Rafael Nadal and Jannik Sinner will play each other in the 4th round of the French Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 4:00 pm on Court Philippe CHATRIER. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rafael Nadal who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Rafael Nadal is the pick to win this match.
Rafael Nadal -> 1.104
Jannik Sinner -> 8

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Prediction and head to head Rafael Nadal vs. Jannik Sinner

This will be the 3rd time that Rafael Nadal and Jannik Sinner fight against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Nadal (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay.

The last time that they played, Nadal won 7-5 6-4 in the 2nd round in Rome back in May 2021.

Highlights Rafael Nadal vs Jannik Sinner – Rome 12-May-2021

Rafael Nadal

Ranked no. 3, Nadal got to the 4th round after beating Alexei Popyrin 6-3 6-2 7-63, Richard Gasquet 6-0 7-5 6-2 and Cameron Norrie 6-3 6-3 6-3.

In the 3rd round, Nadal had a good straight sets win against Norrie (6-3 6-3 6-3). During the match, Nadal scored 92 points vs Norrie’s 65. Nadal was exceptionally aggressive to blast 37 winners.

Regarding the service games, Nadal fired 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Rafael Nadal was extremely effective on serve to win 79% (37/47) of his 1st serve and 55% (16/29) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Nadal broke Norrie 6 times after converting 50% of his break points (6/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Spaniard started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to win 57% of the points he played.

Nadal has a tremendous match record in the last 10 years having won 84% of his matches (484-91). 17-2 on clay in 2021. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Nadal has an aggregate 231-24 record in the last years on clay.

His best result of the year was winning the title in in Barcelona where he defeated Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-4 6-7(6) 7-5 and in in Rome where he overcame Novak Djokovic in the final 7-5 1-6 6-3.

The Spaniard has a compiled 21-3 win-loss record in 2021, 17-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

Previously, he won this tournament 13 times in 2005, 2006, 2007, 2008, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2017, 2018, 2019 and 2020. See his history.

French Open
Nadal's Record

Jannik Sinner

Ranked no. 19, the Italian got to the 4th round after defeating Pierre-Hugues Herbert 6-1 4-6 6-74 7-5 6-4, Gianluca Mager 6-1 7-5 3-6 6-3 and Mikael Ymer 6-1 7-5 6-3.

In the 3rd round, Sinner had a good straight sets win against Ymer (6-1 7-5 6-3). During the match Sinner scored 113 points vs Ymer’s 85. Jannik was very aggressive to blast 42 winners.

About the serving games, Sinner struck 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Jannik Sinner was extremely effective on serve to win 81% (42/52) of his 1st serve and 53% (21/40) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Sinner broke Ymer 6 times after converting 38% of his break points (6/16).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Jannik started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title in in Melbourne where he overcame Stefano Travaglia in the final 7-6(4) 6-4.

Sinner has an overall 24-10 win-loss record in 2021, 10-5 on clay (See FULL STATS)

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Previously at the French Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2020. See his history.

French Open
Sinner's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

R.Nadal
J.Sinner
6h:44
6h:44
Time on court​
8h:13
8h:13
!
2h:07
2h:07
Last match​
!
2h:22
2h:22
3
3
Match played
3
3
83
83
Games Played​
117
117
9
9
Set played​​
12
12
290
290
Total points​
394
394
96.7
96.7
Avg point​
131.3
131.3
123
123
Winners
152
152
41
41
Avg Winners​
50.7
50.7
42%
42%
Ratio winners
39%
39%
-- Serve --
13
13
Aces
18
18
4.3
4.3
Avg Aces
6
6
10
10
Double Faults
7
7
3.3
3.3
Avg Double Faults
2.3
2.3
123/151
123/151
1st won total​
152/206
152/206
!
81%
81%
1st won %
!
74%
74%
50/95
50/95
2nd won total​
83/137
83/137
53%
53%
2nd won %
!
61%
61%
-- Break Points --
17/39
17/39
BP won
19/37
19/37
5.7/13
5.7/13
Avg BP won
6.3/12.3
6.3/12.3
44%
44%
Won
!
51%
51%
11
11
Conceded
27
27
3.7
3.7
Avg Conceded
9
9
4
4
Broken
7
7
1.3
1.3
Avg Broken
2.3
2.3
7
7
Saved
20
20
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Nadal Sinner
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 9 12
Tot Games 83 117
Pts 290-217 394-323
Total Points 507 717
Winners 123 152
%Winners 42% 39%

Both Nadal and Sinner played 3 matches. At the moment, Jannik Sinner lost 3 sets while Rafael Nadal hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Nadal has played 3 set(s) less than Sinner (9 vs 12). Therefore, Nadal played 34 games less than Sinner. The Spaniard scored 123 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Jannik struck 152 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve Nadal Sinner
Aces 13 18
Avg per match 4.3 6
1st in 151/246 206/343
%1st in 61% 60%
1st pts 123/151 152/206
%1st pts 81% 74%
2nd pts 50/95 83/137
%2nd pts 53% 61%

Nadal blasted 13 aces (4.3 per match). Sinner blasted 18 aces (6 per match). Nadal won 81% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Sinner won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Nadal Sinner
Won 17 19
Converted 17/39 19/37
% Converted 44% 51%
Conceded 11 27
Saved 7 20
% Saved 64% 74%
Times Broken 4 7

Nadal broke his opponents 17 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Spaniard lost his serve 4 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded. Jannik broke his opponents 19 times with a 51% conversion rate. Sinner conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 74% of the break points that he conceded.

Nadal
R1
Popyrin		 R2
Gasquet		 R3
Norrie		 Total
Score 6-3 6-2 7-63 6-0 7-5 6-2 6-3 6-3 6-3
Tot Set 3 3 3 9
Tot Games 30 26 27 83
pts 99-83 99-69 92-65 290-217
Total points 182 168 157 507
Winners 48 38 37 123
%Winners 48% 38% 40% 42%
SERVE
Aces 7 3 3 13
Double Faults 5 3 2 10
1st in 59/93 45/77 47/76 151/246
% 1st in 63% 58% 62% 61%
1st pts 48/59 38/45 37/47 123/151
% 1st pts 81% 84% 79% 81%
2nd pts 19/34 15/32 16/29 50/95
% 2nd pts 56% 47% 55% 53%
Breaks
Won 4 7 6 17
Converted 4/11 7/16 6/12 17/39
Converted % 36% 44% 50% 44%
Conceded 4 4 3 11
Saved 3/4 3/4 1/3 7
Saved % 75% 75% 33% 61%
Times Broken 1 1 2 4
Sinner
R1
Herbert		 R2
Mager		 R3
Ymer		 Total
Score 6-1 4-6 6-74 7-5 6-4 6-1 7-5 3-6 6-3 6-1 7-5 6-3
Tot Set 5 4 3 12
Tot Games 52 37 28 117
pts 163-142 118-96 113-85 394-323
Total points 305 214 198 717
Winners 65 45 42 152
%Winners 40% 38% 37% 39%
SERVE
Aces 5 8 5 18
Double Faults 4 0 3 7
1st in 95/154 59/97 52/92 206/343
% 1st in 62% 61% 57% 60%
1st pts 65/95 45/59 42/52 152/206
% 1st pts 68% 76% 81% 74%
2nd pts 35/59 27/38 21/40 83/137
% 2nd pts 59% 71% 53% 61%
Breaks
Won 8 5 6 19
Converted 8/10 5/11 6/16 19/37
Converted % 80% 45% 38% 51%
Conceded 12 4 11 27
Saved 8/12 2/4 10/11 20
Saved % 67% 50% 91% 69%
Times Broken 4 2 1 7

Tennis Scores at the French Open

Upcoming matches in the draw

Nadal
More Stats
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Sinner

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