Ons Jabeur and Daria Kasatkina will square off in the final of the Birmingham Classic for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 1:30 pm on Ann Jones Court. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ons Jabeur who should win in 3 sets.
Ons Jabeur -> 1.69
Daria Kasatkina -> 2.28
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Prediction and head to head Ons Jabeur vs. Daria Kasatkina
This will be the 3rd time that Ons Jabeur and Daria Kasatkina fight against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Kasatkina (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on grass.
The last time that they fought against each other, Kasatkina won 2-6 7-6(3) 6-4 in the final in Moscow back in 2018.
Ons Jabeur
Ranked no. 24 (career-high), Jabeur got to the final after beating Caty McNally 6-4 6-2, Leylah Annie Fernandez 6-4 3-6 7-63, Anastasia Potapova 6-4 6-0 and Heather Watson 6-3 6-3.
In the semifinal, Ons had a good straight sets win against Watson (6-3 6-3). During the match, Jabeur scored 67 points vs Watson’s 49. Jabeur was extremely aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Regarding the service games, Jabeur struck 6 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Ons Jabeur was quite efficient on serve to win 75% (21/28) of her 1st serve and 72% (13/18) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Jabeur broke Watson 4 times after converting 27% of her break points (4/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ons started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has surrendered 1 set in this event to conquer 55% of the points she played.
Jabeur has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 63% of her matches (304-179). 4-0 on grass in 2021. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Jabeur has an aggregate 43-14 win-loss record in the last years on grass.
Jabeur’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Charleston.
The Tunisian has an aggregate 27-10 win-loss record in 2021, 4-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Birmingham
Ons has never competed in this tournament before.
Daria Kasatkina
Ranked no. 35, Darya reached the final after beating Polona Hercog 4-6 6-3 6-3, Marta Kostyuk 6-2 7-5, Tereza Martincova 6-4 2-6 6-0 and Coco Vandeweghe 6-2 6-4.
In the semifinal, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Vandeweghe (6-2 6-4). During the match Kasatkina scored 65 points vs Vandeweghe’s 50. Darya was exceptionally aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Talking about serving, Kasatkina scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 3 double faults. Daria Kasatkina lost the serve twice and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Kasatkina put 61% of her first serves in, winning 61% (22/36) of the points behind her 1st serve and 57% (13/23) on the 2nd serve. Darya broke Vandeweghe 5 times after converting 71% of her break points (5/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Kasatkina started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
Her best result of the current year was conquering the title in in Melbourne where she beat Marie Bouzkova in the final 4-6 6-2 6-2 and in in St. Petersburg where she defeated Margarita Gasparyan in the final 6-3 2-1 ret..
The Russian has a compiled 24-9 win-loss record in 2021, 4-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Jabeur | Kasatkina |
---|---|---|
Match played | 4 | 4 |
Tot Set | 9 | 10 |
Tot Games | 84 | 90 |
Pts | 285-229 | 314-262 |
Total Points | 514 | 576 |
Winners | 97 | 111 |
%Winners | 34% | 35% |
Both Jabeur and Kasatkina played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Ons Jabeur lost 1 set, while Daria Kasatkina conceded 2 sets. Jabeur has played 1 set(s) less than Kasatkina (9 vs 10). Therefore, Jabeur played 6 games less than Kasatkina. Jabeur scored 97 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian bagged 111 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Jabeur | Kasatkina |
---|---|---|
Aces | 26 | 2 |
Avg per match | 6.5 | 0.5 |
1st in | 131/232 | 173/297 |
%1st in | 56% | 58% |
1st pts | 97/131 | 111/173 |
%1st pts | 74% | 64% |
2nd pts | 64/101 | 61/124 |
%2nd pts | 63% | 49% |
Jabeur managed to score 26 aces (6.5 per match). Kasatkina made 2 aces (0.5 per match). Jabeur won 74% points on her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Kasatkina won 64% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Jabeur | Kasatkina |
---|---|---|
Won | 15 | 25 |
Converted | 15/36 | 25/34 |
% Converted | 42% | 74% |
Conceded | 9 | 38 |
Saved | 4 | 23 |
% Saved | 44% | 61% |
Times Broken | 5 | 15 |
Jabeur broke her opponents 15 times with a 42% conversion rate. Jabeur dropped her serve 5 times and she saved 44% of the break points that she conceded. Kasatkina broke her opponents 25 times with a 74% conversion rate. Kasatkina conceded her serve 15 times and she saved 61% of the break points that she conceded.
Jabeur | ||||||
R1 McNally | R2 Annie | 1/4 Potapova | 1/2 Watson | Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-4 6-2 | 6-4 3-6 7-63 | 6-4 6-0 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
Tot Games | 18 | 32 | 16 | 18 | 84 | |
pts | 58-44 | 102-98 | 58-38 | 67-49 | 285-229 | |
Total points | 102 | 200 | 96 | 116 | 514 | |
Winners | 20 | 33 | 23 | 21 | 97 | |
%Winners | 34% | 32% | 40% | 31% | 34% | |
SERVE | ||||||
Aces | 4 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 26 | |
Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | |
1st in | 23/49 | 48/89 | 32/48 | 28/46 | 131/232 | |
% 1st in | 47% | 54% | 67% | 61% | 56% | |
1st pts | 20/23 | 33/48 | 23/32 | 21/28 | 97/131 | |
% 1st pts | 87% | 69% | 72% | 75% | 74% | |
2nd pts | 16/26 | 26/41 | 9/16 | 13/18 | 64/101 | |
% 2nd pts | 62% | 63% | 56% | 72% | 63% | |
Breaks | ||||||
Won | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | |
Converted | 3/5 | 3/8 | 5/8 | 4/15 | 15/36 | |
Converted % | 60% | 38% | 63% | 27% | 42% | |
Conceded | 0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
Saved | 0/0 | 2/5 | 1/2 | 1/2 | 4 | |
Saved % | – | 40% | 50% | 50% | 35% | |
Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
Kasatkina | ||||||
R1 Hercog | R2 Kostyuk | 1/4 Martincova | 1/2 Vandeweghe | Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 4-6 6-3 6-3 | 6-2 7-5 | 6-4 2-6 6-0 | 6-2 6-4 | ||
Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
Tot Games | 28 | 20 | 24 | 18 | 90 | |
pts | 102-89 | 72-56 | 75-67 | 65-50 | 314-262 | |
Total points | 191 | 128 | 142 | 115 | 576 | |
Winners | 36 | 28 | 25 | 22 | 111 | |
%Winners | 35% | 39% | 33% | 34% | 35% | |
SERVE | ||||||
Aces | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
Double Faults | 6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 | |
1st in | 61/109 | 40/66 | 36/63 | 36/59 | 173/297 | |
% 1st in | 56% | 61% | 57% | 61% | 58% | |
1st pts | 36/61 | 28/40 | 25/36 | 22/36 | 111/173 | |
% 1st pts | 59% | 70% | 69% | 61% | 64% | |
2nd pts | 23/48 | 11/26 | 14/27 | 13/23 | 61/124 | |
% 2nd pts | 48% | 42% | 52% | 57% | 49% | |
Breaks | ||||||
Won | 8 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 25 | |
Converted | 8/9 | 6/8 | 6/10 | 5/7 | 25/34 | |
Converted % | 89% | 75% | 60% | 71% | 74% | |
Conceded | 16 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 38 | |
Saved | 10/16 | 8/11 | 2/6 | 3/5 | 23 | |
Saved % | 63% | 73% | 33% | 60% | 57% | |
Times Broken | 6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15 |
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Ons JabeurJabeur (2-0) – H2H and prediction