Gastao Elias and Camilo Ugo Carabelli will square off in the quarter of the Oeiras 4 Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 3:25 pm on COURT CENTRAL. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Gastao Elias who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Gastao Elias is the pick to win this match.
Gastao Elias -> 1.66
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 2.22
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Prediction and head to head Gastao Elias vs. Camilo Ugo Carabelli
This will be the 2nd time that Gastao Elias and Camilo Ugo Carabelli clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Ugo (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Ugo won 6-4 6-2 in the 1st round in the Campinas Challenger back in 2018.
Gastao Elias
Ranked no. 292, Gastao got to the quarter after beating Luis Faria 6-2 6-3 and Pedro Araujo 7-5 6-0.
In the 2nd round, Elias had a good straight sets win against Araujo (7-5 6-0). During the match, Elias scored 64 points vs Araujo’s 42. Elias was quite aggressive to blast 12 winners.
Talking about the service games, Elias couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault. Gastao Elias lost the serve once. Furthermore, Elias put 44% of his first serves in, winning 55% (12/22) of the points behind his 1st serve and 79% (22/28) on the 2nd serve. The Portuguese broke Araujo 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Gastao started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to conquer 61% of the points he played.
Elias has a good win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (304-240). 10-3 on clay in 2021. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Elias has an aggregate 234-163 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Gastao’s best result of the year was reaching the final in M25 Villena,M25 Vale do Lobo and the Oeiras 1 Challenger.
Elias has an aggregate 19-6 win-loss record in 2021, 10-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Oeiras 4 Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2021. See his history.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Ranked no. 310 (career-high), Camilo got to the quarter after defeating Jesper De Jong 6-4 6-2 and Riccardo Bonadio 4-6 7-5 6-4.
In the 2nd round against Bonadio, Ugo recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-5 6-4). During the match Ugo scored 93 points vs Bonadio’s 91. Ugo was very aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Talking about serving, Ugo blasted 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Camilo Ugo Carabelli was quite efficient on serve to win 71% (42/59) of his 1st serve and 55% (18/33) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. The Argentine broke Bonadio 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ugo started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Camilo’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M15 Villa Maria.
Camilo has a composed 17-8 win-loss record in 2021, 13-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Elias | Ugo |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 35 | 50 |
| Pts | 117-76 | 162-146 |
| Total Points | 193 | 308 |
| Winners | 30 | 66 |
| %Winners | 26% | 41% |
Both Elias and Ugo played 2 matches. At the moment, Camilo Ugo Carabelli dropped 1 set while Gastao Elias hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Elias has played 1 set(s) less than Ugo (4 vs 5). Therefore, Elias played 15 games less than Ugo. Gastao scored 30 winners (26% of the total points). On the other side, The Argentine fired 66 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Elias | Ugo |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 2.5 |
| 1st in | 49/95 | 94/145 |
| %1st in | 52% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 30/49 | 66/94 |
| %1st pts | 61% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 31/46 | 27/51 |
| %2nd pts | 67% | 53% |
Elias struck 2 aces (1 per match). Ugo scored 5 aces (2.5 per match). Elias won 61% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Ugo won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Elias | Ugo |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 9 |
| Converted | 11/17 | 9/24 |
| % Converted | 65% | 38% |
| Conceded | 5 | 10 |
| Saved | 1 | 5 |
| % Saved | 20% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 5 |
The Portuguese broke his opponents 11 times with a 65% conversion rate. Gastao dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 20% of the break points that he conceded. Camilo broke his opponents 9 times with a 38% conversion rate. Ugo conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Elias | ||||
| R1 Faria |
R2 Araujo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 7-5 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 18 | 35 | |
| pts | 53-34 | 64-42 | 117-76 | |
| Total points | 87 | 106 | 193 | |
| Winners | 18 | 12 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 19% | 26% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 27/45 | 22/50 | 49/95 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 44% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 18/27 | 12/22 | 30/49 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 55% | 61% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/18 | 22/28 | 31/46 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 79% | 67% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
| Converted | 6/8 | 5/9 | 11/17 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 56% | 65% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| Saved | 1/4 | 0/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 25% | 0% | 13% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Ugo | ||||
| R1 De Jong |
R2 Bonadio |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 4-6 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 32 | 50 | |
| pts | 69-55 | 93-91 | 162-146 | |
| Total points | 124 | 184 | 308 | |
| Winners | 24 | 42 | 66 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 45% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 35/53 | 59/92 | 94/145 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 64% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 24/35 | 42/59 | 66/94 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 71% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/18 | 18/33 | 27/51 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 55% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 5/13 | 4/11 | 9/24 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 36% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 7 | 10 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 4/7 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 57% | 45% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWLLWWWL
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