Novak Djokovic and Rafael Nadal will face off in the final of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 57th time of their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 5:00 pm on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and the relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rafael Nadal who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Rafael Nadal is the pick to win this match.
Rafael Nadal -> 1.571
Novak Djokovic -> 2.53
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Prediction and head to head Novak Djokovic vs. Rafael Nadal
This will be the 57th time that Novak Djokovic and Rafael Nadal face off. The head to head is 29-27 for Djokovic (see full H2H stats), but Nadal has a winning record of 18-7 on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Nadal won 6-0 6-2 7-5 in the final in at the French Open back in 2020.
Highlights Rafael Nadal vs Novak Djokovic – French Open 11-October-2020
Novak Djokovic
Currently world no. 1 the Serbian reached the final after defeating Taylor Harry Fritz 6-3 7-65, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-2 6-1, Stefanos Tsitsipas 4-6 7-5 7-5 and Lorenzo Sonego 6-3 6-75 6-2.
In the semifinal, Novak defeated Sonego (6-3 6-75 6-2). During the match Djokovic scored 108 points vs Sonego’s 86. Djokovic was quite aggressive to blast 52 winners.
Talking about the service games, Djokovic recorded 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Novak Djokovic was extremely effective on serve to win 79% (52/66) of his 1st serve and 59% (17/29) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Serbian broke Sonego 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Djokovic started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has lost 2 set in this event to win 55% of the points he played.
Djokovic has a great match record in the last 10 years having won 87% of his matches (556-83). 7-2 on clay in 2021. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Djokovic has a 133-27 record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title in at the Australian Open where he beat Daniil Medvedev in the final 7-5 6-2 6-2.
Novak has a 16-2 win-loss record in 2021, 7-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Previously, he won this tournament 5 times in 2008, 2011, 2014, 2015 and 2020. See his history.
Rafael Nadal
Ranked no. 3, Nadal got to the final after defeating Jannik Sinner 7-5 6-4, Denis Shapovalov 3-6 6-4 7-63, Alexander Zverev 6-3 6-4 and Reilly Opelka 6-4 6-4.
In the semifinal, Nadal had a good straight sets win against Opelka (6-4 6-4). During the match Nadal scored 63 points vs Opelka’s 55. Rafael was very aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about serving, Nadal managed to score 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Rafael Nadal was extremely effective on serve to win 84% (36/43) of his 1st serve and 57% (8/14) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Spaniard broke Opelka twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Nadal started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title in in Barcelona where he beat Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-4 6-7(6) 7-5.
The Spaniard has a 17-3 win-loss record in 2021, 13-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Previously, he won this tournament 9 times in 2005, 2006, 2007, 2009, 2010, 2012, 2013, 2018 and 2019. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Djokovic | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 101 | 93 |
| Pts | 382-310 | 329-294 |
| Total Points | 692 | 623 |
| Winners | 163 | 139 |
| %Winners | 43% | 42% |
Both Djokovic and Nadal played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Novak Djokovic dropped 2 sets, while Rafael Nadal dropped 1 set. Djokovic has played 1 set more than Nadal (10 vs 9). Therefore, Djokovic played 8 games more than Nadal. The Serbian scored 163 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Rafael made 139 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Djokovic | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 16 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 2 |
| 1st in | 222/334 | 205/306 |
| %1st in | 66% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 163/222 | 139/205 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 57/112 | 57/101 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 56% |
Djokovic recorded 16 aces (4 per match). Nadal blasted 8 aces (2 per match). Djokovic won 73% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Nadal won 68% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Djokovic | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 18 | 14 |
| Converted | 18/51 | 14/42 |
| % Converted | 35% | 33% |
| Conceded | 32 | 28 |
| Saved | 23 | 19 |
| % Saved | 72% | 68% |
| Times Broken | 9 | 9 |
Djokovic broke his opponents 18 times with a 35% conversion rate. Djokovic surrendered his serve 9 times and he saved 72% of the break points that he conceded. Rafael broke his opponents 14 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded.
| Djokovic | ||||||
| R2 Fritz |
R3 Davidovich Fokina |
1/4 Tsitsipas |
1/2 Sonego |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-65 | 6-2 6-1 | 4-6 7-5 7-5 | 6-3 6-75 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 15 | 34 | 30 | 101 | |
| pts | 76-65 | 64-40 | 134-119 | 108-86 | 382-310 | |
| Total points | 141 | 104 | 253 | 194 | 692 | |
| Winners | 34 | 23 | 54 | 52 | 163 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 36% | 40% | 48% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 45/77 | 33/50 | 78/112 | 66/95 | 222/334 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 66% | 70% | 69% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 34/45 | 23/33 | 54/78 | 52/66 | 163/222 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 70% | 69% | 79% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/32 | 11/17 | 15/34 | 17/29 | 57/112 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 65% | 44% | 59% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 5/10 | 6/23 | 4/12 | 18/51 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | 26% | 33% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 4 | 14 | 7 | 32 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 3/4 | 9/14 | 6/7 | 23 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 75% | 64% | 86% | 74% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 9 | |
| Nadal | ||||||
| R2 Sinner |
R3 Shapovalov |
1/4 Zverev |
1/2 Opelka |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-4 | 3-6 6-4 7-63 | 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 32 | 19 | 20 | 93 | |
| pts | 75-64 | 119-114 | 72-61 | 63-55 | 329-294 | |
| Total points | 139 | 233 | 133 | 118 | 623 | |
| Winners | 21 | 53 | 29 | 36 | 139 | |
| %Winners | 28% | 45% | 40% | 57% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 30/61 | 82/119 | 50/69 | 43/57 | 205/306 | |
| % 1st in | 49% | 69% | 72% | 75% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 21/30 | 53/82 | 29/50 | 36/43 | 139/205 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 65% | 58% | 84% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/31 | 17/37 | 15/19 | 8/14 | 57/101 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 46% | 79% | 57% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14 | |
| Converted | 5/15 | 4/14 | 3/6 | 2/7 | 14/42 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 29% | 50% | 29% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 28 | |
| Saved | 1/4 | 5/10 | 9/10 | 4/4 | 19 | |
| Saved % | 25% | 50% | 90% | 100% | 66% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9 | |
Head 2 Head
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LWLWW Upcoming matches in the draw
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Rafael NadalNadal (29-27) – H2H and prediction
