Facundo Bagnis and Carlos Alcaraz Garfia will play each other in the final of the Oeiras 3 Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 12:00 pm on COURT CENTRAL. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz Garfia who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz Garfia is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia -> 1.615
Facundo Bagnis -> 2.31
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Prediction and head to head Facundo Bagnis vs. Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
This will be the 2nd time that Facundo Bagnis and Carlos Alcaraz Garfia fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Alcaraz won 7-6(5) 4-6 6-2 in the quarter in the Cordenons Challenger back in 2020.
Facundo Bagnis
Ranked no. 109, Facundo got to the final after defeating Carlos Taberner 7-5 3-2 ret., Frederico Ferreira Silva 2-6 6-4 6-2, Nuno Borges 6-1 5-7 7-5 and Hugo Gaston 6-0 6-2.
In the semifinal, The Argentine had a good straight sets win against Gaston (6-0 6-2). During the match, Bagnis scored 66 points vs Gaston’s 38. The Argentine was pretty aggressive to blast 20 winners.
Regarding the service games, Bagnis blasted 2 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Facundo Bagnis lost the serve twice and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Bagnis put 59% of his first serves in, winning 67% (20/30) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (10/21) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Gaston 7 times after converting 58% of his break points (7/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Bagnis started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in this event to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Bagnis has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (353-237). 21-9 on clay in 2021. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Bagnis has a compiled 335-204 record in the last years on clay.
The Argentine’s best result of the year was reaching the final in Santiago.
Bagnis has an overall 22-11 win-loss record in 2021, 21-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Oeiras 3 Challenger
Bagnis has never competed in this tournament before.
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
Ranked no. 114 (career-high), Alcaraz got to the final after beating Yasutaka Uchiyama 6-0 6-3, Brandon Nakashima 3-6 6-4 6-4, Gastao Elias 7-5 6-4 and Taro Daniel 6-2 5-7 6-2.
In the semifinal, Alcaraz defeated Daniel (6-2 5-7 6-2). During the match Alcaraz scored 111 points vs Daniel’s 94. The Spaniard was pretty aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Talking about serving, Alcaraz scored 5 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Carlos Alcaraz Garfia lost the serve 3 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Alcaraz put 59% of his first serves in, winning 74% (40/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (17/37) on the 2nd serve. Carlos broke Daniel 6 times after converting 40% of his break points (6/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alcaraz started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Carlos’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Marbella and the Oeiras 3 Challenger.
The Spaniard has a composed 17-10 win-loss record in 2021, 11-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Bagnis | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 11 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 88 | 94 |
| Pts | 328-273 | 327-267 |
| Total Points | 601 | 594 |
| Winners | 118 | 123 |
| %Winners | 36% | 38% |
Both Bagnis and Alcaraz played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Facundo Bagnis lost 2 sets, while Carlos Alcaraz Garfia dropped 2 sets. Bagnis has played 1 set more than Alcaraz (11 vs 10). However, it’s interesting to notice that Bagnis played 6 games less than Alcaraz. The Argentine scored 118 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Alcaraz fired 123 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Bagnis | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 13 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 3.3 | 2.5 |
| 1st in | 167/310 | 176/282 |
| %1st in | 54% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 118/167 | 123/176 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 60/143 | 55/106 |
| %2nd pts | 42% | 52% |
Bagnis managed to score 13 aces (3.3 per match). Alcaraz recorded 10 aces (2.5 per match). Bagnis won 71% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 42% of the points. On the other side, Alcaraz won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Bagnis | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 23 | 22 |
| Converted | 23/43 | 22/40 |
| % Converted | 53% | 55% |
| Conceded | 38 | 22 |
| Saved | 24 | 11 |
| % Saved | 63% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 14 | 11 |
The Argentine broke his opponents 23 times with a 53% conversion rate. Bagnis dropped his serve 14 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded. Alcaraz broke his opponents 22 times with a 55% conversion rate. Carlos conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Bagnis | ||||||
| R1 Taberner |
R2 Ferreira Silva |
1/4 Borges |
1/2 Gaston |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 3-2 ret. | 2-6 6-4 6-2 | 6-1 5-7 7-5 | 6-0 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 26 | 31 | 14 | 88 | |
| pts | 70-65 | 87-84 | 105-86 | 66-38 | 328-273 | |
| Total points | 135 | 171 | 191 | 104 | 601 | |
| Winners | 29 | 28 | 41 | 20 | 118 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 32% | 39% | 30% | 36% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 4 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | |
| 1st in | 42/81 | 43/84 | 52/94 | 30/51 | 167/310 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 51% | 55% | 59% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 29/42 | 28/43 | 41/52 | 20/30 | 118/167 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 65% | 79% | 67% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/39 | 14/41 | 19/42 | 10/21 | 60/143 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 34% | 45% | 48% | 42% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 7/12 | 6/12 | 7/12 | 23/43 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 58% | 50% | 58% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 38 | |
| Saved | 10/12 | 5/11 | 3/7 | 6/8 | 24 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 45% | 43% | 75% | 62% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 14 | |
| Alcaraz | ||||||
| R1 Uchiyama |
R2 Nakashima |
1/4 Elias |
1/2 Daniel |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-3 | 3-6 6-4 6-4 | 7-5 6-4 | 6-2 5-7 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 29 | 22 | 28 | 94 | |
| pts | 60-34 | 90-87 | 66-52 | 111-94 | 327-267 | |
| Total points | 94 | 177 | 118 | 205 | 594 | |
| Winners | 21 | 36 | 26 | 40 | 123 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 40% | 39% | 36% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 27/50 | 59/83 | 36/58 | 54/91 | 176/282 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 71% | 62% | 59% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 21/27 | 36/59 | 26/36 | 40/54 | 123/176 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 61% | 72% | 74% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/23 | 12/24 | 14/22 | 17/37 | 55/106 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 50% | 64% | 46% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 6 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 22 | |
| Converted | 6/7 | 6/11 | 4/7 | 6/15 | 22/40 | |
| Converted % | 86% | 55% | 57% | 40% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 22 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 2/7 | 0/2 | 6/9 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 29% | 0% | 67% | 43% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 11 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWLLWWLW
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Facundo BagnisBagnis (1-0) – H2H and prediction
