Pablo Cuevas and Elias Ymer will square off in the final of the Lyon Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 1:00 pm on COURT SOPRA STERIA. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Pablo Cuevas who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Pablo Cuevas is the pick to win this match.
Pablo Cuevas -> 1.49
Elias Ymer -> 2.62
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Prediction and head to head Pablo Cuevas vs. Elias Ymer
This will be the 2nd time that Pablo Cuevas and Elias Ymer face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Cuevas (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Cuevas won 7-6(1) 4-6 6-3 in the quarter in the Aix En Provence Challenger back in 2019.
Pablo Cuevas
Ranked no. 92, Pablo got to the final after defeating Pedro Cachin 4-6 7-65 6-2, Kyrian Jacquet 6-4 6-1, Andrea Pellegrino 6-3 7-5 and Facundo Bagnis 6-4 6-1.
In the semifinal, Cuevas had a good straight sets win against Bagnis (6-4 6-1). During the match, Cuevas scored 61 points vs Bagnis’s 40. Pablo was pretty aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Regarding the service games, Cuevas made 4 aces and he was very steady in conceding no double faults. Pablo Cuevas lost the serve once. Furthermore, Cuevas put 73% of his first serves in, winning 83% (25/30) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (5/11) on the 2nd serve. Pablo broke Bagnis 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Cuevas started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has dropped 1 set in this event to conquer 56% of the points he played.
Cuevas has a good win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (246-168). 12-6 on clay in 2021. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Cuevas has an overall 192-90 record in the last years on clay.
The Uruguayan’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Geneva and the Lyon Challenger.
The Uruguayan has an aggregate 15-8 win-loss record in 2021, 12-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lyon Challenger
Pablo has never competed in this tournament before.
Elias Ymer
Ranked no. 194, Elias reached the final after beating Constant Lestienne 6-4 0-0 ret., Oscar Otte 6-4 6-4, Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune 6-3 5-3 ret. and Taro Daniel 6-4 6-2.
In the semifinal, The Swede had a good straight sets win against Daniel (6-4 6-2). During the match Ymer scored 64 points vs Daniel’s 50. The Swede was quite aggressive to blast 24 winners.
About the serving games, Ymer fired 5 aces and he was quite solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Elias Ymer lost the serve once and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Ymer put 57% of his first serves in, winning 62% (24/39) of the points behind his 1st serve and 66% (19/29) on the 2nd serve. The Swede broke Daniel 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Swede started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Elias’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in the Split 2 Challenger,the Ostrava Challenger and the Lyon Challenger.
Elias has a composed 17-10 win-loss record in 2021, 14-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Cuevas | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 86 | 65 |
| Pts | 297-238 | 236-187 |
| Total Points | 535 | 423 |
| Winners | 118 | 90 |
| %Winners | 40% | 38% |
Both Cuevas and Ymer played 4 matches. At the moment, Pablo Cuevas surrendered 1 set while Elias Ymer hasn’t dropped a set so far. Cuevas has played 1 set(s) less than Ymer (9 vs 10). However, it’s interesting to notice that Cuevas played 21 games more than Ymer. The Uruguayan scored 118 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Ymer fired 90 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Cuevas | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 14 | 12 |
| Avg per match | 3.5 | 3 |
| 1st in | 162/254 | 122/208 |
| %1st in | 64% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 118/162 | 90/122 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 55/92 | 51/86 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 59% |
Cuevas fired 14 aces (3.5 per match). Ymer struck 12 aces (3 per match). Cuevas won 73% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Ymer won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Cuevas | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 16 | 11 |
| Converted | 16/37 | 11/24 |
| % Converted | 43% | 46% |
| Conceded | 17 | 15 |
| Saved | 12 | 12 |
| % Saved | 71% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 3 |
Cuevas broke his opponents 16 times with a 43% conversion rate. Cuevas conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. Elias broke his opponents 11 times with a 46% conversion rate. Ymer conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.
| Cuevas | ||||||
| R1 Cachin |
R2 Jacquet |
1/4 Pellegrino |
1/2 Bagnis |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 7-65 6-2 | 6-4 6-1 | 6-3 7-5 | 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 17 | 21 | 17 | 86 | |
| pts | 105-95 | 62-46 | 69-57 | 61-40 | 297-238 | |
| Total points | 200 | 108 | 126 | 101 | 535 | |
| Winners | 39 | 23 | 31 | 25 | 118 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | 45% | 41% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 4 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 56/96 | 34/49 | 42/68 | 30/41 | 162/254 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 69% | 62% | 73% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 39/56 | 23/34 | 31/42 | 25/30 | 118/162 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 68% | 74% | 83% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 26/40 | 12/15 | 12/26 | 5/11 | 55/92 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 80% | 46% | 45% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16 | |
| Converted | 3/10 | 4/9 | 4/8 | 5/10 | 16/37 | |
| Converted % | 30% | 44% | 50% | 50% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 17 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 3/3 | 4/6 | 0/1 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 100% | 67% | 0% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| Ymer | ||||||
| R1 Lestienne |
R2 Otte |
1/4 Vitus Nodskov Rune |
1/2 Daniel |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 0-0 ret. | 6-4 6-4 | 6-3 5-3 ret. | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 10 | 20 | 17 | 18 | 65 | |
| pts | 34-25 | 70-60 | 68-52 | 64-50 | 236-187 | |
| Total points | 59 | 130 | 120 | 114 | 423 | |
| Winners | 11 | 27 | 28 | 24 | 90 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 39% | 41% | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 15/25 | 34/62 | 34/53 | 39/68 | 122/208 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 55% | 64% | 57% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 11/15 | 27/34 | 28/34 | 24/39 | 90/122 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 79% | 82% | 62% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/10 | 13/28 | 10/19 | 19/29 | 51/86 | |
| % 2nd pts | 90% | 46% | 53% | 66% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | |
| Converted | 1/1 | 4/10 | 2/8 | 4/5 | 11/24 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 40% | 25% | 80% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 15 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 3/5 | 3/3 | 6/7 | 12 | |
| Saved % | – | 60% | 100% | 86% | 62% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
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LLLWLLWLLW Upcoming matches in the draw
- Pablo CuevasCuevas – Elias YmerYmer (1-0) – H2H and prediction
