Rafael Nadal and Cameron Norrie will play each other in the 3rd round of the French Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 4:00 pm on Court Suzanne LENGLEN. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rafael Nadal who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Rafael Nadal is the pick to win this match.
Rafael Nadal -> 1.03
Cameron Norrie -> 16.5
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Prediction and head to head Rafael Nadal vs. Cameron Norrie
This will be the 3rd time that Rafael Nadal and Cameron Norrie clash against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Nadal (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Nadal won 6-1 6-4 in the quarter in Barcelona back in April 2021.
Highlights Rafael Nadal vs Cameron Norrie – Barcelona 23-April-2021
Rafael Nadal
Ranked no. 3, Rafael got to the 3rd round after beating Alexei Popyrin 6-3 6-2 7-63 and Richard Gasquet 6-0 7-5 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Gasquet (6-0 7-5 6-2). During the match, Nadal scored 99 points vs Gasquet’s 69. Rafael was quite aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Talking about the service games, Nadal struck 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Rafael Nadal lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Nadal put 58% of his first serves in, winning 84% (38/45) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (15/32) on the 2nd serve. Nadal broke Gasquet 7 times after converting 44% of his break points (7/16).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Nadal started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to win 57% of the points he played.
Nadal has a marvellous record in the last 10 years having won 84% of his matches (483-91). 16-2 on clay in 2021. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Nadal has a composed 230-24 match record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in in Barcelona where he defeated Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-4 6-7(6) 7-5 and in in Rome where he defeated Novak Djokovic in the final 7-5 1-6 6-3.
Nadal has a composed 20-3 win-loss record in 2021, 16-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Previously, he won this tournament 13 times in 2005, 2006, 2007, 2008, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2017, 2018, 2019 and 2020. See his history.
Cameron Norrie
Ranked no. 45, Norrie got to the 3rd round after beating Bjorn Fratangelo 7-5 7-65 6-2 and Lloyd Harris 4-6 6-3 6-3 6-2.
In the 2nd round against Lloyd, Norrie recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-3 6-2). During the match Norrie scored 107 points vs Lloyd’s 84. Cameron was quite aggressive to blast 49 winners.
Talking about serving, Norrie recorded 5 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Cameron Norrie was very efficient on serve to win 83% (49/59) of his 1st serve and 62% (21/34) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Cameron broke Lloyd 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Brit started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Cameron’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Estoril and Lyon.
Norrie has an aggregate 29-11 win-loss record in 2021, 16-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2018. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nadal | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 56 | 69 |
| Pts | 198-152 | 220-187 |
| Total Points | 350 | 407 |
| Winners | 86 | 103 |
| %Winners | 43% | 47% |
Both Nadal and Norrie played 2 matches. At the moment, Cameron Norrie conceded 1 set while Rafael Nadal hasn’t dropped a set so far. Nadal has played 1 set(s) less than Norrie (6 vs 7). Therefore, Nadal played 13 games less than Norrie. Nadal scored 86 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Norrie managed to score 103 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nadal | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 14 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 7 |
| 1st in | 104/170 | 130/212 |
| %1st in | 61% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 86/104 | 103/130 |
| %1st pts | 83% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 34/66 | 40/82 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 49% |
Nadal blasted 10 aces (5 per match). Norrie blasted 14 aces (7 per match). Nadal won 83% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Norrie won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nadal | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 11 |
| Converted | 11/27 | 11/21 |
| % Converted | 41% | 52% |
| Conceded | 8 | 13 |
| Saved | 6 | 9 |
| % Saved | 75% | 69% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 |
Rafael broke his opponents 11 times with a 41% conversion rate. Nadal lost his serve twice and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Cameron broke his opponents 11 times with a 52% conversion rate. Cameron conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded.
| Nadal | ||||
| R1 Popyrin |
R2 Gasquet |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 7-63 | 6-0 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 26 | 56 | |
| pts | 99-83 | 99-69 | 198-152 | |
| Total points | 182 | 168 | 350 | |
| Winners | 48 | 38 | 86 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 38% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 7 | 3 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 59/93 | 45/77 | 104/170 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 58% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 48/59 | 38/45 | 86/104 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 84% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/34 | 15/32 | 34/66 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 47% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 7 | 11 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 7/16 | 11/27 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 44% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3/4 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Norrie | ||||
| R1 Fratangelo |
R2 Lloyd |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 7-65 6-2 | 4-6 6-3 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 36 | 69 | |
| pts | 113-103 | 107-84 | 220-187 | |
| Total points | 216 | 191 | 407 | |
| Winners | 54 | 49 | 103 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 46% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 9 | 5 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 71/119 | 59/93 | 130/212 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 63% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 54/71 | 49/59 | 103/130 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 83% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/48 | 21/34 | 40/82 | |
| % 2nd pts | 40% | 62% | 49% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
| Converted | 6/12 | 5/9 | 11/21 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 56% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 1 | 13 | |
| Saved | 9/12 | 0/1 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 0% | 38% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWWWLLW
LWLWWLLLWL Tennis Scores at the French Open
- Kei NishikoriNishikori – Henri LaaksonenLaaksonen (7-5 0-0 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Laslo DjereDjere (6-2 7-5 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Federico DelbonisDelbonis – Fabio FogniniFognini (6-4 6-1 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Casper RuudRuud (7-63 2-6 7-66 0-6 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Richard BerankisBerankis (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marco CecchinatoCecchinato – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Soon-Woo KwonKwon (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Dominik KoepferKoepfer – Roger FedererFederer (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Rafael NadalNadal – Cameron NorrieNorrie (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Mikael YmerYmer (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman – Philipp KohlschreiberKohlschreiber (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – John IsnerIsner (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Steve JohnsonJohnson – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Marcos GironGiron – Christian GarinGarin (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Reilly OpelkaOpelka – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Kei NishikoriNishikori (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Federico DelbonisDelbonis (0-0) – H2H and prediction
