Madison Keys and Liudmila Samsonova will play each other in the quarter of the Betti Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 3:00 pm on Steffi Graf Stadion. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Madison Keys who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Madison Keys is the pick to win this match.
Madison Keys -> 1.55
Liudmila Samsonova -> 2.59
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Prediction and head to head Madison Keys vs. Liudmila Samsonova
There is no head to head record between Madison Keys and Liudmila Samsonova since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Madison Keys
Ranked no. 28, Madison got to the quarter after defeating Magdalena Frech 6-3 6-4 and Aryna Sabalenka 6-4 1-6 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Madison defeated Sabalenka (6-4 1-6 7-5). During the match, Keys and Sabalenka scored the same amount of points (91). However, the world no. 28 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Keys was extremely aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Talking about the service games, Keys bagged 8 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Madison Keys lost the serve 4 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Keys put 68% of her first serves in, winning 72% (38/53) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (11/25) on the 2nd serve. Madison broke Sabalenka 4 times after converting 29% of her break points (4/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has surrendered 1 set in this tournament to win 53% of the points she played.
Keys has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of her matches (263-146). 2-0 on grass in 2021. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Keys has an overall 33-13 record in the last years on grass.
Keys has a compiled 7-7 win-loss record in 2021, 2-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Berlin
The American has never competed in this tournament before.
Liudmila Samsonova
Ranked no. 106, the Russian reached the quarter after beating Noma Akugue Noha 6-3 6-1, Ana Konjuh 4-6 6-1 7-64, Marketa Vondrousova 6-4 7-66 and Veronika Kudermetova 6-4 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Ludmilla had a good straight sets win against Kudermetova (6-4 6-3). During the match Samsonova scored 65 points vs Kudermetova’s 49. The Russian was quite aggressive to blast 23 winners.
About the serving games, Samsonova bagged 5 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Liudmila Samsonova was pretty effective on serve to win 88% (23/26) of her 1st serve and 69% (18/26) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Ludmilla broke Kudermetova twice after converting 25% of her break points (2/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
The Russian has an aggregate 20-13 win-loss record in 2021, 4-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Keys | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 48 | 88 |
| Pts | 159-141 | 316-256 |
| Total Points | 300 | 572 |
| Winners | 65 | 127 |
| %Winners | 41% | 40% |
Keys played 2 matches while Samsonova competed in 4 matches. Samsonova started her run from the qualifications while Keys had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Madison Keys dropped 1 set, while Liudmila Samsonova dropped 1 set. Keys has played 4 set(s) less than Samsonova (5 vs 9). Therefore, Keys played 40 games less than Samsonova. The American scored 65 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Ludmilla recorded 127 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Keys | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 20 |
| Avg per match | 5.5 | 5 |
| 1st in | 90/137 | 171/290 |
| %1st in | 66% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 65/90 | 127/171 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 22/47 | 69/119 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 58% |
Keys blasted 11 aces (5.5 per match). Samsonova bagged 20 aces (5 per match). Keys won 72% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Samsonova won 74% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Keys | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 14 |
| Converted | 8/23 | 14/26 |
| % Converted | 35% | 54% |
| Conceded | 12 | 18 |
| Saved | 6 | 12 |
| % Saved | 50% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 6 |
Keys broke her opponents 8 times with a 35% conversion rate. Madison lost her serve 6 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. The Russian broke her opponents 14 times with a 54% conversion rate. The Russian conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.
| Keys | ||||
| R1 Frech |
R2 Sabalenka |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 1-6 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 29 | 48 | |
| pts | 68-50 | 91-91 | 159-141 | |
| Total points | 118 | 182 | 300 | |
| Winners | 27 | 38 | 65 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 42% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 8 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 37/59 | 53/78 | 90/137 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 68% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 27/37 | 38/53 | 65/90 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 72% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/22 | 11/25 | 22/47 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 44% | 47% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/14 | 8/23 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 29% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | 12 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 2/6 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 33% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Samsonova | ||||||
| Q1 Akugue |
Q3 Konjuh |
R1 Vondrousova |
R2 Kudermetova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | 4-6 6-1 7-64 | 6-4 7-66 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 30 | 23 | 19 | 88 | |
| pts | 63-40 | 102-91 | 86-76 | 65-49 | 316-256 | |
| Total points | 103 | 193 | 162 | 114 | 572 | |
| Winners | 23 | 43 | 38 | 23 | 127 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 42% | 44% | 35% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 29/51 | 66/102 | 50/85 | 26/52 | 171/290 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 65% | 59% | 50% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 23/29 | 43/66 | 38/50 | 23/26 | 127/171 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 65% | 76% | 88% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/22 | 23/36 | 16/35 | 18/26 | 69/119 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 64% | 46% | 69% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 4/6 | 3/5 | 2/8 | 14/26 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 67% | 60% | 25% | 54% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 18 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 4/7 | 5/7 | 0/0 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 57% | 71% | – | 102% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWWWWWL
LWLWWWWWLW Upcoming matches in the draw
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- Belinda BencicBencic – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (1-2) – H2H and prediction
