Tommy Paul and Sebastian Korda will square off in the semifinal of the Emilia-Romagna Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 5:15 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sebastian Korda who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Sebastian Korda is the pick to win this match.
Sebastian Korda -> 1.85
Tommy Paul -> 2.04
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Prediction and head to head Tommy Paul vs. Sebastian Korda
This will be the 2nd time that Tommy Paul and Sebastian Korda square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Korda (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Korda won 4-6 6-3 6-2 in the 2nd round in Delray beach back in January 2021.
Tommy Paul
Ranked no. 55, Tommy got to the semifinal after beating Stefano Travaglia 7-5 6-4, Jiri Vesely 6-73 7-65 6-3 and Jan-Lennard Struff 6-2 6-4.
In the quarter, The American had a good straight sets win against Struff (6-2 6-4). During the match, Paul scored 61 points vs Struff’s 45. Paul was quite aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Regarding the service games, Paul scored just 1 ace during the encounter and he committed only 1 double fault. Tommy Paul was exceptionally effective on serve to win 87% (26/30) of his 1st serve and 59% (10/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Struff 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Paul started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has dropped 1 set in this event to conquer 54% of the points he played.
Paul has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 64% of his matches (245-137). 8-5 on clay in 2021. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Paul has a composed92-41 match record in the last 7 years on clay.
Paul has a composed 13-11 win-loss record in 2021, 8-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Parma
The American has never competed in this tournament before.
Sebastian Korda
Ranked no. 63, Sebastian got to the semifinal after beating Andreas Seppi 6-3 6-4, Lorenzo Sonego 6-1 7-5 and Yoshihito Nishioka 6-3 6-3.
In the quarter, The American had a good straight sets win against Nishioka (6-3 6-3). During the match Korda scored 66 points vs Nishioka’s 47. Korda was very aggressive to blast 25 winners.
About the serving games, Korda managed to score 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Sebastian Korda was quite efficient on serve to win 74% (25/34) of his 1st serve and 69% (11/16) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The American broke Nishioka 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sebastian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to win 57% of the points he played.
The American’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Delray Beach and the Quimper Challenger.
The American has an overall 19-9 win-loss record in 2021, 4-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Paul | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 75 | 56 |
| Pts | 234-202 | 191-147 |
| Total Points | 436 | 338 |
| Winners | 100 | 86 |
| %Winners | 43% | 45% |
Both Paul and Korda played 3 matches. At the moment, Tommy Paul lost 1 set while Sebastian Korda hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Paul has played 1 set more than Korda (7 vs 6). Therefore, Paul played 19 games more than Korda. Tommy scored 100 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Korda struck 86 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Paul | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 3.7 | 2.7 |
| 1st in | 127/218 | 118/177 |
| %1st in | 58% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 100/127 | 86/118 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 60/91 | 35/59 |
| %2nd pts | 66% | 59% |
Paul scored 11 aces (3.7 per match). Korda recorded 8 aces (2.7 per match). Paul won 79% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 66% of the points. On the other side, Korda won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Paul | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 11 |
| Converted | 7/15 | 11/20 |
| % Converted | 47% | 55% |
| Conceded | 6 | 12 |
| Saved | 5 | 9 |
| % Saved | 83% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 |
The American broke his opponents 7 times with a 47% conversion rate. The American lost his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponents 11 times with a 55% conversion rate. Sebastian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Paul | |||||
| R1 Travaglia |
R2 Vesely |
1/4 Struff |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-4 | 6-73 7-65 6-3 | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 35 | 18 | 75 | |
| pts | 64-50 | 109-107 | 61-45 | 234-202 | |
| Total points | 114 | 216 | 106 | 436 | |
| Winners | 27 | 47 | 26 | 100 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 43% | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 7 | 1 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 34/56 | 63/115 | 30/47 | 127/218 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 55% | 64% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 27/34 | 47/63 | 26/30 | 100/127 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 75% | 87% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/22 | 32/52 | 10/17 | 60/91 | |
| % 2nd pts | 82% | 62% | 59% | 66% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Converted | 2/2 | 2/7 | 3/6 | 7/15 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 29% | 50% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 5/6 | 0/0 | 5 | |
| Saved % | – | 83% | – | 28% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Korda | |||||
| R1 Seppi |
R2 Sonego |
1/4 Nishioka |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-1 7-5 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | 18 | 56 | |
| pts | 57-49 | 68-51 | 66-47 | 191-147 | |
| Total points | 106 | 119 | 113 | 338 | |
| Winners | 25 | 36 | 25 | 86 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 53% | 38% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 36/60 | 48/67 | 34/50 | 118/177 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 72% | 68% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 25/36 | 36/48 | 25/34 | 86/118 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 75% | 74% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/24 | 11/19 | 11/16 | 35/59 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 58% | 69% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 3/4 | 4/9 | 11/20 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 75% | 44% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 6 | 4 | 12 | |
| Saved | 0/2 | 6/6 | 3/4 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 100% | 75% | 58% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWWLWWL
LWLLWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Parma
- Tommy PaulPaul – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Richard GasquetGasquet (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Marco CecchinatoCecchinato – Norbert GombosGombos (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Marco CecchinatoCecchinato – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Tommy PaulPaul (1-0) – H2H and prediction
