Felix Auger Aliassime and Marin Cilic will square off in the final of the Mercedes Cup for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 12:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Felix Auger Aliassime who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Felix Auger Aliassime is the pick to win this match.
Felix Auger Aliassime -> 1.76
Marin Cilic -> 2.16
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Prediction and head to head Felix Auger Aliassime vs. Marin Cilic
This will be the 3rd time that Felix Auger Aliassime and Marin Cilic clash against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Cilic (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on grass.
The last time that they locked horns, Cilic won 6-0 3-6 6-3 in the 1st round in Paris back in 2020.
Highlights Marin Cilic vs Felix Auger Aliassime – Paris 02-November-2020
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e1LgG3WH8wU
Felix Auger Aliassime
Ranked no. 21, Auger-Aliassime reached the final after defeating Lloyd Harris 6-3 7-64, Ugo Humbert 7-65 7-68 and Sam Querrey 6-4 7-5.
In the semifinal, Auger-Aliassime had a good straight sets win against Querrey (6-4 7-5). During the match, Auger-Aliassime scored 61 points vs Querrey’s 52. Felix was pretty aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about the service games, Auger-Aliassime recorded 13 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Felix Auger Aliassime was exceptionally effective on serve to win 86% (30/35) of his 1st serve and 70% (14/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Felix was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Querrey twice.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Auger-Aliassime started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to win 52% of the points he played.
Auger-Aliassime has a solid win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 63% of his matches (203-119). 3-0 on grass in 2021. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Auger-Aliassime has an aggregate11-3 win-loss record in the last 7 years on grass.
The Canadian’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Melbourne.
Auger-Aliassime has an aggregate 17-11 win-loss record in 2021, 3-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Stuttgart
Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2019. See his history.
Marin Cilic
Ranked no. 47, Marin got to the final after beating Rudolf Molleker 7-5 6-3, Nikoloz Basilashvili 6-3 6-2, Denis Shapovalov 7-5 7-63 and Jurij Rodionov 6-3 1-0 ret..
In the semifinal, Marin had a good straight sets win against Rodionov (6-3 1-0 ret.). During the match Cilic scored 36 points vs Rodionov’s 24. The Croatian was quite aggressive to blast 13 winners.
Talking about serving, Cilic scored 7 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Marin Cilic was quite efficient on serve to win 100% (13/13) of his 1st serve and 64% (7/11) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Croatian broke Rodionov twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Cilic started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to conquer 57% of the points he played.
Marin’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Singapore, Estoril and Stuttgart.
Marin has a compiled 14-10 win-loss record in 2021, 4-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Auger-Aliassime | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 70 | 73 |
| Pts | 227-207 | 258-190 |
| Total Points | 434 | 448 |
| Winners | 119 | 109 |
| %Winners | 52% | 42% |
Auger-Aliassime played 3 matches while Cilic competed in 4 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Auger-Aliassime has played 3 set(s) less than Cilic (6 vs 9). Therefore, Auger-Aliassime played 3 games less than Cilic. The Canadian scored 119 winners (52% of the total points). On the other side, Cilic bagged 109 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Auger-Aliassime | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 39 | 54 |
| Avg per match | 13 | 13.5 |
| 1st in | 147/227 | 114/199 |
| %1st in | 65% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 119/147 | 109/114 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 96% |
| 2nd pts | 45/80 | 45/85 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 53% |
Auger-Aliassime recorded 39 aces (13 per match). Cilic made 54 aces (13.5 per match). Auger-Aliassime won 81% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Cilic won 96% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Auger-Aliassime | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 9 |
| Converted | 4/10 | 9/26 |
| % Converted | 40% | 35% |
| Conceded | 13 | 6 |
| Saved | 12 | 5 |
| % Saved | 92% | 83% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
Auger-Aliassime broke his opponents 4 times with a 40% conversion rate. Auger-Aliassime dropped his serve once and he saved 92% of the break points that he conceded. Marin broke his opponents 9 times with a 35% conversion rate. Marin conceded his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded.
| Auger-Aliassime | |||||
| R2 Lloyd |
1/4 Humbert |
1/2 Querrey |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-64 | 7-65 7-68 | 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 26 | 22 | 70 | |
| pts | 80-73 | 86-82 | 61-52 | 227-207 | |
| Total points | 153 | 168 | 113 | 434 | |
| Winners | 46 | 43 | 30 | 119 | |
| %Winners | 58% | 50% | 49% | 52% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 9 | 17 | 13 | 39 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 57/86 | 55/86 | 35/55 | 147/227 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 64% | 64% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 46/57 | 43/55 | 30/35 | 119/147 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 78% | 86% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/29 | 21/31 | 14/20 | 45/80 | |
| % 2nd pts | 34% | 68% | 70% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 0/3 | 2/2 | 4/10 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 0% | 100% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 3 | 0 | 13 | |
| Saved | 9/10 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 90% | 100% | – | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Cilic | ||||||
| R1 Molleker |
R2 Basilashvili |
1/4 Shapovalov |
1/2 Rodionov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-3 | 6-3 6-2 | 7-5 7-63 | 6-3 1-0 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 17 | 25 | 10 | 73 | |
| pts | 72-50 | 65-41 | 85-75 | 36-24 | 258-190 | |
| Total points | 122 | 106 | 160 | 60 | 448 | |
| Winners | 36 | 26 | 34 | 13 | 109 | |
| %Winners | 50% | 40% | 40% | 36% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 20 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 54 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 36/63 | 26/44 | 39/68 | 13/24 | 114/199 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 59% | 57% | 54% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 36/36 | 26/26 | 34/39 | 13/13 | 109/114 | |
| % 1st pts | 100% | 100% | 87% | 100% | 96% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/27 | 10/18 | 16/29 | 7/11 | 45/85 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 56% | 55% | 64% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Converted | 2/2 | 3/11 | 2/9 | 2/4 | 9/26 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 27% | 22% | 50% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | |
| Saved | 5/5 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 100% | – | 0% | – | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Marin CilicCilic – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (2-0) – H2H and prediction
