 6-4 6-0 and Heather Watson 6-3 6-3.

In the semifinal, Ons had a good straight sets win against Watson (6-3 6-3). During the match, Jabeur scored 67 points vs Watson’s 49. Jabeur was extremely aggressive to blast 21 winners.

Regarding the service games, Jabeur struck 6 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Ons Jabeur was quite efficient on serve to win 75% (21/28) of her 1st serve and 72% (13/18) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Jabeur broke Watson 4 times after converting 27% of her break points (4/15).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Ons started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has surrendered 1 set in this event to conquer 55% of the points she played.

Jabeur has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 63% of her matches (304-179). 4-0 on grass in 2021. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Jabeur has an aggregate 43-14 win-loss record in the last years on grass.

Jabeur’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Charleston.

The Tunisian has an aggregate 27-10 win-loss record in 2021, 4-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Birmingham

Ons has never competed in this tournament before.

Birmingham
Jabeur's Record

Daria Kasatkina

Ranked no. 35, Darya reached the final after beating Polona Hercog 4-6 6-3 6-3, Marta Kostyuk 6-2 7-5, Tereza Martincova 6-4 2-6 6-0 and Coco Vandeweghe 6-2 6-4.

In the semifinal, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Vandeweghe (6-2 6-4). During the match Kasatkina scored 65 points vs Vandeweghe’s 50. Darya was exceptionally aggressive to blast 22 winners.

Talking about serving, Kasatkina scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 3 double faults. Daria Kasatkina lost the serve twice and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Kasatkina put 61% of her first serves in, winning 61% (22/36) of the points behind her 1st serve and 57% (13/23) on the 2nd serve. Darya broke Vandeweghe 5 times after converting 71% of her break points (5/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Kasatkina started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.

Her best result of the current year was conquering the title in in Melbourne where she beat Marie Bouzkova in the final 4-6 6-2 6-2 and in in St. Petersburg where she defeated Margarita Gasparyan in the final 6-3 2-1 ret..

The Russian has a compiled 24-9 win-loss record in 2021, 4-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Birmingham
Kasatkina's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

O.Jabeur
D.Kasatkina
5h:22
5h:22
Time on court​
6h:35
6h:35
1h:12
1h:12
Last match​
1h:16
1h:16
4
4
Match played
4
4
84
84
Games Played​
90
90
9
9
Set played​​
10
10
285
285
Total points​
314
314
71.3
71.3
Avg point​
78.5
78.5
97
97
Winners
111
111
24.3
24.3
Avg Winners​
27.8
27.8
34%
34%
Ratio winners
35%
35%
-- Serve --
26
26
Aces
2
2
6.5
6.5
Avg Aces
0.5
0.5
5
5
Double Faults
14
14
1.3
1.3
Avg Double Faults
3.5
3.5
97/131
97/131
1st won total​
111/173
111/173
!
74%
74%
1st won %
64%
64%
64/101
64/101
2nd won total​
61/124
61/124
!
63%
63%
2nd won %
49%
49%
-- Break Points --
15/36
15/36
BP won
25/34
25/34
3.8/9
3.8/9
Avg BP won
6.3/8.5
6.3/8.5
42%
42%
Won
!
74%
74%
9
9
Conceded
38
38
2.3
2.3
Avg Conceded
9.5
9.5
5
5
Broken
15
15
1.3
1.3
Avg Broken
3.8
3.8
4
4
Saved
23
23

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Jabeur Kasatkina
Match played 4 4
Tot Set 9 10
Tot Games 84 90
Pts 285-229 314-262
Total Points 514 576
Winners 97 111
%Winners 34% 35%

Both Jabeur and Kasatkina played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Ons Jabeur lost 1 set, while Daria Kasatkina conceded 2 sets. Jabeur has played 1 set(s) less than Kasatkina (9 vs 10). Therefore, Jabeur played 6 games less than Kasatkina. Jabeur scored 97 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian bagged 111 winners (35%).

Serve Performance

Serve Jabeur Kasatkina
Aces 26 2
Avg per match 6.5 0.5
1st in 131/232 173/297
%1st in 56% 58%
1st pts 97/131 111/173
%1st pts 74% 64%
2nd pts 64/101 61/124
%2nd pts 63% 49%

Jabeur managed to score 26 aces (6.5 per match). Kasatkina made 2 aces (0.5 per match). Jabeur won 74% points on her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Kasatkina won 64% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 49% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Jabeur Kasatkina
Won 15 25
Converted 15/36 25/34
% Converted 42% 74%
Conceded 9 38
Saved 4 23
% Saved 44% 61%
Times Broken 5 15

Jabeur broke her opponents 15 times with a 42% conversion rate. Jabeur dropped her serve 5 times and she saved 44% of the break points that she conceded. Kasatkina broke her opponents 25 times with a 74% conversion rate. Kasatkina conceded her serve 15 times and she saved 61% of the break points that she conceded.

Jabeur
R1
McNally
R2
Annie
1/4
Potapova
1/2
Watson
Total
Score 6-4 6-2 6-4 3-6 7-63 6-4 6-0 6-3 6-3
Tot Set 2 3 2 2 9
Tot Games 18 32 16 18 84
pts 58-44 102-98 58-38 67-49 285-229
Total points 102 200 96 116 514
Winners 20 33 23 21 97
%Winners 34% 32% 40% 31% 34%
SERVE
Aces 4 5 11 6 26
Double Faults 1 3 0 1 5
1st in 23/49 48/89 32/48 28/46 131/232
% 1st in 47% 54% 67% 61% 56%
1st pts 20/23 33/48 23/32 21/28 97/131
% 1st pts 87% 69% 72% 75% 74%
2nd pts 16/26 26/41 9/16 13/18 64/101
% 2nd pts 62% 63% 56% 72% 63%
Breaks
Won 3 3 5 4 15
Converted 3/5 3/8 5/8 4/15 15/36
Converted % 60% 38% 63% 27% 42%
Conceded 0 5 2 2 9
Saved 0/0 2/5 1/2 1/2 4
Saved % 40% 50% 50% 35%
Times Broken 0 3 1 1 5
Kasatkina
R1
Hercog
R2
Kostyuk
1/4
Martincova
1/2
Vandeweghe
Total
Score 4-6 6-3 6-3 6-2 7-5 6-4 2-6 6-0 6-2 6-4
Tot Set 3 2 3 2 10
Tot Games 28 20 24 18 90
pts 102-89 72-56 75-67 65-50 314-262
Total points 191 128 142 115 576
Winners 36 28 25 22 111
%Winners 35% 39% 33% 34% 35%
SERVE
Aces 0 0 1 1 2
Double Faults 6 2 3 3 14
1st in 61/109 40/66 36/63 36/59 173/297
% 1st in 56% 61% 57% 61% 58%
1st pts 36/61 28/40 25/36 22/36 111/173
% 1st pts 59% 70% 69% 61% 64%
2nd pts 23/48 11/26 14/27 13/23 61/124
% 2nd pts 48% 42% 52% 57% 49%
Breaks
Won 8 6 6 5 25
Converted 8/9 6/8 6/10 5/7 25/34
Converted % 89% 75% 60% 71% 74%
Conceded 16 11 6 5 38
Saved 10/16 8/11 2/6 3/5 23
Saved % 63% 73% 33% 60% 57%
Times Broken 6 3 4 2 15

Upcoming matches in the draw