Karolina Pliskova and Jelena Ostapenko will face off in the quarter of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 8th time of their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 12 pm on Grand Stand Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and the prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Karolina Pliskova who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Karolina Pliskova is the pick to win this match.
Karolina Pliskova -> 1.68
Jelena Ostapenko -> 2.29
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Prediction and head to head Karolina Pliskova vs. Jelena Ostapenko
This will be the 8th time that Karolina Pliskova and Jelena Ostapenko clash against each other. The head to head is 4-3 for Pliskova (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Pliskova won 6-7(7) 6-4 6-3 in the 2nd round in Stuttgart back in April 2021.
Karolina Pliskova
Ranked no. 9, the Czech reached the quarter after beating Anastasija Sevastova 6-2 6-3 and Vera Zvonareva 7-5 6-3.
In the 3rd round, Pliskova had a good straight sets win against Zvonareva (7-5 6-3). During the match Pliskova scored 78 points vs Zvonareva’s 62. Pliskova was pretty aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Talking about the service games, Pliskova struck 5 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Karolina Pliskova lost the serve 4 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Pliskova put 63% of her first serves in, winning 78% (31/40) of the points behind her 1st serve and 22% (5/23) on the 2nd serve. The Czech broke Zvonareva 7 times after converting 44% of her break points (7/16).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Karolina started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to win 56% of the points she played.
Pliskova has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 66% of her matches (414-210). 5-2 on clay in 2021. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Pliskova has a 76-43 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
The Czech has a 12-8 win-loss record in 2021, 5-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Previously, she won this tournament once in 2019. See her history.
Jelena Ostapenko
Ranked no. 49, the Latvian reached the quarter after beating Johanna Konta 6-3 6-1, Ajla Tomljanovic 6-2 7-63 and Angelique Kerber 4-6 6-3 6-4.
In the 3rd round against Kerber, Ostapenko recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-4). During the match Ostapenko scored 112 points vs Kerber’s 105. Ostapenko was exceptionally aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Talking about serving, Ostapenko recorded 3 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Jelena Ostapenko lost the serve 5 times and she saved 11 break points. Furthermore, Ostapenko put 57% of her first serves in, winning 60% (41/68) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (23/51) on the 2nd serve. Jelena broke Kerber 6 times after converting 55% of her break points (6/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Latvian started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
Jelena has a 13-8 win-loss record in 2021, 5-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2018. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Pliskova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 38 | 66 |
| Pts | 141-109 | 255-215 |
| Total Points | 250 | 470 |
| Winners | 50 | 90 |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% |
Pliskova played 2 matches while Ostapenko competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Jelena Ostapenko dropped 1 set while Karolina Pliskova hasn’t conceded a set so far. Pliskova has played 3 set(s) less than Ostapenko (4 vs 7). Therefore, Pliskova played 28 games less than Ostapenko. Pliskova scored 50 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, The Latvian made 90 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Pliskova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 12 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 4 |
| 1st in | 65/108 | 138/249 |
| %1st in | 60% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 50/65 | 90/138 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 65% |
| 2nd pts | 14/43 | 51/111 |
| %2nd pts | 33% | 46% |
Pliskova recorded 8 aces (4 per match). Ostapenko struck 12 aces (4 per match). Pliskova won 77% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 33% of the points. On the other side, Ostapenko won 65% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 46% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Pliskova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 17 |
| Converted | 13/29 | 17/33 |
| % Converted | 45% | 52% |
| Conceded | 13 | 27 |
| Saved | 7 | 17 |
| % Saved | 54% | 63% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 10 |
Karolina broke her opponents 13 times with a 45% conversion rate. Karolina conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 54% of the break points that she conceded. Ostapenko broke her opponents 17 times with a 52% conversion rate. Jelena conceded her serve 10 times and she saved 63% of the break points that she conceded.
| Pliskova | ||||
| R2 Sevastova |
R3 Zvonareva |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 7-5 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 21 | 38 | |
| pts | 63-47 | 78-62 | 141-109 | |
| Total points | 110 | 140 | 250 | |
| Winners | 19 | 31 | 50 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 40% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 25/45 | 40/63 | 65/108 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 63% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 19/25 | 31/40 | 50/65 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 78% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/20 | 5/23 | 14/43 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 22% | 33% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 7 | 13 | |
| Converted | 6/13 | 7/16 | 13/29 | |
| Converted % | 46% | 44% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 10 | 13 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 6/10 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 60% | 47% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Ostapenko | |||||
| R1 Konta |
R2 Tomljanovic |
R3 Kerber |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | 6-2 7-63 | 4-6 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 21 | 29 | 66 | |
| pts | 63-41 | 80-69 | 112-105 | 255-215 | |
| Total points | 104 | 149 | 217 | 470 | |
| Winners | 17 | 32 | 41 | 90 | |
| %Winners | 27% | 40% | 37% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 6 | 4 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 20/42 | 50/88 | 68/119 | 138/249 | |
| % 1st in | 48% | 57% | 57% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 17/20 | 32/50 | 41/68 | 90/138 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 64% | 60% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/22 | 17/38 | 23/51 | 51/111 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 45% | 45% | 46% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 6 | 17 | |
| Converted | 6/13 | 5/9 | 6/11 | 17/33 | |
| Converted % | 46% | 56% | 55% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 7 | 16 | 27 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 4/7 | 11/16 | 17 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 57% | 69% | 88% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWWWWLLL
WWLWLLWLWW Tennis Scores in Rome
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Garbine MuguruzaMuguruza (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Angelique KerberKerber (4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Ashleigh BartyBarty – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Vera ZvonarevaZvonareva (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova (3-6 7-65 7-5) – See score progression
- Petra MarticMartic – Nadia PodoroskaPodoroska (3-6 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Garbine MuguruzaMuguruza (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Angelique KerberKerber (4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Ashleigh BartyBarty – Cori GauffGauff (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (4-3) – H2H and prediction
- Petra MarticMartic – Jessica PegulaPegula (3-1) – H2H and prediction
